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Nikkei 225 (N225)

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Currency in JPY
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39,509.50
-207.00(-0.52%)
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Nikkei 225 Discussions

The BOJ has not even raised rates out of severe crisis emergency terrirotory and on B l o o m b e r g the media girl was already asking one of the t a l k i n g heads of he was expecting rate cuts by the BOJ by the end of the year. Can you believe the nonsense you hear in the financial m e d i a these days?
still holding my sells from 39040. this mf is playing. technical analysis out the window. it's always a buy when the news come into play
Sure, the BOJ is going to do a series of cuts and take the bank rate to minus 5 percent by December, lol.
The m e d i a is half the problem. I fail to understand the value of asking financial salespeople anything. They are always talking their book and will say anything just about anything to keep up the facade. And the sheep about to get fleeced drink it all in like it is gospel.
this mf won't go down it's absurd
It's going to go down Hamoum. The whole financial system, starting with the US is on the brink. Delinquencies are rising big, a bunch of states are in contraction, debt levels are through the roof, and if the F e d lowers rates inflation will go full steam ahead, crushing the average Joe, heavily indebted, eating cereal for dinner, approaching default on credit card and car loans, and late on rent or mortgage payments. And when these people and companies have to roll over their debt at higher rates it is going to get a lot worse. And Japan has been profiting big off sales to the US consumer with its weak currency, juicing profits--but what is going to happen to those profits when the house of cards collapses?
Pumpers B l a c k r o c k and others, classic p u m p and d u m p e r s trying to sell snake oil.
L i a r s all of them!
Yeah, the BOJ wants a b u b b l e.
Imagine that. An end to YCC. An end to ETF buying. And a little less nuts interest rates. Omg? No more hard pumping air into the b u b b l e s?! Just keeping the money flowing to prop up nuts borrowing by governments and zombie companies?
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Who else fails to understand the rationale of central banks today who are proponents of rewarding recklessness? Since when is it good people are rushing to buy overvalued assets such as Nvidia, a 95 dollar stock selling at 900 bucks, or buying market indices at twice their true value? Since when it is good to populate the business landscape with companies that can't hold their own? Since when is it good for governments and countries to rob their people of safe assets with reasonable returns and safe currencies that don't run away from their buying power?
And since when are outlandish debt levels of governments and corporations that are fostered by endless free and easy money good?
More of the same g a r b a g e and destruction of Japan from the BOJ incoming. Anything below 2% is for a severe emergency crisis. And they have what they want? How is a massive bubble good for anyone? You can't buy because you will lose your shirt. You can't save because you get nothing at the bank. You cant even put your money in the mattress because inflation makes it worth less every day. And there is a neverending lifeline to zombie companies that are a major drain. And the government has the door opened for it to forget about the future and take on even more massive debt. And there is endless overexpansion, misallocation of capital, and as a result overcapacity. How is such gross failure good for a economy? What a joke.
And the BOJ talks about wages. That is a joke, too. So companies raised wages. How is that good for stocks? It just means labor costs rise! And how it is good for employment when it just means companies labor costs rise so it freezes on hiring! Japan needs structural change. It needs free education through to high school graduation. It needs more efficient companies. It needs to adopt English as an official language so that it gets immigration. It needs to raise taxes on alcohol and tobacco. It needs better corporate governance so people have time to get away from work and relax and spend. It needs people who actually understand economics and not damage the economy endlessly. It needs to cleanse the business landscape of zombie companies. And the list goes on. And yet it drags its feet endlessly expecting that doing nothing means the problems will just go away. Seriously. The extent of mismanagement in Japan is unbelievable.
Some people are saying it is goint to fall, everyday. Of course it will eventuary have some kind of shock and go lower just like any other stocks. BOJ ending negative rate is already priced in and investors are confident in this market that is why price is not falling. it is just simple as that
Please help, share information, is there a speculator or investor in the forum, in whose portfolio there are companies with a negative P / E ratio, for example -200 and those with  possitive 11,080?
P/E ratio negative 200 and positive 11080!!! Some stock's part of Nikkei225 have such...
extremly good data - Core Machinery Orders (YoY) (Jan) is only -10.9% lower , 0.3% better than forecast of -11.2 %, but monthly data shows acceleration in orders decline... Can't be more bullish than this!
I think big players are trying to take out stops here. They know that people are thinking this is going to drop and have shorted so they are pushing it higher to create a squeeze. I dont know that though. I am only guessing.
I think u r 👍 here
hey Chuck you think it's going down to at least 38041 ?
There is no fundamental reason for this to higher. The Japanese economy is weak. Input prices are high. Rates are going higher. The BOJ is ending its purchases of ETFs. Japanese stocks are in a bubble. The government and corporate sectors are extremely indebted. And the list goes on.
Also, it is looking like the US market has topped. When the Fed announces it will not be lowering rates, the US market will very likely begin falling. There is no reason for the US to raise rates because the average person in the US is having a lot of financial difficulties currently. CRE is also a pending problem, as are higher rates when rolling over to higher rates starts happening full steam. Employment in the US is also not so good despite the numbers because they dont show layoffs and part time work.
Also, in the US the employment numbers are usually revised, and while the headline numbers look good, after revisions, the numbers are not so good. It is only a matter of time before the US has serious difficulties. Japan is heavily dependent on the US economy and will take a hit when that happens.
GOOD NEWS CHEERS
800 points up on news the BOJ is going to raise rates. Head scratcher there.
Higher wages mean higher business costs. Higher rates mean a stronger currency and higher debt costs. Not only that, this is happening with an economy that is extremely heavily indebted on the government and corporate levels, with the population declining. I dont understand what people are thinking when piling in on Japanese shares. It makes no logical sense.
It will be fall down?
Yes, I think so. But I dont know if or if it wont rise before the drop. That said, i think the drop will be very big. When it will drop is hard to say, but we are getting closer every day.
STOCKS ONLY GO UP
The Japanese stock market is more volatile than the American stock market.
Look at this GARBAGE 🤣
Nobody pays any attention to the value of the assets they are buying these days. It's all simply a ponzi mentality. Buy high and sell higher to whoever wants in on the game. It's oh so easy to make money in markets these days.
Dow will follow being green.
Many of the highest weighted stocks in this index currently have high PERs, some approaching 50. The top four, for example, have an average PER of 42.63. In light of this and other factors you have to ask yourself some questions. First, are these high valuations sustainable? Second, are the profits of these companies sustainable or are they part of a temporary profit boom? You also have to ask yourself if the high ratio of market capitilization to GDP is sustainable if GDP does not rise but interest rates rise. Rising interest rates will mean bonds become more attractive while the cost of business rises. Those factors all together, to me, suggest this index will fall. The value of the yen could also rise, which will put downward pressure on the profits of exporters.
Seems that everytime u post, Japs push it higher and higher ….
Central banks have been postponing the periodic bear markets that correct for valuation problems and fundamental weaknesses like zombie company growth. In the process they have weakened economies, opened the door for overcapacity, overexpansion, and huge increases in debt. Over time they will reach a point of no return when the houses of cards they have created will all collapse, or there will be hyperinflation.
On a market cap to GDP basis the Japanese market is now roughly 30% MORE ove rvalue d than in 1989. Very roughly speaking that amounts to being twice the price it should be. GDP has not really changed over the last few decades outside of fluctuations, and the population of Japan has declined and aged. This has happened while very recently stocks have climbed very steeply. The fact that this has happened despite no long running steady rise in GDP implies the rise is probably only temporary. That said, there was boom in profits but is it safe to expect this boom to continue? Profits have already fal len sizably in recent quarters according to the Ministry of Finance in Japan. The market cap vs GDP indicator is called the Buf fet t indic ator because, according to Bu ffet t it is the single best way to get an idea of an entire market's valuation. This doesn't mean the market will drop suddenly today or tomorrow. But can you safely expect good returns if you buy at very high market prices--especially if you account for risk? In summary, at these levels the Japanese market currently has very little upside potential vs pretty big downside risk. This implies a very assymetric trade if you go long or stay long at these prices. That makes buying now or even holding a pretty ris k y prospect. That said, if you expect G D P to double and continue to rise from there in the next couple of years, no pro blem. And yes, there are stocks in the Japanese market that are under val ued, but if there is a big se ll of f, which I think could happen, then those stocks will probably get even more un derv alu d. Just my two cents.
Stocks won’t go up staight lines all the time. there is gonna be some corrections at some point. People are freaking out about dropping a couple of percents. Come on! Llook at the growth from the beggining of this year. it is very strong. Over-valued? Big bubbles? No. if you look at those individual stock, most of them are under valued. Stop freaking out, and fear-selling. it might take a couple of weeks, even months to get out correction but after that it has potential to grow.
The BOJ, sailing along its primose path... And new investors joining in the party... All drinking punch by the bowlful. Unbelievable.
This index is going to be KOed, will stay down, and will take decades to recover. Get out while the going is good and you still can.
Not gonna happen..the govt wont let it happen. At the most 2K drop from 1st small rate hike ( if they really hike rate this time "
What bullets does it have left? The government debt is at extremes, the BOJ balance sheet is at extremes and the bank rate is NEGATIVE. Lol.
Result speaks for itself...
On a market cap to GDP basis the Japanese market is now an even bigger bubble than in 1989. Roughly 30% bigger. The government and corporate debt levels are also much, much higher now, GDP has been roughly flat for decades and the population has not only declined but aged a lot. The BOJ’s endless extreme crisis emergency monetary policy has expanded the number of zombie companies to a staggering 17% of all companies. It has robbed the people of Japan of a return on savings so that they save even harder. Amazing!
Ashish Kumar
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