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Gold Up, Investors Await U.S Economic Data

Published 08/04/2021, 12:49 AM
Updated 08/04/2021, 12:51 AM
© Reuters.

By Gina Lee

Investing.com – Gold was up on Wednesday morning in Asia. While receiving a boost from a weakening dollar, the yellow metal was stuck in a narrow range as investors await the latest U.S. jobs data.

Gold futures inched up 0.09% to $1,815.80 by 12:49 AM ET (4:49 AM GMT). The dollar, which usually moves inversely to gold, inched down on Wednesday and was near recent lows.

“Gold, like the currency markets, appears to be in wait-and-see mode... gold’s price action remains consolidative but structurally positive and I believe that points to further gains ahead. The converging 100- and 200-day moving averages suggest a breakout is coming and I believe Friday’s U.S. data will be a catalyst,” OANDA senior market analyst for Asia Pacific Jeffrey Halley told Reuters.

On the data front, investors await the ADP non-farm employment change for July, alongside the Markit composite manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI), the services PMI and the Institute of Supply Management (ISM) non-manufacturing PMI, due later in the day.

The data comes ahead of the latest U.S. jobs report, due on Friday.

With Fed Chairman Jerome Powell reiterating that interest rate hikes are “ways away” as the Fed handed down its policy decision during the past week, other Fed officials also chimed in.

The labor market would take time to heal from the effects of COVID-19 and more is needed to be done for the economy to get fully back on track, U.S. Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman said on Tuesday. Bowman’s views were also echoed by San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly.

The Bank of England and Reserve Bank of India will hand down their policy decisions on Thursday and Friday respectively.

In Asia, China’s Caixin services purchasing managers’ index (PMI), released earlier in the day, was 54.9 in July. The reading was higher than the 50.3 figure from the previous month.

Holdings in SPDR Gold Trust (P:GLD) fell 0.2% to 1,027.97 tons on Tuesday.

In other precious metals, silver gained 0.4% and platinum inched up 0.1%. Palladium edged up 0.2% to $2,652.99 per ounce after hitting a one-week high of $2,707.28 during the previous session.

Latest comments

gold will rise or fall. when can it hut 1900+ levels again
"1,027.97 tons" Gina Lee, I've seen you make this gold holding claim many times now but I still have yet to see you provide any verifiable evidence to support any of these claims. How reliable are GLD's holding reports? GLD does not give retail investors the right to redeem for any of its mystery physical gold holdings. This fact alone ensures the GLD shares to be nothing more than paper at the end of the day. GLD also has a glaring audit loophole in their prospectus that states they have no right to audit subcustodial gold holdings. To this day, I have not heard of a single good reason for the existence of this backdoor to the fund. There was a highly publicized visit by CNBC's Bob Pisani to GLD's gold vault. This visit was organized by GLD's management to prove the existence of GLD's gold but the gold bar held up by Mr. Pisani had the serial number ZJ6752 which did not appear on any relevant bar lists. It was later discovered that this "GLD" bar was actually owned by ETF Securities.
Even on the subject of GLD's insurance, they are not straightforward about it. Their representatives will not confirm nor deny the existence of GLD's insurance. I recommend anyone curious about this to confirm via calling GLD's publicly listed number for general inquiries at 866 320 4053 and ask about this clause from the GLD prospectus: "The Custodian maintains insurance with regard to its business on such terms and conditions as it considers appropriate which does not cover the full amount of gold held in custody." Exactly how much of the fund is insured? They will not give you a straight answer and might even throw in some bizarre excuse which I've experienced. Why hide this information from investors?
According to MUFG Bank, the updated policy guidance by the Fed at the FOMC points to tapering moving along a slower path, at odds with many other G10 central banks. The Fed will not rush to tighten policy, certainly not by September. They noted a looser for longer monetary stance is required in order to lift inflation expectations. “Add an expanding current account deficit [and lower yields] and you have the recipe for further USD depreciation ahead."
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