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Gold Below $1,750 as Fed Signals No Pause in Inflation-Busting Rate Hikes

Published 08/26/2022, 03:55 PM
Updated 08/26/2022, 03:57 PM

By Barani Krishnan

Investing.com -- Gold bulls hoping to creep closer to $1,800 an ounce found themselves more than $50 below that target at Friday’s close, after the head of the Federal Reserve signaled no immediate pause in the central bank’s inflation-busting rate hikes.

“Gold is vulnerable here as the Treasury yields could gain further momentum next week if the labor market remains healthy,” said Ed Moya, analyst at online trading platform OANDA. “The risks of one last major move lower remains for gold.”

The yield on the benchmark 10-Year Treasury note edged towards Wednesday’s two-month high after Fed Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank will keep at “forceful” rate hikes until its fight against inflation is done.

The benchmark gold futures contract on New York’s Comex, December, settled at $1,762.90 per ounce, down $21.60, or 1.2%. For the week, December gold fell 0.7%.

The spot price of bullion, more closely followed than futures by some traders, was at $1,737.65 by 15:45 ET (19:45 GMT), down $21.11, or 1.2%. For the week, spot gold was down 0.6%.

“If spot gold’s low of 1735 fails to hold, the next support will be $1,727 and $1,710,” said Sunil Kumar Dixit, chief technical strategist at SKCharting.com. “Much will depend on how the market digests the after-effects of Powell’s speech from next week.”

Powell said policy-makers at the Fed’s Federal Open Market Committee had an “overarching focus” to bring inflation back down to the central bank’s annual 2% goal.

The Fed has carried out four rate hikes since March, bringing key lending rates from nearly zero two years ago to as high as 2.5% by July.

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“We are taking forceful and rapid steps to moderate demand so that it comes into better alignment with supply, and to keep inflation expectations anchored. We will keep at it until we are confident the job is done,” Powell said in a speech broadcast live from Jackson Hole, Wyoming, where the central bank was holding its annual symposium on the economy.

The speech was one of Powell’s strongest ever, reflecting the onerous burden of the Fed under his watch in curbing inflation retreating ever so slowly from four-decade highs.

Powell’s comments also came after data on Friday showed a U.S. inflation indicator closely followed by the Fed growing at 6.3% in the year to July from a previous 6.8% year-on-year in June.

The so-called Personal Consumption Expenditure Index, or PCE Index, fell by 0.1% for July from 1% in June, the Commerce Department data showed.

Until Friday’s publication of the PCE Index, a broader gauge of inflation called the Consumer Price Index, or CPI, remained at more than four times the Fed’s annual target of 2%. The CPI grew by 8.5% during the year to July. Prior to that, it expanded at its fastest pace in four decades, growing 9.1% during the year to June.

Gold remains a hedge against inflation for some of the most serious investors, although it hasn’t been able to live up to that billing since hitting record highs above $2,100 in August 2020.

Latest comments

where are these inflation busting rates hikes? I don't think we've seen any yet, the 10yr interest is still below the inflation rate.
Ridiculous are they going to keep hiking rates every meeting if it takes 2 years to get to 2%? NO
Thanks Barani by update.... again I need that you and investing take actions with a lot of nosense people that does these bad scams in chat .... a lot of scammers.... you need block these type of people here .... the best actions is block IP port of these guys... Now from your article.... Ed Moya says the truth: "gold is very very vulnerable now".... and Im watching a continuation of down until 1680 going to 1650 1630 until end of september and after start buy again untl 1800 ....  Thanks for your good job and please start doing something (put moderators, I dont now)  counter these people that put here scams comments.... this reduce the atractive of the site for real investidors and smart traders.  See you :)
Thiago Henri. Yes investing desk is serious about these spammers and working on it.
ya right
Spammers in the comments of every single article. Not good.
Gold is not an inflation hedge. It is about time to learn it finally. Any traditional commodity works better for this purpose than gold, just proving that gold is not a commodity.
100 years of data says that gold is an inflation hedge.
 100 years of obsolete data. Gold was an inflation hedge in ancient times, when it performed as money. That time ended. Wake up.
Warm Camp. Gold has been a store of value and a safe hedge against inflation and currency devaluation. This has been so since ages. Simply because recently Dollar and bonds have become more attractive doesn't suspend Gold from its real status. For your information, central banks have started buying Gold. WGC July Gold sales data can be taken as reference. If Gold is coming down, major investors will see it as an opportunity. We will not need to wait for a decade to see Gold trading at $3000 +
Tell me how worries of persistent high inflation drive gold prices down...bizzaro-world
Because real yields are climbing and will continue to climb as the FED is determined to get inflation under control. The result is higher bond yields and a strong dollar which is bearish for gold .
maybe in the short term people will favor bonds. But if inflation isn't reduced, I would expect gold to push.
JIM VETTER. Central Bank aggressively hiking rates has to lead economy in to recession and this fear drives money flow into safe haven channels which in these times of raging green back makes investments in dollar and bonds relatively more attractive than non yielding Gold. Yes, if situations of high inflation and/or recession aggravate, Gold will definitely emerge as preferred choice.
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