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CBOE Crude Oil Volatility (OVX)

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45.67 -1.96    -4.12%
16:00:02 - Delayed Data. Currency in USD ( Disclaimer )
Type:  Index
Market:  United States
Underlying:  Crude Oil WTI
  • Volume: -
  • Open: 47.63
  • Day's Range: 42.55 - 59.17
CBOE Crude Oil Volatility 45.67 -1.96 -4.12%
Summary:Strong Buy
Moving Averages:Strong BuyBuy (11)Sell (1)
Technical Indicators:BUYBuy (5)Sell (1)

Pivot PointsJan 26, 2022 09:31PM GMT

Name S3 S2 S1 Pivot Points R1 R2 R3
Classic 37.00 41.30 44.47 48.77 51.94 56.24 59.41
Fibonacci 41.30 44.15 45.92 48.77 51.62 53.39 56.24
Camarilla 45.58 46.26 46.95 48.77 48.31 49.00 49.68
Woodie's 36.42 41.01 43.89 48.48 51.36 55.95 58.83
DeMark's - - 42.88 47.98 50.35 - -

Technical IndicatorsJan 26, 2022 09:31PM GMT

Name Value Action
RSI(14) 53.814 Neutral
STOCH(9,6) 46.267 Neutral
STOCHRSI(14) 80.276 Overbought
MACD(12,26) 0.020 Buy
ADX(14) 29.935 Buy
Williams %R -49.270 Neutral
CCI(14) 135.1884 Buy
ATR(14) 9.4707 High Volatility
Highs/Lows(14) 0.0000 Neutral
Ultimate Oscillator 33.120 Sell
ROC 2.652 Buy
Bull/Bear Power(13) 15.9180 Buy

Buy: 5

Sell: 1

Neutral: 4


Summary:BUY

Moving AveragesJan 26, 2022 09:31PM GMT

Period Simple Exponential
MA5 44.97
Buy
45.18
Buy
MA10 42.26
Buy
43.47
Buy
MA20 40.65
Buy
43.14
Buy
MA50 45.93
Sell
43.09
Buy
MA100 40.97
Buy
41.89
Buy
MA200 38.81
Buy
40.78
Buy

Buy: 11

Sell: 1


Summary:Strong Buy

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CBOE Crude Oil Volatility Discussions

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Neil Garvin
Neil Garvin Sep 09, 2020 10:09AM ET
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Nothing from John for 5 months. What is your take on oil and gold at the moment?
John Mackenzie
John Mackenzie Apr 03, 2020 7:41AM ET
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∑ Perspective - Prior arrangements have been erased - they will never return to the Status Quo. Difficult to believe, comprehend and accept as denial far less demanding. Humanity faces extreme challenges. We all have important choices to make in the present and for the future. Personally, I have made the decision to spend time focused upon more immediate circumstance. I wish everyone here the very best. Please take care of you and yours.
Martin Andrews
Martin Andrews Apr 03, 2020 7:41AM ET
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All the best John, i appreciate all your contributions
Max Goldman
Max Goldman Apr 03, 2020 7:41AM ET
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John, how to prepare for what is to come? does it make any sense to invest in the physical when it will, quite likely, be confiscated? or maybe it would not be possible to sell...
John Mackenzie
John Mackenzie Apr 02, 2020 1:10PM ET
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The collapse in CONfidence is here.
John Mackenzie
John Mackenzie Apr 02, 2020 12:24PM ET
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Intra-Day ∑ - The FED has broken the VIX, but the Indicies are not performing to the upside as they should. The probability of a squeeze to mirror last Thursday has played out to a degree, albeit, far more muted than 4000+ ticks of upside. Crude and Gold we turned to boost confidence once again. We remains 2600 points below the Full HWB for the YM @ 23851. Given the weakness in Price overall and intense volatility in Commodities, the balance of this week is going to be telling. We are running out of time for the Markets to perform - the desperation is best seen in Crude Oil. Appears to my tired eyes we are witnessing the final lift prior to the collapse in Prices Globally. Commerce around the Planet is closed and not going to reopen for business for months on end. Good luck and trade safe, time is quickly running out. I anticipate tomorrow will end up a compete disaster.
John Mackenzie
John Mackenzie Apr 02, 2020 7:42AM ET
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U.S. Challenger Job Cuts @ 222,228 - Important Macro Data this morning with GSCO leaking a 5M+ Initial Jobless Claims above the 3.5M Estimate. Trade Balance, Durables, ISM, Factory Orders and more is due into the EU close. Last Thursday - Price moved higher quickly as an unrelenting AIQC bid hit and never looked back. As the Federal Reserve begins draining liquidity today, the reaction will be telling. Last week's move up brought Prices up to new highs. Another Squeeze... we will see. Technically , we are ranging between 2 Levels, the ranges remain quite large and dangerous. Opposing setups are abundant, extreme caution warranted - use Micros with Price Ladders for increasing Volatility today.
John Mackenzie
John Mackenzie Apr 01, 2020 4:22PM ET
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∑ Our ranges continue to expand for the Indicies, 2448 to 2723 ES / YM even wider @ 20770 to 23815 - enormous ranges. For CL 2116 to 2227 w/ 2190 TGT. Last week into Jobs data, the prop could continue... we will see. This either sells to Targets and then returns to the Weekly Inside or its collapse in Price again. The VIX breaks up and over the 52.60 level - 98 is the Target. Hopefully it does not fall apart until later, It is time and Price is cooperating, the timing has worked off Tuesday, we will see if it i supported again as the FED is pulling back and choking things off. Good Luck, Trade Safe.
John Mackenzie
John Mackenzie Apr 01, 2020 1:08PM ET
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CME accepts 400oz London's Bars, no re-melt, simply 400oz or pound sand if you want delivery. Phillipines Gold from Yamashita's Stash now available, own a piece of History. On sale until it runs out... which is likely never. Paper Gold safe again :) CASH Settlement when 10X World Gold Council Supplies dry up... which is never. Simply depends on how much is willingly supplied.
John Mackenzie
John Mackenzie Apr 01, 2020 11:46AM ET
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11:30AM EST Period sets up continuation of the Trend or Reversal, Profit taking and then where as Euro closes up. Crude managed to trap a number of buyers at lows and has a Lower Price Objective of 18.88. The EIA misses by 10.3Mbbls... excellence again. A potential pullback in Gold to 1591s may well be in trade, GC has tended grind up, but need a pullback. Interesting price action as Russia announced they will suspend Gold purchases indefinitely.
Nicky Kiwi
Kiwi_Nicky Apr 01, 2020 11:46AM ET
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Hi John jun/jul/aug/sept etc were selling eg down 3-6% and current contract up on nasty index day your thoughts on what that indicates. ty
John Mackenzie
John Mackenzie Apr 01, 2020 11:46AM ET
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Nicky Kiwi  Oil Dumping all over the Globe reared its head overnight there and here, just ugly.
SineWaveTrader SWT
SineWaveTrader Apr 01, 2020 9:52AM ET
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Seevol Cushing Storage Report  +3.390M
John Mackenzie
John Mackenzie Apr 01, 2020 9:52AM ET
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13.8mbl Build
SineWaveTrader SWT
SineWaveTrader Apr 01, 2020 9:52AM ET
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John Mackenzie  Yep    Gasoline Inventories  +7.524M
John Mackenzie
John Mackenzie Apr 01, 2020 8:18AM ET
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∑ The Horror Show begins - Macro Data should provide insights into the dire state of the US Economy. NFP to PMI will be a lesson in abject collapse of the US Economy. The FED either provides relief to Equities or we have seen the highs for this retracement, an enormous front run of the Full 50% from highs to Lows 29541 to 18066. Price did not manage to make a higher high above the 38.2% 22460 vs 22541 with 22388 as yesterday's Sell. There was an intense weakness all day, Volumes were ghostly... It's all up to the FED. 21000 has been violated, 20770 the level to watch. The is trading well above Support, will the FED sell it off Resistance? We will see.
John Mackenzie
John Mackenzie Mar 31, 2020 3:42PM ET
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VIX was falling with Indicies earlier, was lit up trading against the FED Propers most of the Day. It was not until the Last hour it began to move inverse. Quarter end and very nervous markets. Crude was unable to sustain the Overnight High TGT of 20.94 (although it exceeded by 100 ticks) - Gold was entirely smoked as anticipated, GOLD seems to be suggesting the deflationary collapse is very near. Although the YM has made another higher low, it is going to take the Prop Desks outright buying not only Futures, but Equities. The spread between the Cash Dow and YM Futures remains highly volatile. The Indicies traded their HWB on the Micros this hour, the VIX remains in its downtrend, but the ranges and interventions are growing increasingly dangerous. The undercurrent looked as if we were seeing a clear undertow... it finally appeared after 2:30PM EST. A "messy" day delivered. TECHNICALLY -  we have not broken the uptrend.
John Mackenzie
John Mackenzie Mar 31, 2020 1:57PM ET
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TRUMP pushed, shoves and berates CONGRESS into another $2Trillion in Stimulus.
John Mackenzie
John Mackenzie Mar 31, 2020 12:56PM ET
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At the moment the reaction appears to be a double top @ the ***38.2% @ 22,463 for the YM as Price was able to move through and break the high @ 22541, that is a large front run, we'll know soon enough it was for real, Judging by CL's Price action... looking nasty, but the FED might turn it. Post
John Mackenzie
John Mackenzie Mar 31, 2020 12:47PM ET
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I was anticipating a YM move to 22750-800. Price action has been very weak all day with multiple failures at levels inside of the smaller setup, the ranges are so wide that confirming a break requires Price to move through prior weeks lows...
John Mackenzie
John Mackenzie Mar 31, 2020 12:23PM ET
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Long Stops Hit, very nasty at present with the VIX in rally mode.
Arthur Kwok
Arthur Kwok Mar 31, 2020 12:23PM ET
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Possible Reaction to NY covid 19 - 75k as of now
John Mackenzie
John Mackenzie Mar 31, 2020 10:20AM ET
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NY Filled at .618 of the draw ;) I'm long for an all day grinder higher.
Arthur Kwok
Arthur Kwok Mar 31, 2020 10:20AM ET
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GL : )
John Mackenzie
John Mackenzie Mar 31, 2020 8:34AM ET
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YM - The 20770 to 22541 is the current draw as we are still inside of this range.
John Mackenzie
John Mackenzie Mar 31, 2020 7:50AM ET
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∑ - The YM did not exceed the recent prior high @ 22460. I anticipated the 22500 level during the overnight session, the high - 22388. CL has a large front run of its profit target @ 19.27 during the afternoon session, reversing 200+ Ticks into the close. "Social Distancing" expanded greatly across the US yesterday afternoon as States began adding themselves to the ranks of quarantine. We will see where the higher Targets are OR whether they exist at all. I anticipate they do and that the HWBs will come into range. Gold has sold off nearly $100, Bonds remain at level holding up while accumulation continues. The short end of the curve remains under pressure. The FED has clearly increased actions and has floated another trial ballon of equity purchases to support markets. The AIQC runs unopposed as Volumes are very low. Macro Data continues to turn increasingly horrific as the illusion of stability is supported... for now.
John Mackenzie
John Mackenzie Mar 30, 2020 1:48PM ET
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ES YM Hits TGTs, Financials and NQ Bank are not cooperating. CL breaks lows with 18.96 TGT - We will see where this ends up this afternoon...
John Mackenzie
John Mackenzie Mar 30, 2020 12:17PM ET
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IF they can break above the 22460 level... 23851 remains valid in the face of horrific Macro Data. The VIX continues to hold the range, The FED clearly stepped in after yesterday's Emergency Meetings. Tuesday @ 10AM EST will again provide trend for the week. We will see how aggressive this performs to the upside.
SineWaveTrader SWT
SineWaveTrader Mar 30, 2020 11:04AM ET
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10:30   USD Dallas Fed Mfg Business Index (Mar)       A @ -70.0         E @ 6.2           P @ 1.2 Wow!
John Mackenzie
John Mackenzie Mar 30, 2020 8:53AM ET
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YM 15min - Using the 20780 low to the high of 21825 from the overnight session, Price has an Objective @ 22072  /  Supports are 21302 and 20658 - 21665 the Level to watch.
John Mackenzie
John Mackenzie Mar 30, 2020 8:39AM ET
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∑ YM Daily - Price Traded the 38.2% Level of the entire decline, I am anticipated another run at the 50% Level of the entire decline. It will be messy - the Levels to observe: 100% @29,543  /  76.4% @ 26,839  /  61.8% @ 25,166  /  50% @ 23,815  /  ***38.2% @ 22,463  /  23.6% @ 20,790  /  0% @ 18,086 - An indication for a continuing squeeze higher would be breaking the ***38.2% Level as we have seen 22460 trade last week, we are presently ranging for the past two weeks, with higher lows and higher highs.
John Mackenzie
John Mackenzie Mar 30, 2020 8:18AM ET
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After numerous and confusing adjustments to Coupon Purchases Friday, the Federal Reserve has released operations for this week. Outright purchases are being pulled back to $60B from $75. Repo operations remain roughly constant @ $1.5T with very few participants stepping up. The Indicies remain in trend to the Full HWBs of the entire decline, this will be the week they either arrive or come up short once again. Crude was due for an outsized retracement and failed to complete, breaking $20 was an important barrier, it appears set to break this once again, prior to the NYSE Open. The YM needs to lift up and over its Upper Trend Line, having traded it @ 21827 last night, it currently resides @ 21588. All Markets have the appearance of being extremely heavy, with the exception of Bonds.
Dan The man
Dan The man Mar 29, 2020 6:13PM ET
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Ouch
John Mackenzie
John Mackenzie Mar 29, 2020 6:13PM ET
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Support @ 21851 Dipped In. Closed long from there SOH now.
Dan The man
Dan The man Mar 29, 2020 6:13PM ET
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Soh stands for ???
John Mackenzie
John Mackenzie Mar 29, 2020 6:13PM ET
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Dan The man  Sitting on Hands, nothing to do for now, watching is all.
John Mackenzie
John Mackenzie Mar 29, 2020 6:13PM ET
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20851 and not 21851.
Dan The man
Dan The man Mar 29, 2020 6:13PM ET
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John Trump said shutdiwn till 4/30 and full receivery 6/1 thats nit good
 
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