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On Thursday, JPMorgan analysts upgraded Dollar Tree stock (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:DLTR) from Neutral to Overweight. The analysts also raised the price target to $111 from $72. This decision reflects a positive outlook on Dollar Tree’s future performance. According to InvestingPro data, the stock appears undervalued based on its Fair Value analysis, with the company commanding a market capitalization of $18.62 billion.
The analysts highlighted the potential for Dollar Tree to become a double-digit EPS compounder over multiple years. They pointed to key growth drivers within the company’s core operations, particularly the MPP 3.0 format store expansion. The company currently trades at a P/E ratio of 19.08x, with a solid earnings per share of $5.07 over the last twelve months. InvestingPro data shows that 8 analysts have recently revised their earnings estimates upward for the upcoming period, suggesting growing confidence in the company’s prospects.
The report also noted idiosyncratic drivers for the company’s bottom line, such as tariff mitigation strategies and the expansion of the MPP program. Additionally, the analysts mentioned the benefits of cost recapture and corporate expense leverage following the sale of the Family Dollar operations.
JPMorgan’s move to upgrade Dollar Tree’s rating underscores the firm’s confidence in the company’s strategic initiatives and capital allocation as catalysts for future growth.
In other recent news, Dollar Tree’s first-quarter performance has drawn attention from multiple analysts, resulting in various updates to stock price targets and ratings. BMO Capital raised its price target to $85, reflecting Dollar Tree’s strong sales momentum and increased share repurchases, though concerns about tariffs remain. Similarly, Morgan Stanley increased its price target to $96, citing strong first-quarter results and upward revisions in earnings per share estimates for 2025 and 2026. Despite maintaining a Sell rating, Goldman Sachs raised its price target to $94, acknowledging Dollar Tree’s robust same-store sales and multi-price point strategy, even as tariff costs pose challenges.
Wells Fargo reiterated an Overweight rating with a $105 price target, highlighting Dollar Tree’s regained consumer relevance but noting potential short-term earnings risks. KeyBanc also maintained its Sector Weight rating, acknowledging the company’s strong first-quarter sales and earnings, while cautioning about ongoing tariff concerns. Dollar Tree’s management projects second-quarter sales at the upper end of their guidance range, with expected EPS declines before anticipated improvements later in the year. Analysts have noted the company’s strategies to enhance profitability, but the impact of tariffs and competitive pressures remains a point of focus. Overall, Dollar Tree’s future earnings potential and market strategies continue to be closely monitored by investors and analysts alike.
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