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Crude Tumbles as U.S. to Sell More Reserve Amid Worsening Economic Stats

Published 07/26/2022, 01:21 PM
Updated 07/26/2022, 03:33 PM
© Reuters

© Reuters

By Barani Krishnan


Investing.com -- Crude oil gave up Tuesday’s early gains to drop as much as 2% and finish below the key $100 per barrel level after the Biden administration announced more sales from the national oil reserve to fight inflation at the pump while weakening economic statistics pointed at the likelihood of recession.

New York-traded West Texas Intermediate, or WTI, crude for September delivery settled down $1.72, or 1.8%, at $94.98 per barrel.

London-traded Brent crude for October delivery settled down 73 cents, or 0.7%, at $99.46 a barrel.

WTI hit a session high of almost $99 and Brent above $102 before giving those back as the Energy Department and White House jointly announced that President Joe Biden had authorized the sale of a further 20 million barrels from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve by October, adding to the already scheduled release of 180 million barrels from the reserve.

The White House said it has released some 125 million barrels from the SPR since Biden began tapping the reserve in November to offset a global oil supply deficit and fuel price spike that heightened after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in February.

“With these releases, the President has executed a drawdown of unprecedented size and scope to respond to the energy market disruptions posed by Russia’s invasion, and his actions are having an impact,” the White House said.

It said the price of gasoline at U.S. fuel pumps had fallen at 40 cents a gallon as a result. On Tuesday, the average gasoline price at U.S. pumps was at $4.32 a gallon from an all-time high of $5.01 in mid-May, the American Automobile Association said.

On the economic front, sales of new U.S. homes fell just over 8% in June from a month ago and were down double-digits from a year earlier, according to government data on Tuesday that reinforced the notion of a housing market weakening from surging mortgage rates and declining consumer confidence.

U.S. consumer confidence, meanwhile, fell for a third straight month in July as Americans’ fear of a recession grew from Federal Reserve rate hikes aimed at curbing inflation at 40-year highs.

The Fed has raised rates by 1.5% in three increases since March and is likely to hike rates by another 0.75% this week, with the option of three more revisions before the year-end. Despite such increases, inflation measured by the Consumer Price Index grew by 9.1% in the year to June, its highest in four decades. The central bank’s tolerance for inflation is a mere 2% per year.

“Concerns about inflation — rising gas and food prices, in particular — continued to weigh on consumers,” said Lynn Franco, senior director of economic indicators at The Conference Board, which groups public and private corporations that track and publish economic statistics.

“As the Fed raises interest rates to rein in inflation, purchasing intentions for cars, homes, and major appliances all pulled back further in July,” Franco said. “Looking ahead, inflation and additional rate hikes are likely to continue posing strong headwinds for consumer spending and economic growth over the next six months.”

The Fed left rates unchanged for two years after the outbreak of the coronavirus pandemic to allow for economic recovery. The trillions of dollars in aid dispensed to individual Americans and businesses during that stretch, however, resulted in a price growth explosion.

Now, economists say the central bank risks pushing the economy into a recession if it continues with its present trajectory of rate hikes. U.S. gross domestic product already declined 1.6% in the first quarter. The Commerce Department will issue its first reading for Q2 GDP on Thursday. A negative second quarter is all that is needed to technically send the economy into a recession.

Market participants were also on the lookout for U.S. weekly oil inventory data, due after market settlement from API, or the American Petroleum Institute.

The API will release at approximately 4:30 PM ET (20:30 GMT) a snapshot of closing balances on U.S. crude, gasoline and distillates for the week ended July 22. The numbers serve as a precursor to official inventory data on the same due from the U.S. Energy Information Administration on Wednesday.

For last week, analysts tracked by Investing.com expect the EIA to report a crude stockpile drop of 1.04 million barrels, adding to the 446,000-barrel reduction reported during the week to July 15.

On the gasoline inventory front, the consensus is for a draw of 857,000 barrels over the 3.5 million-barrel build in the previous week.

With distillate stockpiles, the expectation is for a climb of 500,000 barrels versus the prior week’s deficit of 1.3 million.

Latest comments

tumbles ? yeah right. whoever writes these articles are idiots
all you people no nothing about oil, curve is backwardated so sell now and can refill at a lower price with no risk for SPR. Try to understand spread trading please before you spout off, $8 of backwardation to Feb '23.
Oh wise one sniffing babies hair!
Now that the U.S.'s strategic reserves are depleted, it Putin launches an offensive, we'll be back on our heels. The Army needs oil!!
lol fear not have seen the russist army performance in Ukraine...
You sooo small minded…………U.S.Has Worlds stromgest military
Last reserve are deployed....USA now need to buy from Putin....Old men is 🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡🤡
You arent American
You arent American
100$ oil, can't really call tumbles...
The geological reality is that the world consumes 9 times more oil and gas than what is currently being discovered.
In reality there's plenty of untaped reserves that will never be explored, cause there will be no need, we are transitioning to move sustainable energy. Ice car sales already peaked in 2018 we must be close to oil peak consumption
20m? lmao. go look good many barrels the USA uses a day. 20m. more bull
100%
TIC TAC, TIC TAC, 150$/bbl in next months. Biden is abruptly depleting SPR
Thanks Joe. Living in the fog!
Even if SPRs are refilled when oil prices are lower, the increased demand the replacement will have will prevent Americans from enjoying even lower prices. It’s a net zero benefit at best.
 Trust me, the administration isn't stopping any DUCs from going to completion. Far from it. But the API and people like Scott Sheffield of Pioneer love to generate the BS of a totally hostile administration that prevents them from even getting another rig into the ground. All that's asked of the industry is that it steers clear of wildlife and conservation areas. But the Machiarollas, Wirths and Sheffields of the world have used that as gambit to generate their own spin to keep a barrel as close as possible to $100. The refiners are pressed on capacity but they love $40 margins and are conspiring with the rest of the oil lobby to keep gas north of $4 till November at least. And we know why.
This administration IS hostile to the oil/ gas business. Would you invest millions into more drilling knowing a senile old man can stop your investment with the stroke of a pen. Your argument is a bit disingenuous
 That old man, by the way, was voted on the green energy movement, so it's not surprising that he's encouraging more alternatives than fossils. It's like Trump and immigration. Was he nice to migrants? No, right? But you could understand why he was trying to do what he did because that was his campaign pledge. So, why crucify this guy for trying to do fulfill the expectations of the majority that brought him to office. But something else changed along the way, and that's what none of you longs want to admit. For months now. since oil stuck stubbornly at north of $100, they have tried to encourage domestic production. The only ask is that it not be on wildlife and conservation areas. But the industry continues its perpetual BS that its being restrained from drilling on all fronts.  Please spare me that spin because all the oil lobby wants is a barrel above or as close as possible to $100 while refiners don't want margins under $40. That's the truth for the American people.
Yes but the SPR has to be filled gain at higher oil prices at tax payers expense
I guess their hope is to refill at $65-$70 levels -- IF we ever get there.
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