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Crude prices settle higher on bullish inventory data

Published 07/19/2017, 02:45 PM
Updated 07/19/2017, 02:45 PM
© Reuters.

Investing.com – Crude futures settled higher on Wednesday, as investors cheered data showing supplies of U.S. crude fell by more-than-expected, fuelling expectations that an uptick in demand during the second-half of the year would reduce some of the surplus supplies.

On the New York Mercantile Exchange crude futures for August delivery rose by 1.6% to settle at $47.12 a barrel, while on London's Intercontinental Exchange, Brent added 1.82% to trade at $49.73 a barrel.

Crude prices settled higher for a second-straight day, after a report from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) showed crude and gasoline stockpiles fell by more than expected last week, pointing to an uptick in demand for crude and oil products.

Inventories of U.S. crude fell by roughly 4.7m barrels in the week ended July 14, confounding expectations of a draw of about only 3.2m barrels. It was third-straight week of falling crude inventories.

Gasoline inventories, one of the products that crude is refined into, fell by roughly 4.5m barrels against expectations of a draw of 655,000 barrels while distillate stockpiles unexpectedly fell by 2.1m barrels, compared to expectations of a rise of 1.2m barrels.

Despite the better-than-expected drawdown, both products’ inventories remain in the upper half of the average range for the time of year, the EIA said.

Earlier this month, the EIA said U.S. production rose to 9.43m barrels per day, its highest since July 2017, adding to the current output glut amid efforts from Opec to rein in excess supply, which has pressured prices over the past three years.

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A report on Tuesday, suggesting that Saudi Arabia is considering cutting crude exports by up 1 million barrels a day to offset a rise in output from Libya and Nigera, drew praise from analysts, who suggested that the export cuts signal real intent to curb excess supply.

Saudi Arabia’s reported “efforts to rebalance the rise in Libyan and Nigerian supplies by reducing output by 1 [million barrels] a day is an admirable approach,” said Adrienne Murphy, chief market analyst at AvaTrade. “The cartel would ensure investors that they will do ‘whatever it takes’ to revitalize the market, instead of the ‘just about enough’ approach they took ... when they simply extended supply curbs.”

In May, Opec and non-Opec members agreed to extend production cuts of 1.8m bpd for a period of nine months until March, but allowed Nigeria and Libya to remained exempt from the cuts.

Latest comments

A better and more realistic article! Congratulations! I'll add some little more details! The total commercial petroleum products stocks decreased in the last 3 weeks with 19.7 million barrels and only this week the decrease was 10.2 million barrels. The best question is what is the worst scenario? Coming up expected events: tomorrow gas inventories, Friday Baker and Hughes report, a closer OPEC meeting. Gas inventories are normal to build up this period and have a very low influence, Baker and Hughes could announce again an increase on oil rigs as usually during summer and has a poor influence as we all already seen, OPEC can say nothing is happened so no influence there. The Kuwait energy minister afirmed no cuts needing due to market rebalance. We also need to keep an eye on economic growth and indicators for demand supervised. US announced already an unexpected growth for refinance, building permits, buildings started and manufacturing. Europe had a good industrial growth and ECB said will cut the support measures, China, India and Japan beated expectations and the next seems to be Russia. So not a big worry here, but maybe UK. Negative price risk factors monitoring: the end of Qatari conflict has no chance with Turkey interventions but who knows. Ecuador rising oil production is so small and extremly hard to affect the market. The countries allowed to keep the productions up are already eaten by Arabian decreased oil production. Iran sactions are back, so Iran can increase the productions, but that will be a self wounding anoying the others producers who already implemented production control and another embargo will hurt it stronger. So a low risk there. North Koreean conflict is under tensions and US ships are already in the zone burning energy, but would North Koreea stop? Russians learned their lesson and won't risk any interventions to avoid a harder embargo hurting Putin and friends companies. But never say never! Positive price risk factors could be exactly the opposite of the already mentioned as negative risk factors. More, any other missle could be launched and will be the most dangerous event for any bear. Anyway, I'll advise you to make love not war!
Tx
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