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Trump agrees to help Mexico meet global oil cut target

Published 04/10/2020, 09:55 AM
Updated 04/10/2020, 05:36 PM
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Mexico's President Obrador holds a news conference in Mexico City

By Jeff Mason and Dave Graham

WASHINGTON/MEXICO CITY (Reuters) - U.S. President Donald Trump said on Friday he would help Mexico contribute to global oil output reductions, in a surprise move that could break an impasse among the world's major oil producers over cutbacks aimed at stabilizing crude prices.

The U.S. reductions will amount to 250,000 barrels per day, according to Trump and Mexican President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador.

Speaking in Washington, Trump said the cuts would depend on the approval of other oil-producing nations.

"The United States will help Mexico along and they'll reimburse us sometime at a later date," he said.

During talks on Thursday inside the OPEC+ group, oil producers resolved to make cuts equivalent to around 10% of global supplies, but Mexico balked at the initiative.

Oil prices have cratered under the pressure of a price war and the devastating economic impact of the coronavirus global pandemic. Trump had previously warned Saudi Arabia that it could face sanctions and tariffs if it did not reduce production enough to help the U.S. oil industry.

Trump, who has sought to serve as a kind of mediator in the oil dispute, said on Friday he had not made assurances to Saudi Arabia that the United States would not bail out U.S. oil producers. "We didn't discuss that," he said.

Lopez Obrador said Mexico was pressed to make cuts of 400,000 barrels per day (bpd), or 23% of current output, before the group lowered the target to 350,000 bpd.

Lopez Obrador, who has made increasing oil production at struggling state oil firm Petroleos Mexicanos (Pemex) one of his priorities, said Trump offered to help before Mexico announced it would cut output by only 100,000 bpd.

"When I told him that it was 100,000 and we couldn't do any more, he very generously said to me that they were going to help us with the additional 250,000 to what they are going to contribute," he said. "So for that I thank him."

A Mexican official, speaking on condition of anonymity, said the deal was only crafted on Thursday, describing it as historic. Lopez Obrador underlined the importance of helping Pemex during the conversation, the source said.

In Washington, Trump said the United States would "pick up the slack" for Mexico, and when asked to confirm the 250,000 bpd figure, noted: "Yes, which we've already done, by the way."

He did not make clear whether he would impose cuts on U.S. producers beyond what they had already made on economic grounds.

Lopez Obrador suggested the United States initiated the conversation, saying, "President Trump got in touch with us."

Trump spoke earlier on Friday with Russian President Vladimir Putin.

Unlike countries such as Mexico with a state-controlled oil company that allows the government to dictate production cuts, U.S. oil producers are private companies and government-mandated output reductions would require coordinated reductions.

Global output cuts that stabilize prices are likely to provide some relief to U.S. shale producers, some of which risk being pushed out of the market unless prices recover.

Lopez Obrador said Mexico resisted making deeper output cuts because of the effort it has made to help Pemex.

During their call Thursday night, Trump marveled at how Mexico was the only holdout to the deal, Lopez Obrador said.

Mexico's tough position during the OPEC+ meeting surprised other participants, according to sources.

"The two most likely scenarios I see today are that Mexico is left out of the OPEC+ pact or that Trump is successful on building a plan to cover the remaining 250,000 bpd," said Mexico City-based oil analyst Gonzalo Monroy.

In March, when 1.5 million bpd in production cuts was proposed by OPEC+, Mexico agreed to contribute 49,000 bpd. The group failed to reach an agreement, pummeling oil prices, including Mexico's flagship Maya crude, to 20-year lows.

© Reuters. President Donald Trump arrives to lead the coronavirus response daily briefing in Washington

Normally, any coordinated decision by U.S. oil producers to reduce output to boost prices would violate antitrust laws. But legal experts say that if the federal government leads the charge such an effort would arguably be legal.

Latest comments

Is russia cutting any production? They were the first to increase production.
That's righteous. Mexico's president is a good guy.
do not help them out ,it is a sign of weakness on your part trump
Does anyone think Russia and the Saudis will cut while XOM pumps without restriction...anyone?
working on a class action antitrust suit as the speak, no action will take place until after it runs through the courts maybe next year cuts might happen.
lmao potus makes gasoline prices greater again for THE US worker. Hope u Trump voters are happy now.
You have no clue the economic disaster that will happen if shale companies fail. If you thought the housing meltdown was terrible of 2008, this will be many times bigger. The banks who loaned the money to them loaded it from everyone's saving accounts. Housing was only a temporary credit crunch as the underlying houses were not going anywhere, but when shale goes, it will never come back to the current point, so the money is essentially gone. People need to understand this, it is everyone in the US who will lose if oil does not go back up. only winners out of shale collapse are Russia and Saudi.
- exactly. 50 more cents a gallon vs. the collapse of the Permian is an absolute no brainer. TDSers can't see the forest for the trees.
I think US oil industry is toast anyway or at least going into a dark period.
lol, the US will cut zero so trumps offer is of course very generous - 0 plus 0 = 0 , great job - great orange buffalo!
So the virus infection had gotten worse Sunday futures and Monday markets might be selling see what happens over the weekend will determine next week dc squabbling will resume Monday over more money
They are leveling off so far. How has it gotten worse. New daily cases in US hit a high of 34k and have been declining ever since
Trumps insane his apple dumpling gang just agreed with him what a puppet show cmon November he wants to open the USA start this mess all over again all but re-election to him this could ruin his re-election Biden better pick the right Vice President choice or he’s gonna *****it
Millions out of work no money yea let’s raise prices of gas is trump insane
If the prices stay low, you can easily double those unemployment numbers with an entire industry going bankrupt.
Millions out of work so who needs low gas prices when they arent driving to work? Oil bankruptcies would mess up the banks and cause another great financial crisis on top of whats already happening
Whole thing is a fiasco. Opec is overpromising and Trump isnt even allowed to help Mexico. Crude heading below $20 next week!
When will trump let us know which producers that he will force to cut? is US booming the most silent dictatorship on earth? looks like
Need $30-$35 a barrel!
yeah we were producing less...demand is less and there is nowhere to store the fuel... on top of that a lot of drills are going offline
Trump is going to sued lol but nothing is going to happen to him
Trump has made thr US a member of OPEC..NOW CALLED OPE ++ WOW, will that come back yo haunt him!!
OPEC++
So green on Monday?
how much rate crude open dalars manfay
manday
Let the cheating begin.
I was thinking the same :D when Trump tweeted the nonsense - that they say they r gonna officially do "15" but in reality less than 10 will be cut. Russians might even say they will cut 10 alone (out of 11)...it is like when they came to the east europe for a weekend, and stayed here for 20 years...
something is not right...
it should be 30% cut to U.S and Russia...they started this..
US has no authority to make cuts. Not state run.
So when you ask Others for Millions of Cut, while you feel the pain of cutting just 250k barrel? Joker US MEXICAN
All is relative ....
Becauae Mexico only produces close to 2mbpd,
US big bro got 19 M bpd, highest in the world. Mexico always a pity neighbour, dont forget Canada got 5 M bpd
This type of collusion is illegal in the US.
It might :) . But i think if you short cover cuz as saying goes . Cant fight the Fed and def cant fight multifronted govs
US keep their promise? He can excuse anybody without discussing with members? So arrogant..
so what will be the crude level in next week, any predictions
18-20
40$ if they cut 20M barrels, get ready for short covering craze
 Wake up man.. First of all - there will not be a 20M cut, it is all just wishful thinking. It is like when you say on new years eve that you gonna save 20 grand and buy a new car, however in the end you are happy to buy a bicycle... the cut will be 10-15M and that will be just enough to keep oil bouncing around 25$. You will not see 40$ oil until end of this crysis.
What does 250k cut do?
Well: 250k a day will do 2,5m in 10 days, and that is 7,5m per month..
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