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Steve Saville

  • Analysis & Opinion

Steve Saville's Opinion & Analysis
A complete archive of Steve Saville's articles, including current analysis & opinion.

One of the few commonly-believed things about gold that is actually true is that gold tends to become more valuable when the real interest rate is trending downward and less valuable when the real...
Central banks and governments rarely, if ever, take responsibility for obvious inflation problems. They never have to, because by the time an inflation problem becomes obvious, a lot of time will have...
The phenomenal rise in the US monetary inflation rate from early-2020 to early-2021 set in motion an economic boom. There remains some doubt as to whether the boom is over, but the weight of evidence...
My Gold True Fundamentals Model (GTFM) takes into account the seven most important fundamental drivers of the US$ gold price: the real interest rate, the yield curve, credit spreads, the relative...
For 36 years the yield on the 10-year T-Note moved lower within the channel drawn on the following chart. Depending on how the lines are drawn, an upside breakout from this channel may or may not have...
The phenomenal rise in the US monetary inflation rate from early-2020 to early-2021 fueled a speculative mania in the stock market and set in motion an economic boom, while the subsequent plunge in...
Gold is inherently a stronger currency than the USD. This is because the total supply of gold increases by about 1.5% every year, whereas the total supply of US dollars seldom grows at a rate of less...
The latest leading economic data indicate that the US expansion is intact. This is the case even though the following monthly chart reveals that the ISM Manufacturing New Orders Index (NOI), one of...
The latest leading economic data indicate that the US expansion is intact. This is the case even though the following monthly chart reveals that in January 2022 the ISM Manufacturing New Orders Index...
After the FOMC meeting on Wednesday 26 Jan., the Fed—via a post-meeting statement and a press conference—made it clear that it plans to end its bond monetization (QE) program in early-March and hinted...