Berenberg cuts Wheaton Precious Metals target to $87

Published 05/12/2025, 06:14 AM
Berenberg cuts Wheaton Precious Metals target to $87

On Monday, Berenberg analysts revised their price target for Wheaton Precious Metals (NYSE:WPM) shares, lowering it to $87 from the previous $88, while still recommending a Buy rating on the stock. The adjustment follows an update to their financial model to account for recent results, which slightly increased operational expenditure and share-based remuneration expectations. Consequently, this led to a modest decrease in their earnings projections for the company. According to InvestingPro data, WPM has demonstrated remarkable performance with a 57.65% return over the past year and is currently trading near its 52-week high of $87.42.

The analysts’ decision to alter the price target was influenced by changes in the operational model reflecting the latest company results. These changes have nudged up the operational expenditure and share-based remuneration forecasts, necessitating a slight reduction in earnings estimates. Despite the decreased price target, the analysts maintain a positive outlook on Wheaton Precious Metals, citing the company’s current trading metrics. The company’s strong fundamentals are reflected in its impressive 82.98% gross profit margin and 32.76% revenue growth, as reported by InvestingPro, which rates the company’s overall financial health as "GREAT" with a score of 3.18.

Wheaton Precious Metals is trading at 2.8 times its net asset value (NAV) and at a multiple of 25.8 times its estimated 2025 earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA). Berenberg’s continued Buy rating is bolstered by the strong performance of the USD gold spot price, which remains high compared to their price deck. InvestingPro analysis indicates the stock is trading above its Fair Value, with a current P/E ratio of 62.96. Investors seeking deeper insights can access the comprehensive Pro Research Report, which provides detailed analysis of WPM’s valuation metrics and growth potential.

The analysts highlighted the current market valuation of Wheaton Precious Metals, noting that the shares are trading at multiples that they believe are supported by the market’s valuation of gold. The firm’s valuation of Wheaton Precious Metals takes into consideration the elevated USD gold spot price, which is a key factor in their analysis. InvestingPro identifies 18 key investment tips for WPM, including its consistent dividend payments for 15 consecutive years and strong cash flow position, providing valuable insights for investors considering this gold streaming company.

Berenberg’s commentary on the revised price target emphasized their approach to valuation, stating, "We update our model for the results, which nudges up our opex and share-based remuneration forecasts, leading to a small reduction to our earnings estimates. Our price targets also trim marginally to GBp6,800/USD87. The shares are currently trading on 2.8x NAV and 25.8x 2025E EBITDA, and we maintain our Buy rating, supported by the elevated USD gold spot price versus our price deck."

In other recent news, Wheaton Precious Metals Corp reported its first-quarter earnings for 2025, surpassing analyst expectations with an earnings per share of $0.55, compared to the projected $0.52. The company also reported a significant revenue increase to $470.41 million, well above the forecasted $416.97 million. This 59% year-over-year revenue growth underscores Wheaton’s robust performance and strategic expansions, such as the completion of the Salobo III expansion and developments at the Blackwater mine. Additionally, Wheaton declared a dividend of 16.5¢ per share, reflecting a 6.5% increase from the previous year.

In terms of operational highlights, Wheaton achieved a record gross margin of $319 million, marking an 86% increase, and adjusted net earnings of $251 million, up 53%. The company is actively exploring 15-17 potential streaming opportunities, driven by favorable gold prices. Furthermore, Wheaton’s production outlook for 2025 remains strong, with a forecast of 1,270,000 gold equivalent ounces. Analysts from CIBC (TSX:CM) and UBS have noted Wheaton’s strategic positioning and robust cash flow, which supports its continued growth trajectory. The company maintains a strong cash balance of $1.1 billion and a fully undrawn $2 billion revolving credit facility, positioning it well for future investments and expansions.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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