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Gold Perks up As Treasury Nominee Yellen Hints at Big Fiscal Deficit

Published Jan 19, 2021 03:24PM ET
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By Barani Krishnan

Investing.com - Gold prices gained a leg higher on Tuesday, reacting to U.S. Treasury Secretary nominee Janet Yellen’s plans to fight the coronavirus-induced economic crisis with big spending.

Gold for February delivery on New York’s Comex settled up $10.30, or 0.6%, at $1,851.40 per ounce.

The benchmark gold futures contract had been caught in a wave of irrational selling lately, losing 3.5% over the past two weeks, as U.S. bond yields spiked on contrarian bets made by traders against looming multi-trillion dollar stimulus plans.

Yellen, a former chair of the Federal Reserve, said at her Senate confirmation hearing that lawmakers in Congress had to “act big” on stimulus to facilitate economic recovery from the Covid-19 pandemic.

The nominee of President-elect Joe Biden, who begins his four-year term Wednesday, said the longer-term benefits of stimulus outweighed the costs, especially with near-zero interest rates making borrowing super cheap for U.S. business.

“I think there is a consensus now that without further action, we risk a longer more painful recession now,” Yellen said. “The smartest thing we can do is act big. In the long run I believe the benefits will far outweigh the costs, especially if you care about helping people who have been struggling for a very long time.”

While gold is generally deemed a safe haven, the yellow metal rallied on Tuesday along with an array of risk assets from stocks to oil.

The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury note surrendered an early run higher to show a drop of 5.0 basis points by 3:15 PM ET (20:15 GMT). The drop in yields weighed on the dollar, aiding gold’s climb. The Dollar Index, which stacks the greenback against six competing major currencies, was down 0.3%, holding just under the key 90.5 level.

Gold Perks up As Treasury Nominee Yellen Hints at Big Fiscal Deficit
 

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Comments (4)
Steve Massey
Steve Massey Jan 19, 2021 6:46PM ET
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Barania, thanks for your articles, they are always insightful.
Barani Krishnan
Barani Krishnan Jan 19, 2021 6:46PM ET
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Steve Massey, thanks much for the feedback and hope your positions are working out well in the new year. Bests.
tiam abi
tiam abi Jan 19, 2021 3:40PM ET
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Let's fly with gold
waqas ansari
waqas ansari Jan 19, 2021 3:40PM ET
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how to fly with please tell me I am new
waqas ansari
waqas ansari Jan 19, 2021 3:40PM ET
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how to fly with please tell me I am new
Pawel Mazi
Pawel Mazi Jan 19, 2021 3:37PM ET
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sure .. taking 1 thing from what she said ... to make another useless article with "big title" .. without real context
Barani Krishnan
Barani Krishnan Jan 19, 2021 3:37PM ET
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How much context you need, Pawel, to not see the fiscal deficit the US is heading for? You want numbers? Sure. The U.S. deficit is already up 61% in the first three months of fiscal 2021 after a record $3.13 trillion in 2020. I wrote that in my weekend wrap of the markets and didn't feel the need to trot it out again in today's market brief. Please do some homework of your own before you call anything "useless".
Pawel Mazi
Pawel Mazi Jan 19, 2021 3:37PM ET
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Barani Krishnan   bro if you really read and listen what she said this simple means she don't really cares about deficit and she is for even bigger stimulus than actually proposed despite mentioned deficit .. which will be upcoming politic path ... there is no point to even mention deficit as "reason" for spike - especially for gold - as it's simple not true ... actual US debt to GDP ratio is at 146% level with projections going to 213% in 2025 .. so sorry useless article without analyses of price movement ... so it's not me who should do a homework and make some effort in what he's doing ... pseudo "journalism" like yours is useless and gives wrong impression to people without experience and knowledge ...
Barani Krishnan
Barani Krishnan Jan 19, 2021 3:37PM ET
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Pawel Mazi  Okay, I see what's your beef now, and apols that I got a little too defensive earlier.  This is a market report on gold -- period -- and how the metal reacted today to Yellen talk. It doesn't pretend to be an analysis. To me, the US deficit naturally extends/deepens with additional stimulus, unless there's corresponding recovery. I guess from your viewpoint, I should have had "stimulus" in the headline instead of "deficit", as that's probably what prompted you to read on -- thinking there something here. Obviously, in the absence of that, it became "useless" to you. Again, this isn't meant to be an analysis on whether Yellen "cares" or not. It just makes a scant reference to the hedge proposition of gold versus the deficit (via additional stimulus). It was certainly not my intent to offend you with "pseudo-journalism". Bests.
Barani Krishnan
Barani Krishnan Jan 19, 2021 3:37PM ET
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Pawel Mazi Also Pawel, you are referring to debt while I was talking about the deficit this will create in fiscal 2021. This was why I told you earlier that the numbers are already up more than 60 percent from the end of fiscal 2020. I'm not arguing with your use of debt-to-GDP ratio. But the two are different, as you know, though both reflect the state of the underlying US economy.
chrisP bacon
chrisP bacon Jan 19, 2021 3:37PM ET
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She said “I think there is a consensus now that without further action, we risk a longer more painful recession now and longer-term scoring of the economy later,” That's rich.  Spending more into a deeper hole of debt will make things better in the long run.....
Barani Krishnan
Barani Krishnan Jan 19, 2021 3:37PM ET
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ChrisPBacon, I think there's a typo in that sentence. Let me fix. Thanks.
 
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