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Ed Bosek is the Founder and Portfolio Manager at BeaconLight Capital, which is a New York-based alternative asset management firm. Bosek founded BeaconLight Capital in 2009, and at...
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Travelers Throuput is currently at 54% higher from 2019 lows.Projecting positive fcf by year end.Revenue is around 60% from 2019.DXY Dollar is at all time high.BUY DUH FOKN DEB!
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Buying whoever is selling this under $6 looking for 3x in 2 years
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Scratching my head over here but just proves earnings create unpredictable moves. Imo nuts move things are looking good for the future
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US TSA Daily Travelers averaged 1.61M(-18%) this week vs 1.96M for the same period in 2019.
On the 13 February 2022 1.82M(-18%) vs 2.23M.
Given a 1B in cash from Q3 Report and an expected 400M (AirCentre Sale) in Q1, No New Debt would be required to operate the business in 2022, where any recovery story would be reflected in the Equity Valuation (Stock Price) assuming no further dilution of equity.
Enterprise Value is at a 6.73B today, a 35% lower from 9.1B in 2019 with a 2.37B variance.
The current Market cap is at 2.91B + Expected Recovery 2.37B from EV = 5.28B 81% Upside.
Conclusion of 16$ stock valuation at full recovery and the -18% in TSA figures today from 2019. This stock should be trading around 10.5$ today. While countries easing restrictions now post Omicron and the Forward looking market theory. This stock should ideally be looking at 11$.
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If I had the means I would take this company private today at these stupid prices. Yeah covid I get it but in 1 or 2 years we will be beyond 19' rev with income of 400+ million a year
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It will eventually come back to 10z
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It will be back above $20 within 2 years by then everyone will have died of covid or gotten it. People will wake up and they will all realize they have so little time here, got 2+ years stolen from them and travel they will go. In the mean time I got $.30 on next year's $20 calls but if I had the means I'd buy the whole thing today impossible they want a 50% premium to today's prices but one can only dream.
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A Leveraged BuyOut would make sense as the debt maybe refinanced cheaper.
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All the way to 18$
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Apparently no one will ever travel again
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30% drop in a month if I woke up 2moro with my head sown to the carpet I wouldn't be as surprised as I am right now.
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Glad to see Mr mkt ignores the new partnerships but tanks the stock on block chain nonsense which does exactly the same thing as their new product released a few weeks ago. ugh frustrating