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Nikkei 225 (N225)

Real-time capital.com
Symbol
Exchange
Currency
JP225DerivedJPY
N225TokyoJPY
Currency in JPY
Disclaimer
37,563.00
+103.50(+0.28%)
Closed

Nikkei 225 Discussions

perfect
Hi
will it reach 41k this month?
not a chance
It could be the top is in or it's close.
perfect
nice
The BOJ has so extensively propped this up, so maxed out its balance sheet, got rates so low--negative even, and the gov of Japan is so extremely indebted now, and created a business landscape so incredibly weak, rife with overcapacity and low productivity and very dependent on free money that there is nothing left in the toolbox for the landscape of declining population and zombie companies now. When this thing falls and the semiconductor cycle turns, look out below. The drop is going to be as steep or steeper than the rise. I am predicting a low ultimately lower than the 7,000 range during the 2008-9 drop. Take note speculators. This is far from a safe place to park a dime.
What are your thoughts on this?
It's the sharks taking good people's money. Dont let them take it.
I have never been into such position for many years of trading, got trapped so bad😡
That's what the sharks want. They want to take your hard earned money so they can have their $15 cafe lattes and $30,000 watches. Dont let them take it.
Hello
I like
perfect.
will it reach 40k ?
it's not nice
i bought so it's nice lol
it's not nice for you either
lmfao
lol
No wonder Japan were GARBAGE NATIONS 🤣
nicee
nice
Hi
red,red....
Uff.. Falling, should be up..
who's definitely
First time glancing on here at the comments as I recently retired from 35 years as an Institutional trader and investment manager. There seems to be some solid fundamental views here but also a wide misinterpretation of asset allocation participants. The largest participants are Sovereign Funds, Pension Funds, Provident Funds and Hedge Funds. These are buyside participants who enter positions in size and maintain a medium to long-term asset allocation tenure and although acutely aware of sizable corrections in macro price-action are largely undeterred and more often to not will add to the allocation at structured levels. That said, N225 is well populated with large buy side participants and has been since mid 2021 and will continue to be, at least until a notable change in underlying fundamentals, which to the best of my knowledge are not on the immediate horizon.
Interesting take. I would note that a number of Pension Funds got creamed in the 2008 because they had loaded up MBS without understanding at all what they were getting into. I also know that hedge funds are notorious for buying at the top and selling at the bottom because half of them dont know what they are doing. Furthermore, a lot running money these days have not seen much of a bear market and nothing if you exclude the drop in 2021. But then that drop was quickly rectified by central banks coming to the rescue rapidly, which in my view largely created massive bubbles and stoked major inflation. As for fundamentals, if you check with the Ministry of Finance, the latest information shows corporate profits in Japan decreased to 23797.50 JPY Billion in the third quarter of 2023 from 31606.12 JPY Billion in the second quarter of 2023. Japan is also in a recession. Hence I fail to see what you mean by fundamentals. They are horrible. In a nutshell, a lot in the financial industry are simply salespeople who have no idea what they are talking about. The rest run OTHER people's money, and these days, a lot have little experience in anything but markets that always go up.
Right. I suppose falling profits, a recession and a huge bubble dont count as fundamentals.
It's odd people think Japanese shares are cheap compared to the US. First, the US is extremely expensive, with a CAPE of roughly 33, but for one, its risk premium is at a multidecade low. Second, it is in an AI bubble. Yeah, Japan's cape is now at almost 27, but remember, Japan's GDP has been roughly flat for decades--implying near zero growth. Meanwhile, US GDP shows it has quadrupled in the same time frame, implying there is a HUGE difference in the growth rates between the two. Third, rates are negative in Japan, implying the cost of business is very low and with Japan set to normalize, it implies costs will rise--which means profits will fall. Fourth, when US bubble bursts, rates will come down and more in line with Japan--set to raise rates, implying that the rate differential will narrow and exporter profits will fall by a lot. Fifth, people are borrowing yen to do the carry trade. That will unwind as the yen starts to appreciate, adding to the above. Sixth, the ratio of market cap to GDP has never been higher for Japan and shows it is 30% higher than it was during the peak of the 1989 bubble.
This thing going to the moon, 40k is only a pit stop... shorters we need your cash
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