Erik McCurdy

Very few high-profile analysts and organizations believe that the imminent development of a recession in the U.S. is likely. One of the notable exceptions is the Economic Cycle Research Institute...

Very few mainstream analysts spend sufficient time analyzing the secular environment of the stock market. In order to develop reliable investment forecasts, it is first necessary to understand the...

At the beginning of last week, our cycle analysis suggested that the intermediate-term cycle low (ITCL) we had been expecting was in the process of forming. Although a confirmed cycle low signal was...

At the beginning of the week, the strong start to the beta phase rally of the current short-term cycle suggested the likely transition to a bullish translation. Friday, gold closed sharply higher,...

There has been a great deal of talk about the “fiscal cliff” recently. However, like most mainstream conversations during the last few years, the discussion fails to get to the core of the problem...

Last week, a cycle low setup occurred for the S&P 500 index, indicating that the latest short-term cycle low (STCL) was potentially forming. Yesterday's strong move higher generated a cycle low...

The S&P 500 index closed moderately lower this past week, retreating further from recent highs of the cyclical bull market from 2009 and breaking below support at the lower boundary of the rebound...

Gold closed slightly lower today, holding above support at the lower boundary of the uptrend from May.Our Gold Currency Index (GCI), which tracks the intrinsic value of gold as an international...

The S&P 500 index reversed early gains to close moderately lower yesterday, moving down to a marginal new low for the downtrend from October.From an intermediate-term perspective, the cyclical...

Gold closed moderately higher today, reacting further off of support at the lower boundary of the uptrend from May. As expected in October, the overbought correction from early last month retraced to...