The US Treasury Is Supporting the Bond Market!
On Tuesday, the US Treasury conducted its largest debt repurchase since the start of the buyback program, acquiring $10 billion in securities. In recent months, these buyback operations have shown a clear upward trend.
Source: Global Markets Investors
1. European Central Bank Trims Interest Rates After Inflation Dips Below Target
The European Central Bank (ECB) has reduced interest rates for the eighth time in a year, responding to a decline in inflation below the 2% threshold and continued economic strain caused by US tariffs. The deposit rate was lowered by 25 basis points to 2%, with the ECB emphasising that it is not committing to a predetermined policy trajectory.
Meanwhile, the ECB’s balance sheet contracted to €6.3 trillion. In its latest economic outlook, the central bank estimates that inflation will average 2% in 2025, lowering its previous estimate of 2.3% from March.
Notably, for the first time since September 2023, the ECB’s deposit rate has dropped below Germany’s inflation rate.
Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg
2. Gold and Other Commodities Path Have Been Diverging Since November 2023
As of May 2025, gold prices grew by 25.0% since the beginning of the year, marking a stark difference from the broader downturn in commodity markets. The general commodity index declined by 9.0%, driven by a 12.9% drop in energy prices and a 5.9% decrease in food prices. Compared to pre-pandemic levels, gold was trading 153% higher, significantly outperforming the overall commodity index by 117%, energy by 138%, and food by 109%.
Source: Econovis on X
3. The Trump-Elon Meltdown
The breakup between the world’s most powerful politician and the world’s richest man is unfolding in a way that reflects the surreal nature of our times: rapid, dramatic, and highly public, playing out through television broadcasts and their personal social media accounts. Tesla’s (NASDAQ:TSLA) stock took a sharp 14% dive, wiping out $153 billion in market value and pushing the company’s worth below the $1 trillion mark.
Source: HolgerZ, Bloomberg
5. Japan’s 30-Year Government Bond Yields Should Theoretically Be Even Higher
Japan’s 30-year government bond yield has climbed significantly in recent months, reaching 3%, matching the yield on German government bonds.
However, this parity comes despite a stark contrast in debt levels: Germany’s government debt stands at 60% of GDP, while Japan’s exceeds 240%. Given the scale of Japan’s debt, its current yields remain disproportionately low.
Source: Robin Brooks @robin_j_brooks on X
6. Amazon Is Going to Invest 100 Billion Dollars This Year
Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) is on track to become the first company in history to surpass $100 billion in annual capital expenditures.
Over half of that spending is allocated to building out its technology infrastructure. This raises a key question: how much growth potential does AWS still have ahead of it?
Source: Finchart
Source: Vlad Investment Bastion, Goldman Investment Research