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Nikkei 225 (N225)

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Currency in JPY
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40,151.00
0.00(0.00%)
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Nikkei 225 Discussions

nice
Hi
red,red....
Uff.. Falling, should be up..
who's definitely
First time glancing on here at the comments as I recently retired from 35 years as an Institutional trader and investment manager. There seems to be some solid fundamental views here but also a wide misinterpretation of asset allocation participants. The largest participants are Sovereign Funds, Pension Funds, Provident Funds and Hedge Funds. These are buyside participants who enter positions in size and maintain a medium to long-term asset allocation tenure and although acutely aware of sizable corrections in macro price-action are largely undeterred and more often to not will add to the allocation at structured levels. That said, N225 is well populated with large buy side participants and has been since mid 2021 and will continue to be, at least until a notable change in underlying fundamentals, which to the best of my knowledge are not on the immediate horizon.
Interesting take. I would note that a number of Pension Funds got creamed in the 2008 because they had loaded up MBS without understanding at all what they were getting into. I also know that hedge funds are notorious for buying at the top and selling at the bottom because half of them dont know what they are doing. Furthermore, a lot running money these days have not seen much of a bear market and nothing if you exclude the drop in 2021. But then that drop was quickly rectified by central banks coming to the rescue rapidly, which in my view largely created massive bubbles and stoked major inflation. As for fundamentals, if you check with the Ministry of Finance, the latest information shows corporate profits in Japan decreased to 23797.50 JPY Billion in the third quarter of 2023 from 31606.12 JPY Billion in the second quarter of 2023. Japan is also in a recession. Hence I fail to see what you mean by fundamentals. They are horrible. In a nutshell, a lot in the financial industry are simply salespeople who have no idea what they are talking about. The rest run OTHER people's money, and these days, a lot have little experience in anything but markets that always go up.
Right. I suppose falling profits, a recession and a huge bubble dont count as fundamentals.
It's odd people think Japanese shares are cheap compared to the US. First, the US is extremely expensive, with a CAPE of roughly 33, but for one, its risk premium is at a multidecade low. Second, it is in an AI bubble. Yeah, Japan's cape is now at almost 27, but remember, Japan's GDP has been roughly flat for decades--implying near zero growth. Meanwhile, US GDP shows it has quadrupled in the same time frame, implying there is a HUGE difference in the growth rates between the two. Third, rates are negative in Japan, implying the cost of business is very low and with Japan set to normalize, it implies costs will rise--which means profits will fall. Fourth, when US bubble bursts, rates will come down and more in line with Japan--set to raise rates, implying that the rate differential will narrow and exporter profits will fall by a lot. Fifth, people are borrowing yen to do the carry trade. That will unwind as the yen starts to appreciate, adding to the above. Sixth, the ratio of market cap to GDP has never been higher for Japan and shows it is 30% higher than it was during the peak of the 1989 bubble.
This thing going to the moon, 40k is only a pit stop... shorters we need your cash
I like...
Close to pick , won’t break 40k
39740 will be top
On what basis you can say that?
Everybody is buying Japan because the U.S. stocks are so expensive. Wil be just the other way around: sharp fall in Nikkei in April will bring U.S. market back to reality.
Why does this website delete legit comments and yet obscene comments stay unchecked. So bizarre.
Japan is even more expensive, at least on a market cap to GDP ratio. Speaking of GDP, it has been virtually flat for decades, AND profits, according to the Ministry of Finance have fallen. AND Japan is now in a recession with staggering debt and with nothing left to reverse any asset price fall--as in the BOJ having an excessively large balance sheet and rates ALREADY negative. I guess the government can always take debt to 300% of GDP, doh. Good luck to unwary buyers, but Japanese stocks are not worth anywhere the prices people are paying.
most probability in tomorrow data , the CPI data will be low . So if this happened again nikkei index will pump ?
Please share your opinion aboune next movement of nikkei tomorrow . I m badly stuck in short .
don't worry brother just make sure .u maintained sufficient margin.and wait for 38090
Thank you brother for your resposne . Do you think it will cross 40k ?
i recommend reverse etfs. You can never get margin calls that way. Also, when this thing crashes it’s going under20,000 easy.
this is fake
As per tokyo exhange report , foreginers invested lot of money in Jan 2024 .
perfect...
almost everday 2 % 🤣
this is just pure scam
anyone think that there will be a correction move?
Waiting for correction since three weeks
Probably the worst bear market Japan and the US both have ever seen. Tough to say exact when but this looks like it’s a blow off top to me, so perhaps soon.
🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
🤣
asia open its gonna jump , recession in japan its good news , verry good for japan economy :)
Oh, yeah. Recessions are amazing. We need a lot more globally.
Hi...
Hi
How to start?
Hi
I do not like...
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