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US Small Cap 2000 (RUT)

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1,942.96 -4.99    -0.26%
18/04 - Closed. Currency in USD ( Disclaimer )
Type:  Index
Market:  United States
  • Volume: -
  • Open: 1,951.24
  • Day's Range: 1,941.32 - 1,971.39
Small Cap 2000 1,942.96 -4.99 -0.26%

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Timothy Technography
Timothy Technography 10 hours ago
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Despite the VIX giving technical analysts a broad market buy signal, beware the downtrend will not subside for at least a week, probably two and can't rule out longer this far out. While WaveTech has been wrong this week for first time in a while regarding the timing and severity this week, it was correct that stocks would end the week lower, and Treasury yields higher. All daily charts of SPX, RUT, TLT and US 30-year Yield (good measure for mortgage rates, risk off markets and yield curve steepness) indicate the same continued direction overall next week, especially by end of next week. They also indicate that reversals are beginning to form, and that we should expect next Wed. or more likely next Friday will hit an extreme in the current direction (stocks and bonds selloff), reverse in a relief rally that is tested week later around May 8 (so another bearish period). Those wanting to reduce risk should wait until after May 8th add long positions.
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Christopher Cooper
Christopher Cooper 8 hours ago
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Well looks like I’m stuck holding for months since it didn’t bounce this week to lower my exposure
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Timothy Technography
Timothy Technography Apr 18, 2024 2:10PM ET
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1713463819_4036.jpg
You can see from this hourly chart that selling pressure has lost momentum, and the INITIAL stages of a bottoming formation is POSSIBLE, based on intraday charts. However, daily chart of RUT (and SPX, NDX, Dow) indicate selling pressure doesn't completely dissipate until a week into May. This bottoming phase allows us to make money in both directions, although small caps continue have a weaker support structure than large caps, which makes sense when rates are in restrictive territory.
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Timothy Technography
Timothy Technography Apr 18, 2024 10:55AM ET
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As Christopher and I've noted, WaveTech's forecast wasn't right last week for a bounce around this past Tuesday, holding on maybe till today/Thurs., before diving lower by Friday, and especially early next week. But I'll share my interpretation of its updated projections on momentum and moving averages. The 3-hour chart, or half-session chart (9:30-12:30, 12:30-15:30, 15:30-16:00) indicates max weakness was yesterday afternoon. So the selling was so intense, it moved up (earlier) the approximate lowest half-session period (could still be a more granular interval low). It shows overall improvement/uptrend through end of April, but with dips this Friday afternoon, Monday being unclear (leans weak but more likely choppy), and beyond that too early to even discuss. The daily reacts more slowly to market forces than intraday, but it's also a stronger force since longer periods of momentum outweigh shorter intervals, just like an ocean wave formed by a tanker ship that hits a counter direction smaller boat will overwhelm it despite some choppiness when they meet. Daily indicates downtrend continues, we don't see 'relief' stabilization forming until April 29, but with choppiness and a test of the low around May 8, V-E Day anniversary. Beyond that the weekly indicates a multi week rally.
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Christopher Cooper
Christopher Cooper Apr 18, 2024 10:55AM ET
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I sold half and moved that to 50% TQQQ, and 50% UPRO.
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Christopher Cooper
Christopher Cooper Apr 17, 2024 4:08PM ET
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I wonder if Israel is concerned about the stock market. Maybe they’ll hold off retaliation until after it rebounds.
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dummey dummey
dummey dummey Apr 17, 2024 1:28PM ET
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small cap stocks big positive side up move come don't hold selling position buy fast up move come
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Christopher Cooper
Christopher Cooper Apr 17, 2024 11:29AM ET
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F this. Goodbye
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Christopher Cooper
Christopher Cooper Apr 17, 2024 10:57AM ET
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Wave Tech 0 - 3 this week.
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Christopher Cooper
Christopher Cooper Apr 17, 2024 10:57AM ET
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I hope it changes to 1 - 3 by the end if the day. I agree that the forecasts have been solid over the previous three weeks.
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Timothy Technography
Timothy Technography Apr 17, 2024 10:57AM ET
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Yes, I agree. Price moved opposite to forecasts this week for RUT and major indices. WaveTech did make me a 50% gain on XLE puts bought on last Friday's opening gap up, ahead of a decline through yesterday (with some up/down choppiness through next Wed. and probably downside resuming second half of next week). And it did forecast TLT would bounce today, but like RUT, WaveTech did not foresee this level of downside Monday through today. I noticed the bounces happened on news that the House is finally taking up legislation that should have been voted on last fall had Speaker struggles not dominated the chamber. I'm curious if the timing is coincidence or material. Back to RUT, WaveTech as of 1:50 pm leans bearish tomorrow and definitely Friday and later on daily chart. However, sometimes it masks undercurrents, so I look at the half-day 3-hr charts, and they look like some bullishness tomorrow and Friday morning, but weakness both afternoons. I'm trying to scale into IWM puts and offload calls, but it's hard for me to do either down here when an oversold bounce ahead seems more likely than more declines tomorrow.
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Timothy Technography
Timothy Technography Apr 17, 2024 10:57AM ET
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At 2:30 pm, I noticed something not indicated before. While the daily RUT chart shows maximum resistance (selling pressure around May 8), with April 26-27 very close, RUT's 3-hour chart indicates intraday max selling pressure was this morning, and that the selling pressure slowly fades, with this Friday EOD being the next strongest weak point, but the project 10-period moving avg. of 3-hour (interval) is more sideways with slight slow drift lower, not up, until May. I trust the daily chart to be more reliable, but I want to see if the 3-hour is an earlier indicator that selling is fading. For now, I'm still looking to exit IWM calls and add puts. My first of three possible lots of each position executed many minutes ago.
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Christopher Cooper
Christopher Cooper Apr 17, 2024 10:24AM ET
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Let’s see. Fed contradicting itself, unrealistic inflation metrics and Israel ready to carpet bomb Iran. Looks like any bounce will be sold. Wave Tech can handle the Middle East
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Christopher Cooper
Christopher Cooper Apr 17, 2024 10:24AM ET
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Can’t handle that is.
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Christopher Cooper
Christopher Cooper Apr 17, 2024 10:05AM ET
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Truly frustrating
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Christopher Cooper
Christopher Cooper Apr 16, 2024 1:37PM ET
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What does Wave Tech have to say about what just happened? I assumed Israel attacked which they will at some point
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Christopher Cooper
Christopher Cooper Apr 16, 2024 1:37PM ET
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I forgot Powell was speaking yesterday. More ambiguity
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