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US Coffee C Futures - Jul 24 (KCN4)

Real-time capital.com
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230.53
+3.68(+1.62%)
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US Coffee C Futures Discussions

Guys how do you like CECAFE export data? Hard to create coffee from thin air, right?
Maja Wallengren @SpillingTheBean · BREAKING: Light frost damage reported Fri am May 20 across Brazil's TOP arabica #coffee growing regions of Southern Minas, Alta Mogiana & Cerrado. Frost warnings CONTINUE for next 15 days and cold weather to persist most days. Growing supply deficit and $Jo traders to stay short?
USDA Coffee Annual Country: El Salvador, ' El Salvador’s coffee production is expected to reach 639,000 sixty-kg bags in marketing year (MY) 2021/22. The Salvadoran coffee sector continues to struggle mainly due to low international prices, climate change, continued coffee leaf rust, and a lack of a long-term strategy that has hindered investment at the farm level. The MY2022/23 crop is forecast to slightly decrease to 619,000 sixty-kg bags. The COVID-19 pandemic is also affecting the sector due to a reduction in farm worker availability to carry out post-harvest coffee berry picking and processing. In addition, the Ukraine crisis has negatively impacted fertilizer cost and availability, thus increasing coffee production costs. The Government of El Salvador (GOES) has announced a coffee sector rescue program that is expected to renovate approximately 35,000 hectares, as well as re-structure debt and create a coffee research institute.'
 The more you write the more your sick personality is known.
Sick? Equating your incredible sense oh humour to "The Great Milton Berle"? Do you even know who he is? C'mon do a Wiki search on him, and you might understand. Probably not much thiough.Say hi to Uncle Fester.
Focus on the market and stop crying !!  You don't write anything productive for market, just abstract theory, just whines and insults.I think the one who doesn't have a soul is yourself, sick !!
We continue to eliminate the risk of frost. Whoever is going to buy the reduction of Brazilian exports, pay attention.
Frost news ?
PS. I really enjoy participating on this forum as there are some very intelligent analyses on the market that are of extreme importance, which I appreciate in the extreme. I am forever LONG as a producer;However, I do not, nor need to participate in speculative addenda, as I am by nature a 'speculator' due to the nature of my business. At times, I make comments that are not technically inclined, thus possibly of no interest to the general public, yet in good nature, as i.e. the snow in the weather news last night.It was dead serious, and for use to the attendees of this forum, for whatever you deem it might be worth. If, they are of no interest, as they say, “No skin off my back”Thank you for the opportunity to allow me my right of freedom of expression, and at times, some sharp ripostes, as after all I have been a swordsman all my life.
Good night Mercury. For snow we would need temperatures at 0°. But even so, there are several people (friends, my mother and reports of people on social networks) with some loss from the freezing wind at altitudes above 1100 meters. The cold scorched younger leaves and caused an excessive fall of leaves. There are no significant losses to the market, but the affected producers will be one more loss accounted for.
Thank you Rodrigo! It is not a joyful issue to producers, when other suffer, after all we are in the same boat more or loss. We have have had freezes here, of course, they do not amount hugely, but El Salvador used to be 4th producer in the world in the early 70's. The good old days...Good night to you too.
less*
Conab has LOWERED its crop view for 2022 coffee harvest to 53.4M bags and cut Arabica view by over 3M bags.
It's strange that you still trust Konab and make it an indicator of the rise or fall of coffee prices. Have you not learned yet? They push the prices up by publishing numbers that are far from reality
#conab
Rabobank is better?
Mgom? Weather or small export?
in order (IMO) : In order, first exit frost 05/17 (228 to 214), cold 05/20 (support around 215) and after comes exportation mixed with the Brazilian harvest.
 So you expect another leg down after Friday without frost?
 I think it's the strategy, for those who want to buy because of the drop in exports (IMO).
pillingTheBean · Views on how cold temps will be in Brazil #coffee regions in next days are heavily conflicted depending on source - I do believe INMET is by far most trust-worthy & if they say frost warning remains in place only a fool would ignore this but $jo traders like to live dangerously!!
Big John, even though many on this forum kept on insistingthat drought has no impact on production and all that was needed were some good rains, blossoming then all was going to be hunky dory. Right 😏Last night we saw snow in Brazil in the news.Unfortunately, it was only the end of the newscastand missed the location.
Mercúrio KG This reminds me of the story of 'Wolf in sheep's clothing'.
And yours reminds me of the Addams Family .
"Cry Wolf !!!!
Still some frost jeopardy for Friday. Clear sky, no wind, 2C in Meteoblue model.
Pocos de Caldas.
Yes, me again. Are you aware of how many BILLIONS the bycicle industry represents?Thank you for wonderful qualificative.How is Morticia, Gomez?
 Yes, Pocos de Caldas around 3C.Not a rule, but we had worse predictions for this city in 05/17
Great buying opportunity right here (215.5) don't miss it
@SpillingTheBean BRAZIL WATCH: #Coffee market ever more desperate to bring prices down before onset of MASSIVE supply deficit starts showing in bigger numbers - If frost risk from current cold front really has vanished why are ALL local specialized ag and weather news in Brazil reporting on this?
No frosts, market continue removing this risk from prices..
-1300 pts for max 228
Possibly the fall may be due in part to the overall 'collapse' of todays markets?And, if the cold persists, brilliant buying opp., or not...
In the meantime ICE queue became empty...
This does not mean anything for two reasons The first: because ICE  only just publish what they have of information, and some of these countries that provide information do not believe them in, Hiding the truth to raise prices. Second: The global stock of coffee increases in the months of the harvest and decreases in the other months and this does not affect prices except at the end of the year and in general and importantly the outcome of production and consumption
What are you talking about? ICE stocks are easy to track. Stored only in few places.
@SpillingTheBean BRAZIL WATCH: Hearing #coffee traders saying market down because "frost threat is over" & have to admit this is like WT is wrong with you? Every SINGLE weather report CLEARLY forecast COLDEST weather to start Thu a.m. and to last for 5 full days until Mon for current cold front!!
KC -1120 pts (-5%), removing the blankets
Temperatures tonight reached 2° so far as I followed. During the night I noticed that there was a light wind, and in comments from other producers there were some clouds in the sky. These two factors are the most important after temperatures to form frosts: clear skies and no winds.
Starting excess adjustment, +2500 points in 4 days ? looks like overkill
Frost cancelled? We have 3 days more of cold weather and after that prices should deflate a bit more. Good place to buy after that.
What region are you from Bruno? I'm in Andradas and some photos of friends are appearing with plants burned by the wind. How are you there?
*cold wind.
@Bruno: Please - Where to find this information "Frost Risk until Sunday" Thanks
@SpillingTheBean BREAKING BRAZIL #COFFEE FROST: Massive cold front INTENSIFYING and $JO panic grows for VERY REAL threat to new 2022 crop as cold weather & temps as low as -5c forecast for FULL 5 days set to sweep ALL main arabica growing regions Thu through Mon and increasingly similar to 2021.!
ndradas.portaldacidade.com/noticias/cidade/andradas-deve-ter-quatro-dias-consecutivos-de-geadas-durante-a-madrugada-3102
Link does not work
According to todays Cecafe data May export will be lower than 2mln bags!
ICE stocks down again. Without new coffee in queue. Very low export numbers. Bulls have more arguments not only frost.
Of course not so fast and high, yet lower ICE stocks and small export are bullish factors for sure.
but not still for 2500 pts
Not in few days, agree
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