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This 9.3% Dividend CEF Has a Secret (Hint: It’s Far Safer Than It Looks)

By Contrarian Outlook (Michael Foster)Stock MarketsJul 19, 2021 05:12AM ET
www.investing.com/analysis/this-93-dividend-cef-has-a-secret-hint-its-far-safer-than-it-looks-200592182
This 9.3% Dividend CEF Has a Secret (Hint: It’s Far Safer Than It Looks)
By Contrarian Outlook (Michael Foster)   |  Jul 19, 2021 05:12AM ET
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One of the so-called “rules” of income investing is that you can get a high dividend or a sustainable dividend from a stock or fund—but not both.

And to be fair, that is true of some investments. But there are plenty of exceptions, too, chief among them an asset class that sports a little-known “trick” that gives us blockbuster 9% dividends that are more than sustainable over the long run.

The CEF Secret

That asset class would be closed-end funds (CEFs), and the “trick” ties into the fund’s discount to net asset value (NAV, or the value of the investments in the fund’s portfolio).

Don’t get hung up on the jargon here—the discount to NAV simply refers to a CEF’s unique ability to trade below the per-share value of its portfolio. The upshot is that when a CEF trades at a discount, the yield we get (which is based on the market price) is higher than the yield on NAV—or what management must earn to cover that yield.

The result is a kind of best-of-both-worlds scenario when it comes to dividend safety.

I know this may still sound a bit murky, so let’s take a closer look at how a CEF’s discount makes its yield more sustainable. Then we’ll see how this potent dynamic plays out with a specific CEF that hands investors a sky-high 9.3% dividend today.

CEF-Historical Discounts
CEF-Historical Discounts


Source: CEF Insider

Let’s start with the state of play in CEF-land when it comes to discounts.

Over the long-term (or over the last 10 years or since the fund’s IPO, whichever is soonest), CEFs have had an average 5.2% discount to NAV. However, a red-hot stock market means the current average discount has shrunk to the smallest amount ever tracked by my CEF Insider service—just 0.8%!

Don’t despair, though; although CEF discounts are small on average, that’s due to some funds seeing a lot of bidding, resulting in high premiums and skewing the average. Several good CEFs still sell at discounts.

Now let’s look at exactly how these discounts make our dividends more sustainable. For that, we’ll use the example of the Highland Global Allocation Fund (HGLB), a small fund of about $210 million in assets under management with investments around the world (half in America) and a mix of real estate, stocks and bonds. HGLB’s goal is to diversify across asset classes to get investors a good mix of assets and a strong income stream at the same time.

HGLB yields 9.3% as I write this, much more than the 6.1% for the average CEF (and, of course, much higher still than the measly 1.3% yield you’d get from the average S&P 500 stock).

HGLB Vs Fund Yields Comparison Chart
HGLB Vs Fund Yields Comparison Chart


Source: CEF Insider

Alarm bells ringing in your head yet? A 9.3% yield sounds dangerously high, and in some cases it can be. But HGLB has a big discount working in its favor here.

In fact, HGLB trades at one of the highest discounts of any CEF on the market, with a whopping 20.7% discount to NAV. And that discount is narrowing. It was actually twice as big a year ago.

A Huge, But Fading, Discount
HGLB-Discount-NAV Chart
HGLB-Discount-NAV Chart

CEFs trade at discounts when investors bid less for a fund than what it’s actually worth. This can happen for a variety of reasons, but it’s usually a mix of a lot of risk-averse investors scared of a market pullback (which, ironically, means CEF discounts tend to be widest after a crash and smallest after a boom) and the general obscurity of the CEF market (few CEFs have market caps over $1 billion, while the biggest ETFs have market caps in the hundreds of billions).

In any event, when a fund’s discount shrinks, its market price goes up, giving investors who bought at the wider discount a strong return. And HGLB investors have been getting that.

Huge Gains For HGLB Investors
HGLB-Total-Returns Chart
HGLB-Total-Returns Chart

This 125% return (in gains and dividends) in a little over a year is great, but it’s not the best thing about HGLB. What’s really compelling is that the fund’s big discount today means its 9.3% dividend, paid out to investors on a market-price basis, is actually just 7.3% for the fund managers.

HGLB-Market-NAV-Yield-Table
HGLB-Market-NAV-Yield-Table

The reason for this is simple: the fund earns a return on its NAV, not on its market price, which means it pays out its dividend from NAV profits. And when discounts are big, the NAV profits management needs to maintain the dividend smaller. The smaller the discount, the smaller the gap between the yield the fund has to pay out and the return it needs to maintain that payout.

In the case of a big premium, this could spell bad news. A 20% premium would mean HGLB would have to earn an 11.2% annualized return to sustain its payouts! But with that same amount as a discount, it only needs to earn 7.3%.

And a 7.3% return is less than the annualized return we’ve seen for stocks (15%) and real estate (8.6%) over the last decade. Thus, while we’re getting an above-market yield, thanks to the magic of CEF discounts, the fund only needs to get the market’s return for its payouts to be sustainable.

This trick doesn’t just work for HGLB. There are literally hundreds of CEFs that can use their discounts to deliver big and sustainable dividends.

Disclosure: Brett Owens and Michael Foster are contrarian income investors who look for undervalued stocks/funds across the U.S. markets. Click here to learn how to profit from their strategies in the latest report, "7 Great Dividend Growth Stocks for a Secure Retirement."

This 9.3% Dividend CEF Has a Secret (Hint: It’s Far Safer Than It Looks)
 

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This 9.3% Dividend CEF Has a Secret (Hint: It’s Far Safer Than It Looks)

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