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Jeff Miller

  • Analysis & Opinion

Jeff Miller's Opinion & Analysis
A complete archive of Jeff Miller's articles, including current analysis & opinion.

We have a big economic calendar jammed into three trading days. The reports are of moderate interest – consumer confidence, personal income and spending, durable goods orders, and new home...
We have a huge economic calendar, including all of the major reports. Of special interest is employment, with the official BLS data on Friday and the ADP private payrolls on Wednesday. ISM...
We have a big economic calendar, with featuring reports on sentiment, personal income and spending, and an especially interesting first estimate of Q3 GDP. The election campaign continues at high...
The most important feature of the Nonfarm Payroll report continues to go unnoticed. We should be watching the response rate in the second revision of the data. That is where failed and shuttered...
I have separated my long-running Investor section from Weighing the Week Ahead. My hope is to highlight ideas for the long-term investor. In my last investment post I applied the key concepts of the...
I have separated my long-running Investor section from Weighing the Week Ahead. My hope is to highlight ideas for the long-term investor. In my last investment post I applied the key concepts of the...
As I wrote in my Non-farm Payroll preview, the most important result to watch is the response rate. If the response rate is below the normal level, it might imply a higher level of business deaths. If...
There is something wrong with the monthly Payroll Employment Report. Economists were very surprised by the massive jump in jobs reported in May. They quickly changed their viewpoints about the economy...
It is a big week for economic data. There are many reports with the most attention on Friday’s Employment Situation data. We will also get auto sales, the ISM manufacturing and non-manufacturing...
In my last investment post I applied the key concepts to a range of investment ideas. If you missed it, take a look. We have been on target so far with what to avoid. For now, and for as long as the...