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Raiffeisen Bank International AG (RBIv)

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11.95 -0.33    -2.67%
20/05 - Closed. Currency in EUR ( Disclaimer )
Type:  Equity
Market:  Euro Zone
ISIN:  AT0000606306 
  • Volume: 229,133
  • Bid/Ask: 0.00 / 0.00
  • Day's Range: 11.76 - 12.16
Raiffeisen Bank 11.95 -0.33 -2.67%

RBIv Analysis

 
This page features the latest analysis and reports for the Raiffeisen Bank International AG stock.
Panayiotis Miltiadous
Euromarkets Falling Today, Oil Rebounds By Panayiotis Miltiadous - Aug 19, 2015

The negative effects of the developments in China seems to "haunt" Euromarkets for one more day, with the indices starting with losses also today and with the export sector being again in the...

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alex inve
alexinve May 03, 2022 4:12AM ET
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Yesterday, the Citigroup induced Flash Crash day, RBI reached 10.29€. Quite strong knowing that it is one of the main banks affected by Russian-Ukraine crisis
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alex inve
alexinve Apr 27, 2022 4:08AM ET
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And today broke 10€ down to 9.96€. If Russia keeps threatening about gas, inflation keeps increasing, consumption/demand decreases and RBI thinks about divesting its Russian assets one more time, it will get under 10€ level once again.
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alex inve
alexinve Apr 27, 2022 4:08AM ET
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Russia already cut gas distribution to Poland and Bulgaria. Euro is at 2017 minimums. China is macroconfining its population. What else could go wrong?
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alex inve
alexinve Apr 06, 2022 3:27AM ET
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RBI may close the gap today at 11.72€. Intensifying pressures from Russia-Ukraine war may lead the bank to close its $12bn russian assets and maybe sell them at a bad price. Next levels are 9-10€ until we get fresh news about RBI's decision on Russian assets
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alex inve
alexinve Apr 06, 2022 3:27AM ET
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And 30 minutes later closes it. I still don't know how haven't I become Warren Buffet Junior yet.
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NVAS Nvas
NVAS Mar 19, 2022 6:18PM ET
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I am interested in buying RBIV but looking at the monthly chart, it could go to 8.70  (I  hope not)  It will all depend on how the war ends
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Ma Lu
Ma Lu Mar 19, 2022 6:18PM ET
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War won't end
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alex inve
alexinve Mar 17, 2022 12:10PM ET
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Today RBI is reconsidering its exit from the Russian market and it's plunging 6.18%. if it finally gets out, we could resch 10 and 9€ level. 7.20 was an estimation in case the company bad sold its assets but if the war ends before Fall 2022, I don't think it will go under 9€. Putin is playing with investors saying: now diplomacy talks are good and now are bad. If he ends this war, Raiffeissen would go up again. in the meantime, it may keep falling
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alex inve
alexinve Mar 04, 2022 10:10AM ET
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RBI had assets worth €11.96bn at the end of last year (Reuters). From 28.5€ on Feb 10 to 12€ today, it has "only" lost 5bn. If RBI was to divest itself of Russian business, we already heard how Chelsea club from oligarch Abramóvich was "bad sold". We could easily expect those €12bn russian assets could be bad sold as well, with proceeds amounting to maybe 5bn (around -60% hypothetical loss on Russian assets)? Then we could conclude that RBI, would still be losing 2bn more in market cap in the future. Therefore, target price could be around 7.20€ (28.50€ level market cap – 7bn loss Russian assets) to buy a €2bn-valued bank that no longer has Russian assets.
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alex inve
alexinve Mar 04, 2022 10:10AM ET
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However, should the war stop and those russian assets maintained, RBI could easily jump to 20€ level again. But this scenario is highly improbable in the near term and rumors about the bank disengaging russian business escalate the tensions to continue falling without pause.
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alex inve
alexinve Feb 28, 2022 10:54AM ET
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I think tomorrow, beginning of March, will crash again due to technical although monthly speaking, it may try to do a doji candle and change momentum. But maybe this week retests 12€ pandemic crash level
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Ma Lu
Ma Lu Feb 28, 2022 10:54AM ET
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Interesting, I'd consider 12€ as a buying opportunity. On the other hand the situation is currently chaotic.
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alex inve
alexinve Feb 28, 2022 10:54AM ET
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Yes, and besides it has suspended the 2021 dividend. So no payment this year and we would have to wait until 2023 to possibly receive something. I don't understand, with current dividend payout at around 25%, was it really necessary to suspend it? Maybe they were pressured by big fishes and wanted to get their confidence back.
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alex inve
alexinve Feb 28, 2022 10:54AM ET
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With suspended dividend, it would be not strange to see how it keeps tumbling even below 10€ level. I'm not sure what would I consider a buying opportunity, but it could test 8.8-10 level if Russia gets to touch Kyiv. Remember that in the first half of 2021, Russia's subsidiary accounted for 31% consolidated pre-tax profits, although that's down from 47% same period in 2020 (Moody's).
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Ma Lu
Ma Lu Feb 27, 2022 12:23PM ET
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Mega crash tomorrow
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alex inve
alexinve Feb 27, 2022 12:23PM ET
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Yes, due to Swift fear today it's plunged already -18%- It has 18% of consolidated equity exposed in Russia and 11.5% of loans in Russia,2.2% Group's loans in Ukraine and 2.5% Group's consoliddated equity in Ukraine
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Stag RedStag
Stag RedStag Feb 24, 2022 3:25PM ET
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why?
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alex inve
alexinve Feb 24, 2022 3:25PM ET
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Has a lot of business in Russia and Ukraine
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Opti Bot
OptiBot Feb 24, 2022 3:25PM ET
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*had
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