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ck ck

Joined: 23/07/12


Comments by ck ck
S&P 500 Futures May 15, 2022 2:04PM ET
Crypto may be dead for years with the market,  3k Bitcoin to 40-50k tops.
S&P 500 Futures May 15, 2022 9:58AM ET
  One good thing anout inflation driving up COLA fot social security, they don't go negative when inflation peaks, so you would keep all of what the check went to and have much more buying power as inflation drops, could take a 10-15 years though.  One good thing anout inflation driving up COLA fot social security, they don't go negative when inflation peaks, so you would keep all of what the check went to and have much more buying power as inflation drops, could take a 10-15 years though.
S&P 500 Futures May 15, 2022 9:52AM ET
Oil did not peak until 1980 at $140. With this admiistration, it might not peak for many years and probably $150 per barrel. So, $7 gasoline easy. Gold has either been putting in a long term bullish cup and handle or it was  driven up to 1980 prices artificially by QE and there is no advancement in gold from here,  that has no bearing on inflation where its going though.
S&P 500 Futures May 15, 2022 9:24AM ET
The 70's bear market actually started, topped, in Jan. of 1966 and did not end until the low in 1982. That was not a 4 year bear, it was 16 years long, nearly twice as long as 2000-2009, and there were no old high retests like in the 2000-2009 market. CPI did not peak until 1982, the social security COLA was 14% that year and Fed funds rate 20%. The COLA was 8% in 1975, they are now estimating next years COLA will be 8.6% at current inflation rate. The bear market of the 70's did not correct the inflation problem, it took 16 years to do that and 20% ultimate Fed funds rate. So, even if we drop 50%, the problem likely will not go away for a decade at least. And if the Fed thinks that inflation will improve with any amount of QE, they are just wrong. Inflation plateaued in 1975 around 8% for years and then skyrocketed again in 1980-1982.
S&P 500 Futures May 15, 2022 9:02AM ET
Whty was inflation ignored when comparing this rate increase cycle to the one in 2014, I expect  now they should go all in long at 4k and take their medicine. 2022 social security COLA was calculated in 3rd qtr of 2021, it was 5.9%, a jump from 1.3% the prior year, this was known well before the March 2022 Fed meeting and hike, 2014 the COLA rate was 1.2% when the rate hikes started. Why was this ignored and just banked on the low will be the first rate hike?
S&P 500 Futures May 15, 2022 8:13AM ET
Every time I replybto one of them, their post disappears, I doubt tgey are actively blocking me, seens like it might be the only way admin get alerted and them delete post when someone replies. It's not a permanent fix though. But if everyone does this, it might reduce them. I even logged out and checked, they were just gone.
S&P 500 Futures May 14, 2022 8:02PM ET
I guess if you struck it big one day and made 10 million, you don't need to trade nor need to be right.
S&P 500 Futures May 14, 2022 4:57PM ET
  Thanks for the signal.  Thanks for the signal.
S&P 500 Futures May 14, 2022 3:42PM ET
SPXS is only up 40% from Dec. Should be 60% minimum, extreme slippage.
S&P 500 Futures May 14, 2022 2:23PM ET
8% inflation a little different from 2014
S&P 500 Futures May 14, 2022 2:22PM ET
I thought the market low was supposed to be the first rate hike, what happened? Historical patterns worthless I guess, taken outside of economic context.
S&P 500 Futures May 14, 2022 9:55AM ET
Maybe Saturday too.
S&P 500 Futures May 14, 2022 9:52AM ET
Majority here must get drunk on Friday nights.
S&P 500 Futures May 14, 2022 9:21AM ET
Is that why Bitcoin is way down?
S&P 500 Futures May 14, 2022 9:15AM ET
OTM's turn to dust usually, less than 2 weeks out.
S&P 500 Futures May 14, 2022 9:13AM ET
  Depends on how much time is left before you have to rolll.  Depends on how much time is left before you have to rolll.
S&P 500 Futures May 14, 2022 7:19AM ET
If that was the case, Bitcoin would be 40k right now, it's down more though.
S&P 500 Futures May 14, 2022 7:15AM ET
Nobody here knows what they are doing short term in this market, no one. Only way anyone is surviving is hedging and that costs.
S&P 500 Futures May 13, 2022 10:11AM ET
Not worth trading today, I have awhile before my hedge expires. Good time to do nothing and wait it out.
S&P 500 Futures May 13, 2022 9:56AM ET
Short and walking away.
S&P 500 Futures May 13, 2022 9:27AM ET
  They were dirt cheap for a reason.  They were dirt cheap for a reason.
S&P 500 Futures May 13, 2022 9:15AM ET
Carnage already.
S&P 500 Futures May 13, 2022 8:09AM ET
75 point gap to fill
S&P 500 Futures May 12, 2022 7:58PM ET
Big down Friday's are gone, theta pin tomorrow.
S&P 500 Futures May 12, 2022 5:05PM ET
Fair value on TSLA is $25, 2018 low.