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AIM Investor Journal

Joined: 18/06/16


Comments by AIM Investor Journal
Dollar Index Futures Apr 21, 2021 7:33AM ET
Called the short term trend right yesterday, now approaching firm resistance.
Dollar Index Futures Apr 20, 2021 6:52PM ET
Short term room to test 91.3 before continuing on down below 91
Dollar Index Futures Apr 20, 2021 10:05AM ET
Daily chart looks positive despite the weak trend more recently. Going long would be the equivalent of playing with fire in my humble opinion. Wait for it to top later before adding shorts
Dollar Index Futures Apr 19, 2021 3:47PM ET
 Gold hit 90 earlier, up from recent lows of 78.. wait til the dollar drops through 91.. Gold hit $1790 earlier, up from recent lows of $1678.. wait til the dollar drops through 91..
Dollar Index Futures Apr 19, 2021 3:45PM ET
Biden taking a dump on cigarette companies. More regulations inbound. Only thing left to smoke will be dollar bills!
Dollar Index Futures Apr 19, 2021 8:34AM ET
In all seriousness though it's pretty shady of Peloton to advertising and selling these faulty products, "39 incidents including one death"
Dollar Index Futures Apr 19, 2021 8:30AM ET
Peloton just announced treadmill results. People still prefer to run outside. Eiks!
Gold Apr 13, 2021 1:23PM ET
close it
Gold Apr 13, 2021 1:22PM ET
Threat of war in the Middle East now the highest in over 4 years following missile attack on an Israeli ship near the UAE. This came after Israel attacked a ship off the coast of Yemen last week and a possible attack on Iran's nuclear programme.
Gold Apr 13, 2021 1:20PM ET
Possibly rising because of increased tensions in Ukraine and build up of forces along the border. Biden has now promised to increase US troop numbers in Germany and strengthen NATO to counter Russian aggression. Hopefully this is just posturing and nothing to worry about
Dollar Index Futures Apr 13, 2021 11:02AM ET
First dip below 92!
Dollar Index Futures Apr 09, 2021 1:21PM ET
One of the key drivers of the Canadian Dollar's strong performance in 2021 has been a rapid reprisal of BoC policy with investors judging the central bank is on course to start shrinking its balance sheet ahead of other major central banks. The BoC in March indicated it would start removing some of the stimulus it had created during the covid crisis with a view to returning monetary policy to 'normal' settings given the economy's strong rebound and improved outlook. A general rule-of-thumb in foreign exchange is that when a central bank shrink its balance sheet, via raising interest rates and exiting quantitative easing programmes, the currency it issues rises in value. - google news story: Canadian Dollar: The Good News is in the Price says Citi (poundsterlinglive.com)
Dollar Index Futures Apr 09, 2021 1:18PM ET
 General travel has been banned in many countries including the UK, many EU nations etc, the US is unique in that regard. Canada's fiscal response has been less destructive than the US in terms of mass stimulus. Canada are contemplating a rate rise as early as the end of this year. The recent rise in covid cases may harm these expectations though and obviously if oil prices fall (unlikely) one would expect the CAD to weaken. It's a very interesting case though, best performing currency this year isn't it? General travel has been banned in many countries including the UK, many EU nations etc, the US is unique in that regard. Canada's fiscal response has been less destructive than the US in terms of mass stimulus. Canada are contemplating a rate rise as early as the end of this year. The recent rise in covid cases may harm these expectations though and obviously if oil prices fall (unlikely) one would expect the CAD to weaken. It's a very interesting case though, best performing currency this year isn't it?
Dollar Index Futures Apr 09, 2021 12:51PM ET
 According to Citi bank this week, rising covid cases in Canada present 'headwinds' for the CAD. Up until now they have been benefitting from the bullish US economic outlook combined with rising oil prices (major exporter) According to Citi bank this week, rising covid cases in Canada present 'headwinds' for the CAD. Up until now they have been benefitting from the bullish US economic outlook combined with rising oil prices (major exporter)
Dollar Index Futures Apr 09, 2021 12:46PM ET
 Canada are implementing provincial lockdowns correct? Ontario last week, Alberta before that and this as recently as last week. Also more importantly the Canadian Dollar is to an extent, able to ride on the coattails of any positive US economic data, it being it's greatest trading partner by a country mile. European economic data has been awful more recently in comparison. Canada are implementing provincial lockdowns correct? Ontario last week, Alberta before that and this as recently as last week. Also more importantly the Canadian Dollar is to an extent, able to ride on the coattails of any positive US economic data, it being it's greatest trading partner by a country mile. European economic data has been awful more recently in comparison.
Dollar Index Futures Apr 09, 2021 12:29PM ET
Agatha Cantrill's call-in from Berlin reporting Europe's vaccine campaign gathering pace. Highest daily doses administered in a number of European countries. Italy coming out of lockdown. Generally better news beginning to weigh on USD in recent days. Trend suggests the dollar will continue to weaken more generally in the coming months
Inflation Spike Begins, Europe's Vaccines, Amazon Vote - What's up in Markets Apr 09, 2021 7:21AM ET
The $1.9 trillion American Rescue Plan (ARP) will delay a return to a fiscal stance consistent with stabilization of the government debt ratio, says Fitch Ratings. Consequently, the prospect of debt stabilization is further away than when Fitch placed the US Sovereign Rating of ‘AAA’ on Negative Outlook in July 2020. General government debt will reach 127% of GDP in 2021.  At the time of the review of the US rating in July 2020 we said that the rating could be downgraded in the absence of a credible commitment to address medium-term public spending and debt challenges.  Our debt dynamics assume government debt is likely to exceed 130% of GDP and be on a gradual upward trajectory under relatively benign economic assumptions. Without a fiscal anchor fiscal policy may be more expansionary, leading debt to rise more rapidly.
Inflation Spike Begins, Europe's Vaccines, Amazon Vote - What's up in Markets Apr 09, 2021 7:19AM ET
Fitch have warned the US administration has yet to set out its full fiscal ambitions, which are expected to include another package of spending on infrastructure and the US could be downgraded without a plan to balance debt and spending “in the post-pandemic phase.”
Dollar Index Futures Apr 09, 2021 7:10AM ET
Analysts led by Charles Seville said the administration has yet to set out its full fiscal ambitions, which are expected to include another package of spending on infrastructure. The rating firm has said the US could be downgraded without a plan to balance debt and spending “in the post-pandemic phase.”
Dollar Index Futures Apr 09, 2021 7:06AM ET
The US is far out of kilter with other AAA nations like Germany, Australia, and Norway, according to Fitch data on federal debt to gross domestic product.
Dollar Index Futures Apr 09, 2021 7:03AM ET
Fitch Ratings-New York-09 March 2021: The $1.9 trillion American Rescue Plan (ARP) will deliver a strong economic boost but the scale of the package points to a delayed return to a fiscal stance consistent with stabilization of the government debt ratio, says Fitch Ratings. Consequently, the prospect of debt stabilization is further away than when Fitch placed the US Sovereign Rating of ‘AAA’ on Negative Outlook in July 2020. General government debt will reach 127% of GDP in 2021.  At the time of the review of the US rating in July 2020 we said that the rating could be downgraded in the absence of a credible commitment to address medium-term public spending and debt challenges.  Our debt dynamics assume government debt is likely to exceed 130% of GDP and be on a gradual upward trajectory under relatively benign economic assumptions. However, without a fiscal anchor fiscal policy may be more expansionary, leading debt to rise more rapidly.
U.S. 10Y Apr 09, 2021 7:03AM ET
Fitch Ratings-New York-09 March 2021: The $1.9 trillion American Rescue Plan (ARP) will deliver a strong economic boost but the scale of the package points to a delayed return to a fiscal stance consistent with stabilization of the government debt ratio, says Fitch Ratings. Consequently, the prospect of debt stabilization is further away than when Fitch placed the US Sovereign Rating of ‘AAA’ on Negative Outlook in July 2020. General government debt will reach 127% of GDP in 2021.  At the time of the review of the US rating in July 2020 we said that the rating could be downgraded in the absence of a credible commitment to address medium-term public spending and debt challenges.  Our debt dynamics assume government debt is likely to exceed 130% of GDP and be on a gradual upward trajectory under relatively benign economic assumptions. However, without a fiscal anchor fiscal policy may be more expansionary, leading debt to rise more rapidly.
Dollar Index Futures Apr 09, 2021 6:37AM ET
Currently $230k per American tax payer.
Dollar Index Futures Apr 09, 2021 6:26AM ET
The US have been printing on a scale unrivalled by any other. Publics debt per working American has jumped from $137k to over $200k in the space of a year! The worse thing is Biden is only just getting started. US Public Debt is set to reach $34-35 trillion by year end with two further stimulus / infrastructure packages planned
Dollar Index Futures Apr 09, 2021 6:24AM ET
 The US have been printing on a scale unrivalled by any other. Publics debt per working American has jumped from 7k to over 0k in the space of a year! The worse thing is Biden is only just getting started. US Public Debt is set to reach -35 trillion by year end with two further stimulus / infrastructure packages planned The US have been printing on a scale unrivalled by any other. Publics debt per working American has jumped from $137k to over $200k in the space of a year! The worse thing is Biden is only just getting started. US Public Debt is set to reach $34-35 trillion by year end with two further stimulus / infrastructure packages planned