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Erik McCurdy

  • Analysis & Opinion

Erik McCurdy's Opinion & Analysis
A complete archive of Erik McCurdy's articles, including current analysis & opinion - Page 8

Many mainstream analysts contend that the stock market is reasonably valued, or even undervalued, at current levels. In most cases, this assertion is based on forward earnings estimates, which are in...
We stress often the need for maintaining a big picture perspective. Short-term price behavior only has meaning when analyzed in the proper context afforded by the long-term view, so all investing and...
In September 2011, our computer models predicted the likely development of a long-term correction in the gold market. The top formed precisely as expected and the subsequent correction developed into...
The last intermediate-term signal for the stock market was generated in November when the intermediate-term cycle low (ITCL) of the current cycle formed. Since then, the S&P 500 index has gained...
Our Cyclical Trend Score (CTS) searches for likely cyclical inflection points in the stock market through the analysis of a large basket of fundamental, technical, internal and sentiment data. As we...
Our computer models analyze a large basket of fundamental, technical, internal and sentiment data in order to calculate our Secular Trend Score (STS) and our Cyclical Trend Score (CTS). The historical...
Our Cyclical Trend Score (CTS) searches for likely cyclical inflection points in the stock market through the analysis of a large basket of fundamental, technical, internal and sentiment data. When...
The S&P 500 index closed moderately higher yesterday, moving up to a new long-term high for the cyclical bull market from 2009. Technical indicators are bullish overall on the daily chart,...
In late 1999, our Secular Trend Score (STS) issued a long-term sell signal, indicating that the stock market was on the verge of entering a secular decline that would last from 10 to 20 years. Since...
Last year, the risk/reward profile of the stock market increased to the worst 1 percentile of all historical observations during the last 100 years. The brief correction during the fourth quarter...