Get 40% Off
⚠ Earnings Alert! Which stocks are poised to surge?
See the stocks on our ProPicks radar. These strategies gained 19.7% year-to-date.
Unlock full list

Crude Oil Edges Higher; OPEC+ Supply, Covid Cases in Focus

Published 07/16/2021, 09:31 AM
Updated 07/16/2021, 09:32 AM
© Reuters.

By Peter Nurse   

Investing.com -- Crude oil prices edged higher Friday, rebounding somewhat after overnight losses but still on course for their worst week since mid-March as worries over rising Covid-19 cases and the potential for additional supply weigh.

By 9:30 AM ET (1330 GMT), U.S. crude futures traded 0.4% higher at $71.92 a barrel, while the Brent contract rose 0.3% to $73.66.

U.S. Gasoline RBOB Futures were up 0.2% at $2.2545 a gallon.

Despite these gains the crude market is on course for a second consecutive weekly drop, with the Nymex contract down 3.5% over the week and the Brent contract down 2.4%.

Weighing on the market has been the rise in Covid-19 cases, primarily in southeast Asia from the highly-transmissible delta variant, which has resulted in new government mobility restrictions and the likelihood of a hit to growth expectations.

Earlier Friday, the Bank of Japan downgraded its real GDP forecast for 2021, now expecting growth of 3.8% compared with the 4.0% forecast it made in April, while Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) cut its 2021 growth forecasts for most of the countries in the region, citing the Covid-19 resurgence.

Adding to the downward pressure were reports that Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates have resolved their disagreement, a move that could see a group of top producers, known as OPEC+, adding output to the global market.

Bloomberg reported that the UAE has been granted its desired new baseline of 3.65 million barrels a day for its production cuts, and it will now support a proposal from Saudi Arabia to extend the duration of the OPEC+ cuts agreement to December 2022.

Although this would result in extra crude hitting the global market, it would also end the uncertainty over supply levels that has weighed of late, particularly with most bodies seeing a tighter market over the next few months.

“Obviously, before we can see an agreement between all members, there would need to be another meeting,” analysts at ING said, in a note.

Later Friday, traders will study Baker Hughes drilling rig data and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s weekly data on the commitments of traders for clues as to future U.S. supply and the market’s positioning.

 

Latest comments

From what I read UAE baseline increase would not occur until Aprill 2022.  The market will remain extremely tight until then unless lockdowns resume which is a total possibility considering the leaders of the world.
Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.