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Dragonfly Capital Dragonfly Capital

Dragonfly Capital's Opinion & Analysis.
Featured here: a complete archive of all posts and research produced by Dragonfly Capital, including current material.
Oil’s Next Challenge By Gregory W. Harmon - Jan 10, 2019

Crude oil completed a full retracement of the move higher from the June 2017 low to the September high on Christmas Eve. Since then there has been nothing but upside. Will it continue? There is a...

Tracking The Transports By Gregory W. Harmon - Jan 09, 2019

The Dow Jones Transportation Index took a shot to the face when FedEx (NYSE:FDX) announced a slow down in December. But this was a secondary punch. It had already started to move lower off of a...

Dollar Breakdown By Gregory W. Harmon - Jan 08, 2019

The US Dollar started moving higher at the end of September, the same time the stock market peaked. As it moved into October it was approaching the August highs. It reached and took out that high in...

Bond Breakout By Gregory W. Harmon - Jan 04, 2019

US Treasury bonds have been the subject of some debate since the Fed announced the end of its bond-buying programs. Rates had to go up, said the Fed. But they have not. Then the Fed started to run off...

4 Trade Ideas For AIG: Bonus Idea By Gregory W. Harmon - Dec 24, 2018

Here is your Bonus Idea with links to the full Top Ten: AIG (NYSE:AIG), $AIG, moved sideways in consolidation in a channel for 6 months until dropping out of it in October. It found support by the end...

Treasury Bonds A Cat With 9 Lives By Gregory W. Harmon - Dec 21, 2018

Treasury Bonds have been like a cat with 9 lives. Maybe even more than 9 lives. Every time you think the end of a 30 plus year uptrend in prices is about to end, they befuddle and reverse. Will that...

S&P 500 Tumbles..Bottom Not In Yet By Gregory W. Harmon - Dec 20, 2018

When the S&P 500 started to move lower from a top at the end of September it was a blip at first. A retest of the January high perhaps. That though was quickly erased as the index dropped to and...

The Next Stop For Crude Oil By Gregory W. Harmon - Dec 19, 2018 3

Crude Oil reached a peak at the same time as the stock market, at the end of September. It started lower then, falling to its 200 day SMA over the next 3 weeks and then settling. But that did not last...

Why The Fed Could Pause By Gregory W. Harmon - Dec 14, 2018

The FOMC meets next week for the last time this year. The market sees a 73% chance of another increase in the Fed Funds Rate to a range of 2.25% to 2.50%, down from an 84 percent chance 2 weeks ago....

USD Index: Coming Dollar Strength By Gregory W. Harmon - Dec 12, 2018

The U.S. dollar quietly crept higher over the last 2 months as sinking stocks masked its move. The last 4 weeks have seen it start to settle into a consolidation, tightening against resistance with...

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