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Dimitri Speck

  • Analysis & Opinion

Dimitri Speck's Opinion & Analysis
A complete archive of Dimitri Speck's articles, including current analysis & opinion.

The US dollar typically declines at the end of the year – and recovers immediately thereafter The chart below shows the seasonal pattern of the US dollar index. This is not a standard price...
I am convinced of the validity of seasonal patterns. The fact that stocks, commodities or currencies exhibit seasonal trends is backed by exhaustive statistical studies. Moreover, there are sound...
You may already have guessed: when the vibrant colors of the autumn leaves are revealed in all their splendor, the strongest seasonal period of the year begins in the stock market – namely the...
When I heard about Bitcoin for the first time in May 2011, it was trading at 8 US dollars. Today, more than eight years later, it trades at around 8,000 dollars. A thousandfold increase! Had I...
The seasonally weak period in the S&P 500 Index lies directly ahead!First let us take a look at a normal seasonal chart of the S&P 500 Index. It has been calculated based on the average...
Four times a year on the third Friday of March, June, September and December, contracts for stock index futures, stock index options and equity options expire concurrently. Derivatives contracts are...
On 24 July 2020 the Olympic Summer Games will begin in Tokyo, the capital of Japan. In addition to the Olympics, Soccer World Cups are among the largest sporting events in the world. Are you also...
Within nine months, yields on the 10-Year treasury note have declined from 3.2% to 1.8%, once again approaching their all time lows. The situation is even more extreme in other developed countries. On...
You can probably imagine that I am convinced of the merits of seasonality. However, even I was surprised that an investment strategy based on seasonality is apparently leaving numerous far more...
I have discussed Bitcoin’s seasonal pattern in the course of a year. In this issue I will show an analysis of the returns of bitcoin on individual days of the week. It seems to me that Bitcoin...