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Dr. Arnout ter Schure


Comments by Dr. Arnout ter Schure
Bitcoin: Early Stage Bull Underway? Oct 23, 2023 10:30PM ET
Opinions…
S&P 500: Rally to 4800 in the Cards? Oct 10, 2023 12:40PM ET
awesome!
S&P 500: Rally to 4800 in the Cards? Oct 10, 2023 12:38PM ET
thank you!
S&P 500: Rally to 4800 in the Cards? Oct 10, 2023 12:33PM ET
thank you!
S&P 500: Rally to 4800 in the Cards? Oct 10, 2023 12:33PM ET
 correct. People who state the "so you say it can go up or down" therewith simply and actually show how uneducated they are about the markets. correct. People who state the "so you say it can go up or down" therewith simply and actually show how uneducated they are about the markets.
S&P 500: Rally to 4800 in the Cards? Oct 10, 2023 12:21PM ET
Kris, yes, the market has now told us by moving already above 4324 yesterday that it most likely would like to target 4800. But it will not be a straight line, of course. Many waves to get there.
S&P 500: Rally to 4800 in the Cards? Oct 09, 2023 6:52PM ET
No, that's not at all what it is about. My ego has nothing to do with it. All I provide are cut-n-dry parameters to tell you what to look for if the market breaks above or below these price levels.One must always have a contingency plan in trading, but I can repeat that in every single update but most will never learn.
S&P 500: Rally to 4800 in the Cards? Oct 09, 2023 6:49PM ET
let us know when you can do better. only then can you come back and provide none-constructive comments. I am also sorry to learn you can't read comprehensively and have very limited if any understanding of how markets work and how to use the mentioned price levels for your trading.
S&P 500: Rally to 4800 in the Cards? Oct 09, 2023 6:47PM ET
No there is no middle ground.
The NASDAQ 100 Reached the $14400s – What Is Next? Oct 03, 2023 5:30PM ET
Hi Michael, thank you.  Please visit the URL written in the chart in Figure 1 and then click on "Menu" in the upper right corner. Click on  "Memberships" and select "Major Markets Forecasting". Easy as 1-2-3. Unfortunately, I can't write the URL here, and even when I write an article with a link in it they scrub it out..., so this description will do.
Bitcoin: Only a Bounce or a New Bull? Oct 01, 2023 5:48PM ET
Thank you!
Is the S&P 500 Still on Track for the 4270s? Sep 25, 2023 9:18PM ET
So what is going to happen instead?
NASDAQ 100: Can It Reach $14400s? Sep 19, 2023 10:03AM ET
70% reliable with 90-95% accuracy.
Bitcoin’s Bottom in? Sep 16, 2023 12:41AM ET
Note, as the comments section here will show: during the accumulation phase and early Bull retail is not interested in cryptos. They will come rushing back during the late Bull phase, when its essentially too late.
The S&P 500 Could Drop to the 4270 Level Sep 12, 2023 3:35PM ET
Thank you for your kind, positive, and constructive feedback and comments. They are much appreciated.
The S&P 500 Could Drop to the 4270 Level Sep 12, 2023 3:35PM ET
I've acknowledged every time I was wrong. But since I am ~70% of the time right, you won't find many wrongs. Moreover, it is not about being right or wrong; we are all students of the market, and thus, we are all wrong until proven right by the market.  Folks who comment like you or the usual "so it can go up or down" fail to realize that the primary value of the EWP is providing a context for market analysis. This context offers disciplined thinking and a perspective on the market's general position and outlook. At times, the EWP accuracy in identifying and even anticipating changes in direction is almost unbelievable.
NASDAQ 100: The Bull Trap Door Has Been Set Aug 15, 2023 3:50PM ET
Correct, thanks for pointing this out. It should read, "Lastly, if the index drops below yesterday's low without reaching the $15450-730 region first"
Bitcoin: When and Where Will the Correction End? Aug 08, 2023 6:17PM ET
Thank you! BTC rallied right on que :-)
S&P 500 Reached 4600+: A Major Top May Be Forming Aug 04, 2023 12:27PM ET
Hi Michael, yes, that's a reasonably fair "broad strokes" assessment IMHO though I would change it to 4600 and 4100.
S&P 500 Reached 4600+: A Major Top May Be Forming Aug 04, 2023 12:25PM ET
 Thanks, and I agree. But we must call out the BS spewers, the haters, and the trolls. Evil prevails when good men do nothing... Thanks, and I agree. But we must call out the BS spewers, the haters, and the trolls. Evil prevails when good men do nothing...
S&P 500 Reached 4600+: A Major Top May Be Forming Aug 03, 2023 7:51PM ET
1) I am up >50% this year. That's what even a supposedly 60/40 edge does to one's account. 2) Show us how you calculated 60%. Otherwise, you are just making stuff up. Especially since my own records show I am about 70% of the time right based on the simple fact one often gets 3 to 4 out of the 5 waves correct. 3) Nobody always gets it right; I have yet to find an analyst who's consistently >70% correct. It's an illusion. 4) Proper risk management is what matters most, as Stephen concurs, and even with 60/40 your account will grow nicely over time. The problem is a) all want to get rich quickly, and b) poor risk management. Even with a 90% winning rate, the 10% losses will wreck most accounts when no proper stops are implemented. E.g., 9x $1000 profit vs. 1x $10K loss is still net -$1000....
S&P 500 Reached 4600+: A Major Top May Be Forming Aug 03, 2023 7:50PM ET
 what part of preferred vs. alternate/contingency don't you get? what part of preferred vs. alternate/contingency don't you get?
S&P 500 Reached 4600+: A Major Top May Be Forming Aug 03, 2023 7:48PM ET
You are correct. I apologize for the error.
Nasdaq 100 Stampede Poised to Take a Breather Jul 20, 2023 4:37PM ET
See chart in Figure 1: low-14K imho with 14200+/-200 preferred.