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ICE US Coffee C Futures - Dec 25 (KCc4)

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368.85 +0.85    +0.23%
19:58:59 - Closed. Currency in USD
Type:  Commodity
Group:  Agriculture
  • Prev. Close: 368.00
  • Open: 366.60
  • Day's Range: 364.10 - 371.10
US Coffee C 368.85 +0.85 +0.23%

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US Coffee C Futures Discussions

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Maui Joe
MauiJoe 11 hours ago
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Next week will be a tough one for bears
Max Oh
Max Oh 10 hours ago
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lol nope
Tesfaye Degechissa
Tesfaye Degechissa 7 hours ago
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Kindly, why?
Coffee KC
Coffee KC 13 hours ago
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176.000 german companies closed down in 2023. Coffee consumption must be doing great despite DEEP recession. Probably brazilian coffee samples growers know it better the domestic analysts.
Rodrigo Faria
Rodrigo Faria 12 hours ago
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No, we don't know any more than you do. You've been complaining since 250 and we're over 350. In fact, no one is 100% sure about anything.
Ro Al
Ro Al 12 hours ago
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A big Global recession and a price increase of 40% doesn't effect coffee consumption according to the Viriato and Shortdude academy
Bruno O Souza
Bruno O Souza 10 hours ago
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Ro Al the decrease on consumption should be the reason Brazil is exporting more and more coffee rigth?
ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude 10 hours ago
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GDP change in 2024. USA +2.8% EU +0.8% China +5% Brazil +3.4% Yes, this is a deep recession according to Comrade Ro.
Coffee Arabica
Coffee Arabica 9 hours ago
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176.000?! Lol, please lay off whatever substance you are on.
Kenan Hajdari
Kenan Hajdari 18 hours ago
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As of March 21, 2025, the precipitation forecast for Brazil's main coffee-growing regions over the next two weeks indicates a return of rainfall, which is expected to alleviate the recent dry conditions. According to recent weather models, significant rainfall is anticipated in areas such as Minas Gerais and São Paulo, starting from March 25, 2025. This precipitation is crucial for supporting the ongoing development of the 2025/2026 coffee crop, especially following the recent dry spell. The European and American weather models both predict increased rainfall in these regions, with the European model suggesting higher volumes concentrated in central Brazil. This aligns with the typical seasonal transition from the dry to the rainy season in central Brazil during this period. Overall, the anticipated rainfall over the next two weeks is expected to improve soil moisture levels and support the healthy development of coffee crops across Brazil's key producing regions.
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Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes 16 hours ago
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If you would read Mr. Mazzafera's comments you would understand why he said that some loss in yield is already irreversible. Your problem is that any comment related to lower yield you absorb as No Coffee Mantra which is completely wrong and just destruct you from reality so, you need to adjust it a bit :), of course if it makes sense for your business model. :):):).
Ro Al
Ro Al 14 hours ago
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Viriato have you ever posted good news? Like ever?
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes 13 hours ago
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I'm bullish since 2018 on cyclical basis. In my view :) the final top is not in yet but I may be wrong like everybody else. The difference is that I'm based on long cycles and real physical data/science. As example, I expect that after summer 2025 (Solar cycle 25 peak should take place around that time) the global cooling will start and the weather will start changing rapidly. For SH and Brazil in particular it would :) mean lower temps in general and thus, high temps issue should go away. But on the other side, it may mean higher risk of frost and drought. It has nothing to do with me but with Grand Solar Minima cycle that started in 2020 and should end around 2053 :). Last one was a Maunder cycle and you may read what it was for NH, EU and NL :) specifically. In short, it suggest more anomalies going forward until the cycle went through its peak which would be around 2036 or so... For me and common sense wise :), more anomalies means more risk. There is very poor data about 1645-1715 climate in MG besides some colonial letters :) and jesuits books :) but they point to serious droughts and frosts. Again there was no coffee yet :) in Brazil during that period :)... As soon as March will be done, we'll understand more about total precipitation on AVERAGE and how it may be interpreted, etc. And my outlook for next two decades is not just for KC but for other agris and energies is the same. For sure rains will improve what is possible to improve, without the rains it would be real catastrophe indeed, but as example, 42mb of A in 2025 (if considered) will not add optimism at all. You may look at the weather data for MG or specific regions for 2018 and 2020 which provided record crops and to compare the temps, etc - it will make the picture more clear :).
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes 13 hours ago
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I'm not a perma bull :), I'm a small bull until GSM will run its course. And I have no doubts that high price stimulates expansion and that rationing starts at some level. But rationing is not cancelling at all, rationing is balancing the supply/demand ratio until the problem is solved and last few hundreds of years have shown very clear that inflation :) does not stop people to consume the same products as the income grows :) too.
Rodrigo Faria
Rodrigo Faria 13 hours ago
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Same question to you Al: did you post an optimistic news story? We had a drought in the flowering, droughts a few days ago (which happened to improve despite the poor distribution of rains) and prices are above 350. Your news compared to current prices becomes manipulative (or at least an attempt at manipulation) for the simple fact that you have been totally wrong since 250.
DAWI FELICORI MARQUES
DAWI FELICORI MARQUES 21 hours ago
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I am a coffee producer in Brazil. We faced major climate issues in 2024, which repeated in 2025. Our stocks are depleted, and coffee will run out before the harvest, which could become the biggest crisis in the history of coffee. There will be high demand for the product, but we won't have any to sell—prices will be much higher!
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Bruno O Souza
Bruno O Souza 14 hours ago
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Chris Lb what about me? What google says? I agree with Felicori
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes 14 hours ago
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For the market to relax a bit :), 2025 A should come (considered :)) 45mb. Any figure below 45mb will underline the problems. Nobody knows until harvest is roughly done, but general perception for now is below...
Frank Shan
Frank Shan 14 hours ago
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Everything above the Volcafe predictions Will be a relax for the market
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes 13 hours ago
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2mb over Volcafe number will move it to 6 :). Market operates mainly in USDA terms and is very conservative (big players) as it is based on statistical models when real exact data is impossible. 7% of IBGE correction applied to USDA 2023 45mb would give you 42mb more or less. After rains started, most likely this is the figure market keeps in mind until further notice :), assuming the loss that has happened and is irreversible.
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes 13 hours ago
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Note, that 45mb as OFF 2023 A production supposed to point to ... record 2024 ON A production of 53 - 55mb and this was what market was expecting initially and that's why it went down to roughly 140...
xsimo Zuc
xsimo Mar 20, 2025 10:36PM ET
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Hi. I need help understanding the "historical data" of the "US Coffee Futures - May 25" available here. Is it the historical data of the "May" contract exclusively? Thanks Thanks
Mercury KG
Mercury KG Mar 20, 2025 8:54PM ET
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"convience"? You are so peculiarly off the beaten path, you are a teeny tiny Musk wannabe. With Preparation H. So what do you think about Gold? Is it also a plot, comrade RO? You should seek professional help, or give good investing advice and step off your TEU. You never say anything mildly intelligent. PS. learn to spell.
Ro Al
Ro Al Mar 20, 2025 5:11PM ET
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the fact that the manipulating people here like Viriato, shortdude, rodrigo, bruno trying to convience you. That the historical price that never happend in the existence of coffee market is valid and it needs to go up more, even tho it broke all historic prices already. In the future this will be a meme here on this forum. A tile quote for in the toilet room.
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ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude 18 hours ago
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Comrade Ro. Coffee is not a food but a stimulant. It is possible to live without it. If it becomes too expensive people will reduce consumption. It seemed to me that years of communism proved how senseless and criminal this system is and what consequences it has. However, in a way unexplained to me, there are still people like Comrade Ro who are communists. Pack your bags go to North Korea, see what a communist paradise looks like.
Rodrigo Faria
Rodrigo Faria 18 hours ago
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Dude, in Brazil coffee is indeed a food and the proof of this is that it is on the basic food list. The issue is that Ro sees in Brazilian news reports that "coffee drives food inflation", "coffee is the villain of high inflation", but this news conveys a misconception about inflation, suggesting that coffee makes other foods go up in price, but no, coffee is a "villain" but in inflation figures.
ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude 18 hours ago
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It is not food in the sense that because of the lack of coffee you will not starve to death. This is true even in Brazil. ;) In general, Comrade Ro writes nonsense.
Ro Al
Ro Al 18 hours ago
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Are you really gonna say there is no poverty in your country? Wow I think if they knew who you are they would come to your house. Thats a blunt statement and big lie to throw out there. Watch your back.
Rodrigo Faria
Rodrigo Faria 18 hours ago
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In coffee regions, NO, and unlike you, I don't hide behind initials or name abbreviations. In fact, the invitation is still open, you should get to know Brazil, a screen doesn't always reflect reality.
Maui Joe
MauiJoe Mar 20, 2025 1:52PM ET
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high of almost 398. seems to be buyers in US hours.
Chris Lb
Chris Lb Mar 20, 2025 12:15PM ET
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i think i will quit coffe. a bit tired of that movemnt
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ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude Mar 20, 2025 12:15PM ET
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You have an understanding of issues at the level of a 5-year-old. What kind of manipulation are you talking about? There have been many outbreaks of bird flu in the US and many laying hens have been culled. There is not enough egg production for the demand. The price increase is natural to reduce consumption. What is the manipulation here?
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes Mar 20, 2025 12:15PM ET
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There are plenty of eggs in retail in US below $10. :):):)
Ro Al
Ro Al Mar 20, 2025 12:15PM ET
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that's because egg price dropped from 16 to 6 this month viriato... it is not hard just to follow charts. Cannot wait when coffee faith will be like this. Bubble needs to burst someday. Question is which day
ShortDude ShortDude
ShortDude Mar 20, 2025 12:15PM ET
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The problem with eggs was local, affecting only the US. It was enough to expand imports and prices fell. In Europe, we have as many eggs as we need. You can buy 12 eggs for less than 3 euros.... With coffee the problem is different because the deficit is global. I ask again, where is the manipulation here?
Viriato Magalhaes
Viriato Magalhaes Mar 20, 2025 12:15PM ET
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Ro, while making the comparison the basis is important. For instance, if OJ at first reached roughly 2.5 of its upper decadal trading channel line value, for KC it would translate into roughly 3 x 2.5 = 7.5. What assumes that applying the same logic :)/criteria KC needs to reach roughly 7.5 level and then to drop like a boulder :). KC is far from there as of yet. In relation to lower channel line it would be 10 times its value what translates for KC into 5 and KC is not there yet either... Another point is the market share or in other words the liquidity. I don't know if you ever traded OJ, Rice, Oats, Old :) Lumber, etc but liquidity plays important role indeed for specs and at critical junctions it is super critical for obvious reason. Wheat is from another group but by all other factors it would be more reasonable comparison. However, Wheat will not be in your favor as before going down down :), Wheat (Chicago wheat) reached roughly double value of its decadal upper channel line what for KC would translate into roughly 6. :):):) Nobody knows where it will go and stop, etc but if you want to be correct with your comparison you should treat both subjects (or as many as you do) in the same fashion. Otherwise your comparison makes no sense.... :) Common sense, first of all :):):)...
Frank Shan
Frank Shan Mar 20, 2025 11:00AM ET
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Look at the volumes. Could specs still go longer or they are trying tò optimize options levels? Arbitrage?
Kenan Hajdari
Kenan Hajdari Mar 20, 2025 11:00AM ET
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We know that. Everybody knows that. No one cares. They just want coffee. And that's when specs make their wicked snarl.
Frank Shan
Frank Shan Mar 20, 2025 11:00AM ET
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What for they Will made It vintage?
 
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