Shane Zhang

Gold to Oil ratio is near the bottom is very similar to the pattern to Gold to SP500 in Late Dec 2021

Remember the Metal to Stock ratio is ready to for a long term bull market.  I would only take Long on Silver for the next 3 years, yes there will be correction but I would not fight the major trend.  Just look how much Gold is up against Yen and EUR.  The relationship between metal and currency has been broken for 3 years why reckless central bank money printing for the last 10 plus years

I dont think anyone shall argue about his analysis.  The best thing  for Dr to do is to provide Entry stop loss and target for the next 5-6 times. I think by providing trade recommendation is  the best way access his creditability.  There are lot of good forecaster out there but fail on the trade

I remember you say the SP500 will begin the bear when the war begin.  Is this the war you are talking about.  If so how could this go to 5P500 go to 6k.  Do we rule out the bear top already already begin?

Just let you know the death cross is happening right now.  Last two time it happened to SP500 result in at bottom, this time it may not be so lucky.  Also your prediction on war, it could be that it will happened earl than your forecasted timetable

I have talk about Gold to SP500 ratio back then is just than you were not with me.  Think about the ratio has decline for 12 years, the chance to reversal is very high.  This is just the basic stats.  Honestly at that that I did not know the war will break.   I was pure technical that time.

well 800+ pip up for Dow

Well one article you are calling inflation bust while another you call for long term cup and handle in metal.  I honestly think your forecast model is contradicting itself and it needed to be fixed.

USDJPY inverse relationship with gold has been broken since 2018.  Maybe this is the result of huge debt carry by world central bank

Asian to US equity ratio is due for a long term bottom.  About USD is no longer a safe haven.  Just look 2008, 2020, and current Dow decline compared how much USD rise you will get the picture

I have seen lot of your post for the past.  Here is the stats, you get no more than 60 percent accuracy rate.  Out of those 60 percent only 10 percent can turn into a low risk high reward trade.  If this is true when someone give your account to you to trade his or her money will be disaster.  I really suggest that you shall build yourself a trading model, and stop posting all those useless information.

the log chart does not give you vaild chart pattern.  One thing is sure FXI vs SPY is due for a large rebound

breakdown matter of time USD massive debt.  Just look Covid crash 10000 dow point decline 1400 pip USD advance.  This years 3000 Dow point fall USDCAD untouch.  Why massive debt and make this no longer a safe haven currency

one recommendation sir, you have not been localized your wave count

90 percent of the stock move in the same directional as SP500.  When someone tell you to diversify buying basket of stock, this is very risky when you run into Covid19 or 2008 or any medium size correction you are not achieve any diversify at all.  The best way to do it is to diversify your model.  Maybe having one account buy and hold index, another doing short term both long and short.  At least your capital is protected!!!!

 Another thing I like to mention if you saw 2008 crash Dow loss 3000 point from July -Nov 2008, while the USD rise from 72-89in the same time.   In 2020 Dow loss 10000 point during the covid crash while USD rose from 94-104.  And this year Dow loss 3000 from its peak and USD unchanged.  You see the pattern here.  Why? Because Back in 2008 the US Debt level is only one third of what we have right now.  I think US dollar slowly loss it value vs physicals commodity like metal and real estate. Another thing I like to mention if you saw 2008 crash Dow loss 3000 point from July -Nov 2008, while the USD rise from 72-89in the same time.   In 2020 Dow loss 10000 point during the covid crash while USD rose from 94-104.  And this year Dow loss 3000 from its peak and USD unchanged.  You see the pattern here.  Why? Because Back in 2008 the US Debt level is only one third of what we have right now.  I think US dollar slowly loss it value vs physicals commodity like metal and real estate.

Another thing I like to mention if you saw 2008 crash Dow loss 3000 point from July -Nov 2008, while the USD rise from 72-89in the same time.   In 2020 Dow loss 10000 point during the covid crash while USD rose from 94-104.  And this year Dow loss 3000 from its peak and USD unchanged.  You see the pattern here.  Why? Because Back in 2008 the US Debt level is only one third of what we have right now.  I think US dollar slowly loss it value vs physicals commodity like metal and real estate.

well central bank around the world has print so many money since 2008.  maybe inflation will peak 20 percent.  I think you are hoping

 but look at gold vs eur and gold vs yen and the housing price in major city for the past few years.  our money will be worth less than toilet paper. but look at gold vs eur and gold vs yen and the housing price in major city for the past few years.  our money will be worth less than toilet paper.

Just look how USDJPY disconnect from Gold for the last few years which answer your question why

well this the result for money printing.  the paper currency will worth less than a toilet paper.

This pair has loss connection with gold for 3 years why because paper currency is going to the toilet as the result of endless money printing by world central bank both before and after Covid period

This pair does not mimic risk asset like used to.  In fact USDJPY has loss connection from gold for 3 years

Well Russia invasion may take oil into 120

USDJPY and Gold disconnect from 2018 on is a sign of paper currency valued being destoryed.  We might get 10 years of hyperinflation