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ING Economic and Financial Analysis ING Economic and Financial Analysis

ING Economic and Financial Analysis's Opinion & Analysis.
Featured here: a complete archive of all posts and research produced by ING Economic and Financial Analysis, including current material.
Rates Spark: How To Price A Recession By ING Economic and Financial Analysis - Jun 23, 2022

Have market rates peaked? We are getting close, but are not seeing a conclusive message that the top is in just yet. Inconsistent curve dynamics and the sharpest sell-off in two decades mean the bond...

The Commodities Feed: Recession Fear Weighs On The Complex By ING Economic and Financial Analysis - Jun 23, 2022

Energy The oil market came under pressure with the rest of the commodities complex yesterday. ICE Brent traded as low as US$107.03/bbl at one stage. Growing fears over a recession have weighed on risk...

FX Daily: Norges Bank May Join The 50Bp Club Today By ING Economic and Financial Analysis - Jun 23, 2022

High energy prices and interest rates worldwide may push Norges Bank to accelerate the pace of tightening and hike by 50bp today, lifting the krone—which, however, remains vulnerable to the...

UK Inflation Set To Stay Above 9% Throughout 2022 By ING Economic and Financial Analysis - Jun 22, 2022

UK inflation has edged a touch higher to 9.1%, helped by another chunky rise in food prices, along with another 2% increase in fuel costs. We’d previously tentatively said that inflation looked...

Rates Spark: Powell To Cement U.S. Curve Dynamics By ING Economic and Financial Analysis - Jun 22, 2022

Fed chair Jerome Powell’s testimony, if it confirms recent themes in Fed communication, will likely push rates higher and flatten the yield curve. Despite the growing focus on recession risk,...

Copper Supply Risks By ING Economic and Financial Analysis - Jun 22, 2022

The oil market continues to be driven by external influences, reflecting the lack of fresh fundamental catalysts. Oil prices have resumed their sell-off in early morning trading today. A more...

U.S. Dollar Remains In Demand As Recession Fears Increase By ING Economic and Financial Analysis - Jun 22, 2022

Recession fears are growing as central bankers slow demand to curb inflation. Pro-cyclical currencies are on the back foot and the dollar remains very much in demand. These trends should remain in...

Real Wages In The Eurozone Will Return To Modest Growth Next Year By ING Economic and Financial Analysis - Jun 21, 2022

Since the recovery from the financial crisis, nominal wage growth in the eurozone has been sluggish. This is often attributed to weaker trade unions. But wage growth in real terms is higher now than...

Rates Spark: No News Is Bad News By ING Economic and Financial Analysis - Jun 21, 2022

Markets ignoring French election results suggests that their fear of monetary tightening supersedes other drivers. The ECB has managed to cap sovereign spreads for now, but questions remain about its...

The Commodities Feed: European Gas Worries By ING Economic and Financial Analysis - Jun 21, 2022 1

Energy The oil market managed to eke out a small gain yesterday, amid thinner volumes due to the holiday in the US. There is little in the way of strong fundamental catalysts driving the market at the...

FX Daily: GBP - Mann Plays The Currency Card By ING Economic and Financial Analysis - Jun 21, 2022

In quiet markets on Monday, comments from UK MPC member Catherine Mann drew attention. She said that the BoE falling behind Fed tightening could leave GBP/USD vulnerable and add to inflation. We know...

Fed Hikes By 0.75% With The Same Again For July By ING Economic and Financial Analysis - Jun 16, 2022

The Federal Reserve has increased rates by 75 bp and has signalled a willingness to maintain this pace of tightening at the July FOMC meeting. The Fed funds rate will end the year well above 3% with...

Rates Spark: Hike Fast And Break Things By ING Economic and Financial Analysis - Jun 16, 2022

The Fed delivered 75bp, and pre-warned for another one in July. The approach of big figure 4% is on the horizon now, for market rates and the Fed, and a curve flattening bias. The European Central...

FX Daily: Surprise Hike From The SNB Today By ING Economic and Financial Analysis - Jun 16, 2022

The dollar is consolidating after yesterday's well-flagged 75bp hike from the Fed. US yields fell sharply from intra-day highs after Fed Chair Powell said that 75bp hikes would not be common. Yet the...

UK Jobs Market Tight Despite Surprise Rise In Unemployment Rate By ING Economic and Financial Analysis - Jun 14, 2022

We can tentatively say that UK worker shortages have stopped getting worse, but high levels of sickness and lower inward migration mean they are unlikely to improve dramatically in the near term. This...

Rates Spark: Higher Still By ING Economic and Financial Analysis - Jun 14, 2022

The upward pressure on rates is relentless as central banks are seen to act more aggressively. The trade-off for risk assets and spreads is clear, but for now tackling inflation takes precedence....

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