Erik McCurdy

Our Secular Trend Score (STS) and Cyclical Trend Score (CTS) are calculated using a large basket of fundamental, technical, internal and sentiment data. The historical data used by our models extend...

Early last week, our cycle analysis identified the potential development of a short-term low in the stock market. On Wednesday, a cycle low signal was generated, confirming that the beta low (BL) of...

Gold closed sharply lower yesterday, moving down to a new low for the cyclical downtrend from 2011. As expected, the breakdown of the descending triangle formation last week has been followed by a...

In early June, several subcomponents of our Cyclical Trend Score (CTS) indicated that the cyclical bull market in stocks had become vulnerable to the development of a violent overbought correction....

Yesterday, our cycle analysis identified a cycle high setup, indicating the potential development of the alpha high (AH) of the short-term cycle from the beginning of June. Today, the S&P 500...

The final, speculative phase of the cyclical bull market in stocks that began in early 2009 continues to unfold in typical fashion. The uptrend has “gone parabolic,” accelerating into an...

Last week, our cycle analysis identified the potential development of the latest short-term cycle low (STCL) in the stock market. On Friday, a cycle low signal was generated, confirming that a new...

Last week, we observed that several subcomponents of our Cyclical Trend Score (CTS) had declined to their lowest levels during the last two years, suggesting that the formation of a long-term top in...

At a current duration of 51 months, the cyclical bull market from 2009 is long overdue for termination. Fueled primarily by a historic amount of stimulus from the Federal Reserve, the stock market...

Gold closed sharply higher today, reacting further off of recent lows of the downtrend from October. We have been monitoring the development of a positive divergence on the daily chart since early...