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Matthew Weller

  • Analysis & Opinion

Matthew Weller's Opinion & Analysis
A complete archive of Matthew Weller's articles, including current analysis & opinion.

US inflation is showing signs of stalling as it approaches the Fed’s 2% target, while Canadian price pressures are already well within the BOC’s 1-3% target range. This makes a more compelling case...
NFP report expectations: +148K jobs, +0.3% m/m earnings, unemployment at 4.2% The leading indicators point to a potentially better-than-expected reading in this month’s NFP report, with headline job...
China’s A50 index is mirroring the 2014-2015 surge, the last time policymakers enacted coordinated fiscal/monetary/macroprudential stimulus measures. Back then, the A50 went on to double within nine...
GBP/USD has surged on the back of strong UK economic data and the BOE’s interest rate eclipsing the Fed’s. The pair is forming a Dark Cloud Cover pattern at resistance. Two different momentum...
Traders are the most uncertain about what the Fed will do in at least a decade. Expect higher-than-usual volatility around the Fed decision, with the potential for Powell to moderate whatever the...
Before delving too deeply into the specifics, it’s important to remember one key fact when analyzing the impact of US elections on the stock market: Broad stock market indices like the S&P 500...
US CPI expectations: 2.6% y/y headline inflation, 3.2% y/y “core” inflation As the last major economic release ahead of next week’s Federal Reserve Monetary Policy meeting, the US CPI report may...
NFP report expectations: +164K jobs, +0.3% m/m earnings, unemployment at 4.2% The leading indicators point to an as expected reading in this month’s NFP report, with headline job growth potentially...
When global stock indices tank, the Japanese yen is usually a big beneficiary of the risk-off trade. The weaker-than-expected JOLTS Job Openings survey is weighing on the US dollar. If 143.50 gives...
After a brief swoon back toward $2500, gold is once again trading near its record high at $2530. The latent risks of deficit spending in the world’s largest economy, even in times of relatively...