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Fed Rate Monitor Tool
Fed Interest Rate Decision Mar 19, 2025 02:00PM ET
0
Weeks
1
Days
19
Hours
56
Minutes
Our Fed rate monitor calculator is based on CME Group 30-Day Fed Fund futures prices, which tend to signal the markets’ expectations regarding the possibility of changes to US interest rates based on Fed monetary policy. The tool allows users to calculate the likelihood of an upcoming Fed rate hike or cut.
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Mar 19, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.673
4.00 - 4.25
2.0%
4.25 - 4.50
98.0%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 2.0% | 2.0% | 4.0% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 98.0% | 98.0% | 96.0% |
Updated: Mar 17, 2025 05:35PM EDT
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Meeting Time:
May 07, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.720
3.75 - 4.00
0.4%
4.00 - 4.25
19.4%
4.25 - 4.50
80.2%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.8% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 19.4% | 24.7% | 44.8% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 80.2% | 74.8% | 53.5% |
Updated: Mar 17, 2025 05:35PM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jun 18, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.785
3.50 - 3.75
0.2%
3.75 - 4.00
11.7%
4.00 - 4.25
55.7%
4.25 - 4.50
32.4%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.5% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 11.7% | 17.4% | 37.2% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 55.7% | 59.8% | 51.9% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 32.4% | 22.5% | 9.4% |
Updated: Mar 17, 2025 05:35PM EDT
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Meeting Time:
Jul 30, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.875
3.50 - 3.75
4.2%
3.75 - 4.00
26.8%
4.00 - 4.25
47.7%
4.25 - 4.50
21.3%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.7% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 4.2% | 6.6% | 19.8% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 26.8% | 32.8% | 44.8% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 47.7% | 46.2% | 30.1% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 21.3% | 14.3% | 4.6% |
Updated: Mar 17, 2025 05:35PM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Sep 17, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.020
3.25 - 3.50
2.4%
3.50 - 3.75
17.0%
3.75 - 4.00
38.7%
4.00 - 4.25
32.7%
4.25 - 4.50
9.2%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 2.4% | 3.9% | 13.4% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 17.0% | 22.1% | 36.4% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 38.7% | 40.7% | 35.0% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 32.7% | 27.4% | 13.2% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 9.2% | 5.9% | 1.5% |
Updated: Mar 17, 2025 05:35PM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Oct 29, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.105
3.00 - 3.25
0.8%
3.25 - 3.50
6.9%
3.50 - 3.75
23.8%
3.75 - 4.00
36.8%
4.00 - 4.25
25.4%
4.25 - 4.50
6.3%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 0.8% | 1.3% | 5.3% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 6.9% | 9.5% | 22.0% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 23.8% | 27.8% | 35.9% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 36.8% | 36.6% | 26.8% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 25.4% | 20.7% | 8.8% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
Updated: Mar 17, 2025 05:35PM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Dec 10, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.240
2.75 - 3.00
0.3%
3.00 - 3.25
3.1%
3.25 - 3.50
13.3%
3.50 - 3.75
28.7%
3.75 - 4.00
32.5%
4.00 - 4.25
18.2%
4.25 - 4.50
3.9%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 2.3% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 3.1% | 4.4% | 12.3% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 13.3% | 16.4% | 27.8% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 28.7% | 31.1% | 32.1% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 32.5% | 30.6% | 19.3% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 18.2% | 14.4% | 5.5% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
Updated: Mar 17, 2025 05:35PM EDT
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Meeting Time:
Jan 26, 2026 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.275
2.75 - 3.00
0.6%
3.00 - 3.25
4.4%
3.25 - 3.50
15.2%
3.50 - 3.75
29.1%
3.75 - 4.00
30.7%
4.00 - 4.25
16.4%
4.25 - 4.50
3.5%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 0.6% | 1.0% | 3.6% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 4.4% | 5.9% | 14.2% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 15.2% | 18.2% | 28.3% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 29.1% | 31.1% | 30.5% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 30.7% | 28.6% | 17.6% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 16.4% | 13.0% | 4.9% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
Updated: Mar 17, 2025 05:35PM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Mar 18, 2026 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.320
2.50 - 2.75
0.2%
2.75 - 3.00
1.4%
3.00 - 3.25
6.7%
3.25 - 3.50
18.2%
3.50 - 3.75
29.5%
3.75 - 4.00
27.7%
4.00 - 4.25
13.7%
4.25 - 4.50
2.7%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.00 - 2.25 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.0% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 1.4% | 2.0% | 5.8% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 6.7% | 8.5% | 17.2% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 18.2% | 21.0% | 28.8% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 29.5% | 30.5% | 27.7% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 27.7% | 25.3% | 14.9% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 13.7% | 10.7% | 4.0% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
Updated: Mar 17, 2025 05:35PM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Apr 29, 2026 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.355
2.50 - 2.75
0.3%
2.75 - 3.00
1.9%
3.00 - 3.25
7.7%
3.25 - 3.50
19.1%
3.50 - 3.75
29.3%
3.75 - 4.00
26.5%
4.00 - 4.25
12.7%
4.25 - 4.50
2.5%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.75 - 2.00 | — | — | 0.0% |
| 2.00 - 2.25 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.5% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 1.9% | 2.6% | 6.8% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 7.7% | 9.6% | 18.2% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 19.1% | 21.8% | 28.7% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 29.3% | 30.1% | 26.6% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 26.5% | 24.0% | 14.0% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 12.7% | 9.9% | 3.7% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
Updated: Mar 17, 2025 05:35PM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jun 17, 2026 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.375
2.50 - 2.75
0.4%
2.75 - 3.00
2.4%
3.00 - 3.25
8.8%
3.25 - 3.50
20.1%
3.50 - 3.75
29.1%
3.75 - 4.00
25.2%
4.00 - 4.25
11.7%
4.25 - 4.50
2.2%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.50 - 1.75 | — | — | — |
| 1.75 - 2.00 | — | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2.00 - 2.25 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.6% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 2.4% | 3.1% | 7.2% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 8.8% | 10.5% | 18.6% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 20.1% | 22.4% | 28.6% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 29.1% | 29.6% | 26.2% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 25.2% | 22.9% | 13.6% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 11.7% | 9.3% | 3.5% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
Updated: Mar 17, 2025 05:35PM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jul 29, 2026 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.400
2.50 - 2.75
0.5%
2.75 - 3.00
2.7%
3.00 - 3.25
9.3%
3.25 - 3.50
20.5%
3.50 - 3.75
28.9%
3.75 - 4.00
24.6%
4.00 - 4.25
11.3%
4.25 - 4.50
2.1%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.50 - 1.75 | — | — | — |
| 1.75 - 2.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2.00 - 2.25 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.9% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 2.7% | 3.4% | 7.7% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 9.3% | 11.0% | 19.0% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 20.5% | 22.8% | 28.5% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 28.9% | 29.3% | 25.6% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 24.6% | 22.3% | 13.1% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 11.3% | 8.9% | 3.4% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
Updated: Mar 17, 2025 05:35PM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Sep 16, 2026 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.410
2.50 - 2.75
0.6%
2.75 - 3.00
2.9%
3.00 - 3.25
9.6%
3.25 - 3.50
20.8%
3.50 - 3.75
28.8%
3.75 - 4.00
24.1%
4.00 - 4.25
11.0%
4.25 - 4.50
2.1%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.25 - 1.50 | — | — | — |
| 1.50 - 1.75 | — | — | — |
| 1.75 - 2.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2.00 - 2.25 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 2.1% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 2.9% | 3.7% | 8.1% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 9.6% | 11.4% | 19.3% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 20.8% | 23.0% | 28.4% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 28.8% | 29.1% | 25.2% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 24.1% | 21.9% | 12.8% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 11.0% | 8.7% | 3.3% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
Updated: Mar 17, 2025 05:35PM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Oct 28, 2026 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.415
2.50 - 2.75
0.5%
2.75 - 3.00
2.7%
3.00 - 3.25
9.0%
3.25 - 3.50
19.8%
3.50 - 3.75
28.0%
3.75 - 4.00
24.6%
4.00 - 4.25
12.2%
4.25 - 4.50
2.9%
4.50 - 4.75
0.2%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.25 - 1.50 | — | — | — |
| 1.50 - 1.75 | — | — | — |
| 1.75 - 2.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2.00 - 2.25 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.9% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 2.7% | 3.4% | 7.5% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 9.0% | 10.7% | 18.3% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 19.8% | 21.9% | 27.6% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 28.0% | 28.5% | 25.5% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 24.6% | 22.6% | 14.0% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 12.2% | 9.9% | 4.2% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Updated: Mar 17, 2025 05:35PM EDT
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Dec 09, 2026 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.550
2.25 - 2.50
0.3%
2.50 - 2.75
1.8%
2.75 - 3.00
6.2%
3.00 - 3.25
15.0%
3.25 - 3.50
24.4%
3.50 - 3.75
26.1%
3.75 - 4.00
17.7%
4.00 - 4.25
7.0%
4.25 - 4.50
1.4%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.00 - 1.25 | — | — | — |
| 1.25 - 1.50 | — | — | — |
| 1.50 - 1.75 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1.75 - 2.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2.00 - 2.25 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| 2.25 - 2.50 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.2% |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 1.8% | 2.2% | 5.1% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 6.2% | 7.5% | 13.6% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 15.0% | 17.0% | 23.5% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 24.4% | 25.6% | 26.4% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 26.1% | 25.2% | 19.1% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 17.7% | 15.5% | 8.5% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 4.50 - 4.75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Updated: Mar 17, 2025 05:35PM EDT
Fed Fund Rates
News
Five things to watch in markets in the week ahead
By Investing.com - Mar 17, 2025
1
Investing.com - The latest interest rate decision by the U.S. Federal Reserve will be the highlight of the week's activity, although there are also meetings from a number of other central banks. U.S....
Bitcoin price today: hovers around $84K ahead of Fed rate decision
By Investing.com - Mar 17, 2025
2
Investing.com-- Bitcoin climbed slightly Monday amid cautious trade ahead of the U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate decision due later this week. The world’s largest cryptocurrency climbed 0.4% to...
Asia FX little changed as investors eye key central bank decisions
By Investing.com - Mar 16, 2025
Investing.com-- Most Asian currencies were little changed against a muted U.S. dollar on Monday, as investors were cautious ahead of key interest rate decisions from the U.S., Japan, and China, all...
Analysis
Weekly Market Outlook: Central Banks, US Rates, and Trade War Impact
By Zain Vawda - Mar 17, 2025
Markets have seen another week of losses but a positive end to the week may be a sign that a rebound in US equities is the start of improving sentiment. The improved end to the week came about as...
US Dollar: Economic Uncertainty to Keep Bears in Control Ahead of Fed This Week
By Günay Caymaz - Mar 17, 2025
3
The US dollar is weakening due to economic slowdown signs, political uncertainty, and Trump's trade policies. Markets are watching the Fed's interest rate decision, while Germany's stimulus plan...
US Dollar Faces Uncertainty Amid Tariffs, Fed Meeting, and Geopolitics
By Chris Turner - Mar 17, 2025
Risk assets are a little calmer at the start of a new week. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has tried calming some nerves by calling equity corrections healthy. But a combination of US activity...