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Steve Saville

  • Analysis & Opinion

Steve Saville's Opinion & Analysis
A complete archive of Steve Saville's articles, including current analysis & opinion - Page 4

Senior policymakers at the Fed assert that the “inflation” surge of the past several months will prove to be transitory, and it isn’t hard to find market analysts and economists who...
The major trends in monetary inflation result in a boom-bust cycle. In particular, a rising trend in the money-supply growth rate leads to increased consumption and investment spending, ushering-in...
In an article in May of last year we explained why the US economic rebound from the H1-2020 plunge into recession probably would look like a ‘V’. Our conclusion at that time was: “There will be a ‘V’...
The US stock market was reminded last Thursday that the Biden Administration plans to increase taxes to cover part of the cost of its spending proposals. This caused a pullback in the S&P 500 Index...
Current government debt loads will never be paid off. Instead, new debt will replace expiring old debt. Also, new debt will be issued to pay the interest on existing debt and to finance increased...
There are seven inputs to our Gold True Fundamentals Model (GTFM), one of which is an indicator of US credit spreads (a credit spread is the difference between the yield on a relatively high-risk bond...
We have focused on the monetary tsunami set in motion by central banks, but there is another force contributing to the record-high valuations in the US stock market. That force is the shift towards...
The title of this discussion is a trick question. The reason is that while rising interest rates put downward pressure on some stock market sectors during some periods, it is not clear that rising...
For the first time in a long time, the sentiment backdrop recently became supportive for the gold price. However, the true fundamentals have been trending in a gold-bearish direction since...
Below is an excerpt from our latest monthly review of the short and immediate term prospects for the US economy, published last week. We think that last year’s US recession ended in June plus/minus...