Will the FRB put continue is the proverbial question. We are in Stagflation, given the FRB the onerous decision to chose between inflation and recession. The most important questions 1. will it cause another massive credit collapse as it did in 2008 and 2. can the central bankers save it this time when some like Timothy Gietner says they just barely pulled it off last time and we have increased our debt by at least 3 times since then.
That will cause a recession as sellers will be forced to lower prices. Once prices start going lower, everyone put buying on hold to see just how low the prices will go. All construction and mortgages slow. Some mortgage companies have already started to lay off a significant number of people. That's why we should never have allowed a central bank in the first place. People actually believe you can micromanage the macro-economy. Job well done right? That will cause a recession as sellers will be forced to lower prices. Once prices start going lower, everyone put buying on hold to see just how low the prices will go. All construction and mortgages slow. Some mortgage companies have already started to lay off a significant number of people. That's why we should never have allowed a central bank in the first place. People actually believe you can micromanage the macro-economy. Job well done right?
7.9% inflation and FRB cutting the acquisition of MBS's and Treasuries. Dont worry mon, everything's fine. Watch people scramble to buy houses even more than they already are. Anyone seeing more residential foreclusures and defaults in their area?
Isn't it interesting now that Covid-19 is over, they needed another excuse for the deteriorating economic conditions. ECB just lowered their growth forecasts and raised their inflation forecasts.
All social policies enacted have contraindications. It's only a matter of when they occure so what ever they do is not necessarily benefitial. Oil prices as just one example.
I don't think the East or the West has the money with the current international economic conditions slowing to continue this war very long. The U.S. is in debt both private and public up to their eyeballs and our trade balances are the worst in history while both China and Russia hjave been buying gold in mass. All the businesses and banks find ways to circumvent sanctions. Germany needs Russsia's natural gas and is one of the reason Russia invaded to protect it;s natural gas pipeline. The authorities do not like to talk much about the commerical interests but we know they are key components of all hostilities go back to at least pre WWI as Marine Corp Major General Smedley Butler so aply nave his book "War Is A Racket".
Someone stated that If Russia demanded gold for oil instead of USDs, since they are being denied access to the SWIFT system it could be a major game changer.
Someone stated that If Russia demanded gold for oil instead of USDs, since they are being denied access to the SWIFT system it could be a major game changer.
Someone stated that If Russia demanded gold for oil instead of USDs, since they are being denied access to the SWIFT system it could be a major game changer.
the world economic system is collapsing and they have nothing set in place yet to replace it. When it crashes it's going to be devastating for most people whgo are not prepared.
Cash fro the sale of stocks is going ito money markets and them ending up on the FRB's balance sheet from overnight Reverse Repo transactions. It's the only game left in town.
Not sure the last comment will still occur under the now quite different set of circumstances. The eastern black nations are not as pro western block as many think. Look how long the rebel Ukrainian forces have been fighting against Kyiv. They already tried democratic socialism and most people didn't like it. It's only really good for the bureaucracy and super wealthy.
Is it enough though to make a significant difference especially when yields adjusted for inflation are negative due to the overall weak demand necessitating the FRBs balance sheet activities since 2008.
I'm surely not going t bet against your prognostications. I believe the system is rapidly melting down due to the lack of adequate pricing mechanism, many of which are now much like they were caught doing with the Libor Index and paper silver. War is often a good cover over of the underlying financial and economic problems.
The international currency and trade wars are as interesting as the Ukrainian Civil war and now Russian invasion. Be very careful with your invesments.
These times are being explained by many as "uncharted waters" meaning past preformances may not necessary be indicative of the future results. All governemnt interventions have the ability to effect the markets especially wars and geopolitical regulations like prohibting Russian banks from the SWiFT system. There are to many interventions to be able to rationallly determine the probability of the fiancial future of most markets. Of course you can still take a guess and some witl be right and some wrong. Once a system reaches a point when the pricing mechanisms are eliminated, due to all the manipulations, it is an indication the system is broken beyond repair as all debt based fiat systems have hsitorically secumbed to. When you see the central banks reacting to the economic instabilities or causing more, it is just anothr indcator(s) of this reality. Good luck all
It appears more people are starting to eat at the fast food dives again, now that the plandemic is over. I'm going to apply for a job at the Dollar Store next week, so I can get employee discounted dollars. You saw were the CDC says mask don't work?