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U.S. Indices In Correction Territory On Unprecedented Volatility

Published 02/09/2018, 12:40 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

After another volatile day of trading on Thursday, all of the nine US Major Indices closed down hard and four are officially now in 10% correction territory (with the others closely behind), as shown on the following graph, which shows their losses since prices peaked in January.

US Major Indices


Here's a look at their 6-month daily chart. All of them are below their 50-day moving average.

6-Month Daily Chart


The following monthly chart of the SPX:VIX ratio shows that the trading range of February's candle is the largest, in history, after only 6 trading days. Price has now entered into the "uncommitted zone" and is hovering just above the "fragile zone." Historically, price action on the SPX consists of wild, aimless/trendless and very volatile swings when this ratio remains below 150.

SPX:VIX ratio


World Markets, in general had a bad day on Thursday, as can be seen from the graphics below.

World Stock Markets Heat Map

Market Indices

Additional graphics show today's activity for US Major Indices, Sectors and Futures Markets...

US Major Indices, Sectors and Futures Markets..

Base Materials

Futures Market Map

Finally, the MSCI World Index has dropped to its external Fibonacci retracement level of 1.618%, as shown on the monthly chart below. It has also fallen back into a long-term uptrending channel, after briefly popping above. A drop and hold below that level (2032.74) could send all world markets into a tailspin.

Keep an eye on the 60 level on the SPX:VIX ratio, as a drop and hold below could spark panic selling in the SPX. In any event, watch for more volatile swings as long as it holds below 150, and, especially, 100.

MSCI World

Latest comments

She wrote SPX was going to 3000 a couple weeks ago. Never mentioned correction
If you read my article carefully, you'll see that I never said it WOULD go to 3000, but outlined a few different scenarios, conditions and timelines whereby that MIGHT be achieved. I identified it as the next major resistance level. No doubt, you're aware that markets and conditions fluctuate from day to day and week to week. My subsequent article identified 2500 as major support for the SPX and it specified some factors that may influence such a drop. Those are the facts and they're in my articles.
terrific stuff, thx
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