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This 'Hidden' Play On 5G Yields 6.4%, With Big Gains Ahead

Published 09/30/2021, 05:19 AM
Updated 04/03/2018, 07:55 AM

Let’s dive into a brand-new CEF many people are ignoring—and see how we can ride it to some fast gains (and a growing 6.4% dividend).

When a new CEF rolls down the skids, our antennae always go up, because getting into a new fund before anyone else picks up on it is one of the most exciting ways to build wealth (and a rich income stream) in CEFs.

That’s because most CEF investors are conservative by nature, and they tend to shun new funds (even those run by some of the best CEF managers in the business). That results in big discounts we can jump on—and ride to quick 10%, 20% or even 30% gains in short order.

And that’s what the fund we’re going to discuss today could give us—if, of course, it has the management chops to deliver the goods. We’ll answer that question, too.

How We Work New CEFs for Big Gains on the Regular

If you’re a member of my CEF Insider service and this plan sounds familiar, it’s because we’ve already used it to rack up some fast profits. Cast your mind back (only for a second!) to the nightmare days of late March 2020. You may recall that back then we added the Blackrock Science and Technology Trust II (NYSE:BSTZ), which was only about eight months old at the time (but yielded a tidy 7.3%), to our CEF Insider portfolio.

When we bought, BSTZ’s 7% discount to net asset value (NAV, or the value of the stocks in its portfolio) was about double that of its sister fund, the BlackRock (NYSE:BLK) Science & Technology (NYSE:BST), even though the two CEFs are quite similar. When we sold BSTZ just two months later, we pocketed a nice 21% return.

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Almost precisely a year later, on Mar. 26, 2021, we tapped back into BSTZ, which was still pretty new by CEF standards, at just under two years old. This time, the fund was beckoning us with a discount that had slipped to a ridiculous 11.8% (while BST traded at a premium).

That was an obvious mispricing, so we bought BSTZ again. Our reward has been another 22% return since, topping both BST and the NASDAQ:

New Fund + Absurd Discount = Outperformance
BST-BSTZ Total Returns Chart

These are the kinds of returns that a new CEF (especially one trading at a big discount) can give us. This story is particularly relevant today because the new fund we’re going to talk about is another tech play, the Neuberger Berman Next Generation Connectivity Fund (NBXG), which was launched in May 2021, pays a 6.4% dividend and trades at an eye-catching 9.6% discount to NAV as I write this.

Management Team Has a Hidden Tech Edge

NBXG’s management firm, Neuberger Berman, isn’t as well-known as BlackRock, with “just” $402 billion under management, compared to BlackRock’s $7 trillion.

Plus, while Neuberger Berman does offer some strong CEFs, it isn’t known for tech acumen; its funds mainly focus on municipal bonds, energy companies and real estate. But don’t let that put you off of NBXG—one of its managers, Yan Taw Boon, does have a lot of experience working in tech, including nine years as an engineer at ARM, Cadence (NASDAQ:CDNS), Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO) and Huawei.

Boon’s background, plus the “Connectivity” in the fund’s name, may tip you off to the fact that NBXG looks to tap into the spread of hyper-fast 5G networks. You’d be right, and management has built a portfolio to do just that, no doubt with an assist from Boon’s “boots on the ground” experience:

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A Well-Crafted Play on the Coming 5G Revolution
NBXG-Top Holdings Table

Source: Neuberger Berman

As you can see above, NBXG takes a broad-based approach to 5G, starting with the obvious: shares of telecom companies like T-Mobile US (NASDAQ:TMUS). It also holds software makers that focus on communications and connectivity, such as social-media firm Snap (NYSE:SNAP) and cloud-security company Crowdstrike (NASDAQ:CRWD).Granted, heavy-equipment maker Deere & Co. (NYSE:DE) may seem an odd fit, but it’s actually well positioned to profit as its machines are required to build 5G infrastructure.

The bottom line? NBXG has the 5G revolution covered from all angles, and it has solid management in place, too. But CEF investors, in their typical fashion, have chosen to overlook all that and get hung up on Neuberger Berman’s lack of prior history with tech. That’s part of the reason why NBXG sports that 9.6% discount, which has actually gotten bigger recently, dropping from a slight premium at inception.

That discount makes particularly little sense when you consider the performance NBXG has put up. It’s still early innings, but as you can see below, NBXG’s portfolio (in orange) has outperformed the SPDR® S&P 500 (NYSE:SPY), in purple, and the telecommunications sector, shown in blue by the performance of the benchmark iShares U.S. Telecommunications ETF (NYSE:IYZ),which is really the best yardstick for measuring NBXG’s performance.

NBXG Starts Strong
NBXG-Total Returns Chart

A 6.4% Payout With Growth Ahead

As you can see below, NBXG’s dividend is low by CEF standards, but that makes it safer than the average CEF dividend, and sets it up for growth, too.

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NBXG-Yield-Comps

Source: CEF Insider

What kind of payout increase can we expect here? Since we don’t have much of a history on NBXG, we can get an idea by looking back at the two BlackRock tech CEFs we just talked about, which have both delivered several hikes over their lifespans, and even special dividends, in the case of BST.

Tech Funds’ Past Payouts Predict NBXG’s Future
BST-BSTZ-Dividend Growth

NBXG is too new for us to expect too much in the way of payout hikes in the near term, but given its tech-heavy focus and its outperformance so far, we can certainly expect significant increases over the long haul.

Disclosure: Brett Owens and Michael Foster are contrarian income investors who look for undervalued stocks/funds across the U.S. markets. Click here to learn how to profit from their strategies in the latest report, "7 Great Dividend Growth Stocks for a Secure Retirement."

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