BMO Capital cuts Merck stock target to $96, retains rating

Published 02/05/2025, 11:09 AM
BMO Capital cuts Merck stock target to $96, retains rating

On Wednesday, BMO Capital Markets adjusted its outlook on Merck (NSE:PROR) & Co. Inc. (NYSE:MRK), reducing the pharmaceutical giant's price target from $105.00 to $96.00, while keeping a Market Perform rating on the stock. Analysts at BMO Capital cited a decrease in confidence stemming from recent shifts in expectations for Merck's vaccine, Gardasil, as a key reason for the price target adjustment.

The analysts noted that Merck's stock has been facing downward pressure, which is not solely attributable to fundamental reevaluations. The reduction in their estimates for Gardasil's performance significantly contributed to the new target price. The sentiment around Merck has been affected by what is perceived as a loss of confidence following a series of changing expectations regarding Gardasil, which has traditionally been a consistent product for the company. Despite recent market challenges, InvestingPro data reveals Merck's strong fundamentals, with a GREAT Financial Health Score and an impressive 55-year track record of maintaining dividend payments. The company currently trades at a P/E ratio of 13.14, suggesting potential value for long-term investors.

BMO Capital's commentary highlighted the potential for Merck's management to navigate the company out of the current sentiment. However, this turnaround is contingent on the company's ability to consistently meet both long-term and short-term guidance. Additionally, the analysts believe that sentiment-shifting events, such as the approval of celsrovimab, fast uptake, and additional data on GLP-1 treatments, could contribute positively to Merck's outlook. With a market capitalization of $223.67 billion and consistent revenue growth, Merck remains a prominent player in the pharmaceuticals industry. For deeper insights into Merck's financial health and growth prospects, investors can access comprehensive analysis and additional ProTips through InvestingPro.

The report further emphasized the importance of Merck demonstrating steady progress and achieving milestones that could alter the current perception among investors and analysts. The analysts at BMO Capital seem to suggest that while the near-term outlook has been adjusted to reflect recent challenges, there is room for improvement based on Merck's ability to deliver on its promises and bring new developments to fruition.

Merck has not publicly responded to the revised price target. The company's stock performance in the coming weeks and months will likely be influenced by its ability to address the issues raised by BMO Capital and to meet the market's expectations for its product pipeline and overall corporate performance.

In other recent news, Merck & Co has been the focus of several significant developments. The company has seen a downward revision of its price target by Goldman Sachs to $129, following challenging market conditions for its Gardasil vaccine in China. Despite the lowered target, Goldman Sachs maintains a positive stance on Merck, highlighting the potential of its broader portfolio, pipeline, and strategic initiatives.

Simultaneously, Merck has announced a halt in shipments of its Gardasil vaccine to China, leading to a revised sales forecast for the year. The company now expects to generate between $64.1 billion and $65.6 billion, reflecting the impact of the halt in Gardasil shipments.

In legal news, Merck faces a jury trial over allegations of improper marketing of its Gardasil vaccine. The case centers on claims that Merck exaggerated the vaccine's benefits while downplaying its risks.

On a positive note, Merck's pneumococcal vaccine, CAPVAXIVE, has received a positive recommendation from the European Medicines Agency's Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use, marking a crucial step towards potential marketing authorization within the European Union.

Finally, Merck has announced a second-quarter dividend of $0.81 per share and a $10 billion stock repurchase program, as part of its ongoing efforts to deliver value to its shareholders. These are the latest developments in the company's recent news.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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