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US Coffee C Futures - Jul 24 (KCN4)

Real-time capital.com
Currency in USD
Disclaimer
232.15
+1.05(+0.45%)
Closed

US Coffee C Futures Discussions

Robusta was under pressure Monday on signs of larger supplies from Vietnam after Vietnam's General Statistics Office reported that Vietnam Jan-Feb coffee exports rose +3.4% y/y to 305,000 MT.
Hi, I am looking for a green coffee dealer in the Dominican Republic!
I sent an email
What drugs do you provide ;-) And what is your position in Coffee? Long or short is exposed?
sorry john. I'm not good indicator... haven't made significant money on kc since frost unfortunately
Any comments on the monthly candle?
I dont understand? bullish stuff now?
:) :) :)
I just don't understand the hammer comment.. im just holding until the end!
I don't see a topping pattern given wider market moves... IE
u can have 20 percent correction and still be in bulll market... I don't think anyone cares about longterm top while being hammered short term..
keep us posted about the 240+ positions please..
Waiting for a signal but expecting a sharp rally up but I will close that position and wait. So long tomorrow if I see the spike down or the move up on open...
Tempted to try today but going to wait until tomorrow. Looking at a large long here. Gap closed and overshoot. The chaos in the wider markets is providing a good opportunity to long but there is a chance of a further spike down. Apathy in funds and USDBRL moves is setting up a nice short term long here.
Market discounts russian market (correctly) and ukranian market (correctly) demands and the probability of full scale wide big conflict now. It is obvious. Let's wait and see how it'll dive below 220 at first. Currently, it doesn't. Or let's see till it'll dive below 200 :) :) :).
I love your irony as I love any critics towards myself in general: it doesn't pinch me but cheers me up. They would not stop but they will run out of money for coffee. Check what sunctions/actions have been imposed on Russia and guess what their economy is starting from this Monday. Russia doesn't grow coffee, so it buys it and pays whatever but not rubles. Check the ruble/usd/EURO rates currently - very illustrative. Current situation may not get resolved quickly and instead, it may escalate. Russian import is about 6mb. If the situation will get ugly and the conflict will move to Europe somehow, you guess it, right ? Now it not seems to be the case, but for many Ukraine was not the case just a month ago.
I don't doubt export numbers as I am far away from applying conspiracy theories to whatever - it is not very productive strategy indeed. My opinion is that bull will continue and new ATH will be achived, relatively quickly: within a year or two. I'm based firmly on cycles and weather cycle, first of all. This cycle is far far from being over.
I can be wrong as anybody else.
no buy posts today?
no need for coffee on a nuclear war….sadly
Actually no need for nuclear war, coffee yes :)
on brasil things are happy here europe termonuclear very close
Judy gaines visiting warehouses in brazil.. and when being interviewed by the reporters, the echo of her voice can be heard because the warehouse is empty... serious stuff..
My concerns now are with the next crop. I think you know that, you love looking at really old comments.
I'm joking with you man.. take it lightly.. not you in particular... but you know as well I do.. that local storage of coffee on farms is a real phenomenon.. especially among coops..
I agree in parts Sam. There are small stocks from small producers. We are unable to keep stocks on the properties, the value of a bag of coffee is higher than 1 minimum wage in Brazil, the risk of robberies is very high and the fees for storage at these price levels are negligible. Safer than warehouses and Co-ops only under beds :)
"In a note sent to customers, the cargo transport company MSC announced the suspension of its operations in Brazilian ports."
Ultra bearish lol
pending -26k ICE +8k i think u r wrong MGomes
Is reversing the order of numbers a strategy ??
first impressions baby!
And to complete, funds, settled long positions according to the today COT
ICE and CECAFE today is not good for bulls
ok the sell signal is flashing and beeping again.. at 238
yeah.. for sure..
patience.. patience in french.French.. paciencia in Spanish
GAP closed - time to reverse up, pls.
we may see 230 today..
BRL can help
and crude soon
I know it seems that everything is fine.. but this could be the start
Added again, 240
275 -280
and sir what about the gap 235
That´s been taken care off too. - So now up, IMO.
Between 75 and 90% of ammonia goes toward making fertilizer and about 70% of the total cost to produce ammonia is from the cost of natural gas
And cheap NG is gone for a while... :)
Fertilizers, at current price levels, will be even more worrisome if there are embargoes to Russia.
Fertilizers, at current price levels, will be even more worrisome if there are embargoes to Russia.
So, the gap is about to get closed. Watcing what's next.
235 will close short i need the money to average others stocks & commodities
238.3 trying a buy here.
Big bounce on BRL plus wider market sell off and technical break in KC. All these effects will average out over the next couple of weeks.
Agree, and I also added longs @238. - But be aware the large amount of hedge funds longs. - They are always driven by momentum.
Algorithms can be dangerous
is this war b/w Ukraine & Russia affect the coffee price down
Coffee prices fell because investors focused their money on gold, oil,...
Sam Houston... were the roasteries operating in that war ?
I wouldn't know from inside a shelter.. just looking at consumption
S&P looks set to snap down with 4k drop then 3.5k I have leveraged market trackers in place. The market bull run is dead. Switch to
not so soon.. oil crash sp500 up first... ofc commodities following oil.. first phase.. then we see about sp500
Why would Oil crash?????
post war calming down... like 10 countries talking about spr.. Cushing supply is hoax (storing refined products as opposed to raw products).. Iran deal within days..the key is timing... (I didn't thumb u down btw)
ICE Stocks -8k Pending 87k
at this point, bulls are risk desensitized.. risk reward measures are skewed or even dismissed.. the market has never seen 1 trendline surviving for this long.. nor such a high ratio of speculation in the futures market..
I agree on the fat, but at the same time i feel it can be much thicker
Ah ok, then yes I think that if nothing bad happen weatherwise, we should start seeing prices dropping late sept, once frost season is over, rains come, freight decrease and we'll start seeing new crop diffs offered at tenderable parity.
my bet is 260 190 or so then 260 again.. then finish
And now S&P bounce, coffee bounce....
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