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Cumberland Advisors Cumberland Advisors

Cumberland Advisors's Opinion & Analysis.
Featured here: a complete archive of all posts and research produced by Cumberland Advisors, including current material.
Markets And Geography By David Kotok - Apr 25, 2017

Markets We were fully invested in our US ETF strategies before the weekend French elections. We are still there and overweight financials (banks) and tech. In our volatility strategies we are also...

Taxation Of Municipal Bonds? By Cumberland Advisors - Apr 20, 2017

Is there a threat to the municipal bond interest deduction? The new administration’s focus on tax reform, especially as many of us pay our federal and state taxes this week, draws our attention...

Inflation, The Fed And 'Real' Interest Rates By David Kotok - Apr 18, 2017

I am scheduled to discuss policy-driven interest rates and other market forces on Bloomberg TV at 8 AM on Tuesday morning. In the meantime, here’s a rundown of the picture as we at Cumberland...

North Korea And The Markets By David Kotok - Apr 06, 2017 2

I read the following excerpt in the morning edition of NightWatch for April 4. An important reason [the threat of actual war] remains low is that spring planting has begun in North Korea. As a nation...

International ETF Review: Q1 2017 By Cumberland Advisors - Mar 31, 2017

Our International ETF strategy analyzes fiscal and interest-rate policy and complements that research with trading analytics to determine portfolio risk/reward and valuations. The strategy has the...

Tactical Trend Review: Q1 2017 By Cumberland Advisors - Mar 30, 2017

Recognizing strengths and weaknesses among primary asset classes is the core goal of our Tactical Trend strategy. The strategy seeks to identify relative strength and trend strength in an attempt to...

Municipal Credit: First Quarter 2017 Review By Cumberland Advisors - Mar 28, 2017

There may be credit challenges in public finance; but for the fifth year in a row, per S&P, upgrades outpaced downgrades. Healthcare bill update: Without enough votes in the House of...

Taxable Total Return: First Quarter Review By Cumberland Advisors - Mar 24, 2017

The first quarter of 2017 saw records being broken in the equity market, while yields in the fixed-income market have experience continued volatility. The largest movement in yield was on the short...

Market Volatility Index (VIX): Common Misconceptions By Cumberland Advisors - Mar 22, 2017

The volatility index, VIX, has remained very low since the presidential election. Even the over 1% sell-off did not cause much a spike in VIX yesterday. Not only has the VIX been hovering around 11,...

U.S. Stock Market In Q1, 2017 By David Kotok - Mar 21, 2017

This remarkable US stock market “Trump rally” has steamrolled through the first quarter of 2017. Catching many investors by surprise, it has demonstrated upward momentum nearly day after...

Municipal Bonds: Slowly Repairing By John Mousseau - Mar 17, 2017

We are a week short of two months into the Donald Trump presidency. The story is told in the two charts below. We can see that Treasury yields have risen since yearend across the board, with...

Outperform The Market? Gold, Bonds And Leverage By Cumberland Advisors - Feb 14, 2017

I. Market Efficiency: Active vs. Passive Is the market efficient? In other words, can one outperform the market? Most people would argue the market is semi-efficient as best; yet it is still difficult...

Mexico And Trade By Cumberland Advisors - Feb 08, 2017

The state of US trade with Mexico is on the front page as policy makers attempt to stem the outflow of firms, jobs, and goods production from the United States. To put the issues in perspective, it is...

Dow 20,000 And S&P 2,300 So What Happens Next? By Cumberland Advisors - Feb 02, 2017

The three major indices hit new all-time highs last week. Especially, the Dow finally climbed above the 20,000 psychological barrier. Whether this is the breakout that many technicians have been...

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