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Gold Rally Enters Third Day on Stimulus Chase as Dollar Wilts

Published 10/21/2020, 03:45 PM
Updated 10/21/2020, 03:46 PM
© Reuters.

By Barani Krishnan

Investing.com - Gold rallied for a third straight day on Wednesday as the dollar tumbled and bulls in the yellow metal chased the prospects of a Covid-19 economic stimulus before the U.S. election in two weeks.

U.S. gold for December delivery settled at $1,929.50, up $14.10, or 0.7%. It rose 0.4% in two previous sessions.

Spot gold, which reflects real-time trades in bullion, rose $16.89, or 0.9%, to $1,922.86 by 3:23 PM ET (19:23 GMT).

The Dollar Index, which pits the greenback against six major currencies, tumbled for a third straight day on Wednesday, losing 0.5% to hit a seven-week low of 92.46 on speculation that the White House and Congress might reach agreement on a new coronavirus relief deal. Gold is an outright hedge for any losses in the dollar.

Hopes for a stimulus deal were kept alive on Wednesday by White House Chief of Staff Mark Meadows, who said he was “very hopeful that progress is being made” in the negotiations. Meadows added that the Trump administration will continue to stay engaged in talks with House of Representatives Speaker Nancy Pelosi over the coming days.

Congress, led by Pelosi and the Democrats, approved a Coronavirus Aid, Relief and Economic Security (CARES) stimulus in March, dispensing roughly $3 trillion as paycheck protection for workers, loans and grants for businesses and other personal aid for qualifying citizens and residents.

Democrats have been locked in a stalemate since with President Donald Trump’s Republican party on a successive package to CARES. The dispute has basically been over the size of the next relief as thousands of Americans, particularly those in the airlines sector, risked losing their jobs without further aid.

It’s anyone’s guess if a deal could be struck before the Nov. 3 presidential election, where Trump faces Democrat challenger Joe Biden. A preliminary agreement over the stimulus could be a positive talking point in the election for Trump, who trails Biden in most polls.

Another stimulus is also critical for the economy, which may be forced into a slower and weaker recovery from the Covid-19 without more aid, Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard said Wednesday.

The US economy was stuck in a "slight to modest" pace of recovery in September, with the job market struggling, as businesses tried to operate amid continued impact from the pandemic, the central bank’s Beige Book report of business conditions showed.

Latest comments

don't be surprised if a deal gets made and announced.
Which will be bullish for gold then, Murali. Not good for you, the gold bear! :)
Barani...be honest, did your boss get to you and tell you to play up the "possible" stimulus angle? Anyone with a billionth of a brain knows that any remaining stimulus "hopes" being passed prior to the election are zero and is nothing more than verbal pandering to their tribes. I'm really surprised you joined your fellow sheep and printed an article like this!
Dan, I wouldn't be surprised if this comment came from one of the many trolls ojn this site. That it comes from you surprises me. Understand something: This is a news story, not one of those analyses I do that pull in a range of variables that affect prices over longer time horizons. In the normal flow of a news cycle, what's news is news and the stimulus is the No. 1 headline moving not just gold now but also stocks, forex and Treasuries. Surely, the endless stream of headlines at 30-minute intervals hitting the wires will tell you this is no imagination of mine. And it doesn't matter, Dan, what you and I think. What that matters is the market believes. And if the market believes a deal is coming and wants to hedge accordingly, then the price moves to that and I have to report it as such. I don't get to cherry pick the news. I report it. Period.
Of course, I could tell you Dan that there is no political will to do this deal. Even if there's one, it'll be a miracle to achieve a bipartisan push with less than two weeks to the election. You need not have been so insulting to suggest that I don't even possess a billionth of a brain to understand this, when it's your lack about how news work that seems to be the problem here.
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