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Fed Rate Monitor Tool
Fed Interest Rate Decision Jan 29, 2025 02:00PM ET
0
Weeks
6
Days
18
Hours
55
Minutes
Our Fed rate monitor calculator is based on CME Group 30-Day Fed Fund futures prices, which tend to signal the markets’ expectations regarding the possibility of changes to US interest rates based on Fed monetary policy. The tool allows users to calculate the likelihood of an upcoming Fed rate hike or cut.
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jan 29, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.673
4.00 - 4.25
1.1%
4.25 - 4.50
98.9%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 98.9% | 97.8% | 97.8% |
Updated: Jan 22, 2025 06:45PM EST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Mar 19, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.700
3.75 - 4.00
0.3%
4.00 - 4.25
24.6%
4.25 - 4.50
75.2%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 24.6% | 23.2% | 29.0% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 75.2% | 76.3% | 70.4% |
Updated: Jan 22, 2025 06:45PM EST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
May 07, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.775
3.75 - 4.00
5.3%
4.00 - 4.25
35.0%
4.25 - 4.50
59.7%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 35.0% | 36.0% | 37.4% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 59.7% | 58.0% | 56.1% |
Updated: Jan 22, 2025 06:45PM EST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jun 18, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.830
3.50 - 3.75
2.2%
3.75 - 4.00
17.2%
4.00 - 4.25
44.9%
4.25 - 4.50
35.7%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 17.2% | 17.0% | 19.0% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 44.9% | 44.1% | 45.0% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 35.7% | 36.6% | 33.3% |
Updated: Jan 22, 2025 06:45PM EST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Jul 30, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.890
3.25 - 3.50
0.4%
3.50 - 3.75
5.0%
3.75 - 4.00
22.5%
4.00 - 4.25
43.1%
4.25 - 4.50
28.8%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 22.5% | 21.7% | 22.9% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 43.1% | 42.8% | 43.2% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 28.8% | 30.3% | 28.3% |
Updated: Jan 22, 2025 06:45PM EST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Sep 17, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.960
3.00 - 3.25
0.1%
3.25 - 3.50
1.5%
3.50 - 3.75
9.0%
3.75 - 4.00
27.2%
4.00 - 4.25
39.9%
4.25 - 4.50
22.3%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 27.2% | 26.4% | 27.5% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 39.9% | 40.0% | 39.9% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 22.3% | 23.5% | 21.9% |
Updated: Jan 22, 2025 06:45PM EST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Oct 29, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
95.995
3.00 - 3.25
0.3%
3.25 - 3.50
2.5%
3.50 - 3.75
11.4%
3.75 - 4.00
28.9%
4.00 - 4.25
37.6%
4.25 - 4.50
19.3%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 11.4% | 11.3% | 12.0% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 28.9% | 28.5% | 29.4% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 37.6% | 37.4% | 37.1% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 19.3% | 19.9% | 18.5% |
Updated: Jan 22, 2025 06:45PM EST
Add to Calendar
Meeting Time:
Dec 10, 2025 02:00PM ET
Future Price:
96.045
3.00 - 3.25
0.6%
3.25 - 3.50
3.7%
3.50 - 3.75
13.9%
3.75 - 4.00
30.1%
4.00 - 4.25
35.0%
4.25 - 4.50
16.6%
| Target Rate | Current Probability% | Previous Day Probability% | Previous Week Probability% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.25 - 2.50 | — | — | — |
| 2.50 - 2.75 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 2.75 - 3.00 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| 3.00 - 3.25 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| 3.25 - 3.50 | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% |
| 3.50 - 3.75 | 13.9% | 13.8% | 14.1% |
| 3.75 - 4.00 | 30.1% | 29.8% | 30.3% |
| 4.00 - 4.25 | 35.0% | 35.0% | 34.9% |
| 4.25 - 4.50 | 16.6% | 17.1% | 16.3% |
Updated: Jan 22, 2025 06:45PM EST
Fed Fund Rates
News
Fed's rate meeting next week likely to be a nothingburger as hold largely expected
By Investing.com - Jan 22, 2025
1
Investing.com -- The Federal Reserve is set for its first policy meeting next week, but BofA believes the meeting is likely to be nothingburger as the central bank is likely to keep rates on hold. "We...
Forex markets looking more to White House than Fed - BOA
By Investing.com - Jan 22, 2025
Investing.com - The next Federal Reserve policy-setting meeting is looming large, but markets are expecting little from the gathering, according to Bank of America Securities, with more focus on...
Dollar retreats from highs ahead of PPI; sterling under pressure
By Investing.com - Jan 14, 2025
Investing.com - The US dollar fell Tuesday amid uncertainty over Trump’s tariffs policy, but remained near two-year highs ahead of the release of the first of the week’s key inflation data. At 04:15...
Analysis
Gold Gathering Strength for the Next Breakout
By Florian Grummes - Jan 17, 2025
Since the last US interest rate decision on December 18th, 2024, gold has experienced a remarkable recovery as anticipated. From its low point of USD 2,585, it climbed to a recent high of USD 2,697...
US Dollar Poised for Gains as Upcoming PPI Could Fuel Rate Cut Uncertainty
By Francesco Pesole - Jan 14, 2025
The US releases PPI figures for January today, where the core measure is expected to accelerate at an unwelcoming 0.3% MoM. That should cast more doubts about further Fed easing and give the dollar...
GBP/USD: Sterling Sliding, Fed Worried About Trump
By Kenny Fisher - Jan 09, 2025
The British pound is on a nasty slide and has lost 1.8% since Monday. In the European session, GBP/USD is currently trading at 1.2294, down 0.53%. Earlier, the pound fell as low as 1.2237 (1%), it...