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World Market Death Cross Signaling Summer Swoon For U.S. Major Indices?

Published 07/01/2018, 12:20 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

As shown on the daily chart below, a moving average "Death Cross" has formed on the World Market Index. It closed out Q2 2018 just above horizontal price support and below trendline support, as well as below both moving averages.

All three technical indicators are in negative territory, hinting of further weakness ahead, particularly if price drops and holds below 1950 on accelerating RSI, MACD and PMO declines.

MSWorld Chart

The following 1-year and 6-month charts of the U.S. Major Indices—the Dow, Dow Jones Utilities, Dow Jones Transportation, S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, NASDAQ Composite, Russell 2000, S&P 100 and NASDAQ Transportation—show where they closed out Q2, relative to their 50-day moving average.

Major US Indices at Close of Q2, 1-Y Charts

Major US Indices 6 Month Chart

The following year-to-date graph of these Major Indices shows the percentage gained/lost for the first half of 2018.

Major US Indices % Gained/Lost 2018 YTD
My general conclusion is, if we don't see some serious buying of the Dow 30, S&P 500, NASDAQ 100, NASDAQ Comp, Russell 2000 and the S&P 100 around their 50 MA soon, we may see the beginning of a 'summer swoon,' and, possibly, some aggressive selling until they reach their 200 MA. Keep an eye on the World Market Index for potential clues and on the ROC (rate-of-change) indicator on these Major Indices.

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