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Erik McCurdy

  • Analysis & Opinion

Erik McCurdy's Opinion & Analysis
A complete archive of Erik McCurdy's articles, including current analysis & opinion - Page 6

In September 2011, our cycle analysis predicted the formation of a long-term top in the gold market. Following the development of a consolidation formation from late 2011 until early 2013, prices...
Our computer models analyze a large basket of fundamental, technical, internal and sentiment data in order to calculate our Secular Trend Score (STS) and our Cyclical Trend Score (CTS). The historical...
As we note often, context plays a vital role in the development of reliable market forecasts. Short-term price behavior only has meaning when analyzed in the proper context afforded by the long-term...
As expected, the recent two-session crash in the gold market has been followed by a violent oversold reaction. Following the 13 percent decline in mid-April, gold has rebounded more than eight percent...
Over the past several years, we have spent a great deal of time discussing the excessive debt problem that continues to constrain structural economic growth. In their latest quarterly report,...
At a current duration of 49 months, the cyclical bull market from 2009 is long overdue for termination. Fueled by a historic amount of stimulus, the rally has taken on a highly speculative character...
Since late March, gold prices have struggled to rebound off of the last intermediate-term cycle low (ITCL), favoring a continuation of the bearish translation that has persisted since October. This...
Tuesday, our cycle analysis identified the potential development of a short-term low in the stock market. Yesterday, a cycle low signal was generated, confirming that a new short-term cycle has...
Mainstream analysts continue to suggest that the stock market is fairly valued, or even undervalued, based on the faulty premise that current corporate profit margins are normal and sustainable....
For the past several years, the US Federal Reserve has engaged in a historic liquidity operation intended to support economic recovery. As shown on the following three charts, M0, M1 and M2 have all...