USD/JPY: China Jitters Propel Yen Higher

www.investing.com/analysis/usdjpy--china-jitters-propel-yen-higher-200632858

By Kenny Fisher | Nov 28, 2022 10:53AM ET

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USD/JPY

-0.15%

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After strong gains last week, the Japanese yen has extended its gains Monday. USD/JPY is trading at 138.23 in the European session, down 0.67%.

Yen Jumps on China Unrest

China has applied its COVID-zero policy with a heavy hand, but COVID cases continue to rise nonetheless. The mass lockdowns have triggered widespread protests, which some injuries reported. The unrest is likely to exacerbate supply-chain disruptions and dampen domestic demand, which has hurt risk appetite. This has resulted in flows to safe-haven assets, such as the Japanese yen. USD/JPY dropped as much as 1% earlier today, but the dollar has managed to recover some of these losses.

The yen also received a boost after Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda said the tightening labour market will push wages higher. Kuroda has long insisted that rising inflation has driven by import costs and the weak yen, and is transient. Higher wages would indicate that inflation is sustained, which could result in the BoJ making some changes in its ultra-loose policy.

After a short trading week in the U.S. due to the Thanksgiving holiday, the markets will have plenty of U.S. events to digest this week. CB Consumer Confidence will be released on Tuesday, with the November report expected to dip to 100.0, down from 102.5. The key release of the week is nonfarm payrolls on Friday, which could have a major impact on the Fed’s decision to raise rates by 50 or 75 basis points at the Dec.14 meeting. Currently, the likelihood of a 50-bp hike is about 75%, versus 25% for a larger 75-bp increase. Investors are viewing a 50-point move as a dovish pivot, which has been putting pressure on the U.S. dollar. Still, even a 50-bp hike would set a record for yearly rate hikes of 4.25%.

USD/JPY Technical

There is resistance at 139.82 and 141.58
There is support at 137.39 and 135.63

USD/JPY Daily Chart.

This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.

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Central Banks

Interest Rates

Next Meeting

FED

4.75%

Mar 22, 2023

ECB

3.00%

Feb 02, 2023

BOE

4.00%

Feb 02, 2023

SNB

1.00%

Mar 23, 2023

RBA

3.10%

Feb 07, 2023

BOC

4.50%

Mar 08, 2023

RBNZ

4.25%

Feb 22, 2023

BOJ

-0.10%

Mar 10, 2023

CBR

7.50%

Feb 10, 2023

RBI

6.25%

Feb 08, 2023

PBOC

3.65%

BCB

13.75%

Mar 22, 2023

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USD/JPY: China Jitters Propel Yen Higher

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