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Tensions: What Will It Mean For Mid-Caps, Small-Caps, Tech, Crude And Crypto

By Tim KnightStock MarketsAug 04, 2022 09:48AM ET
www.investing.com/analysis/tensions-what-will-it-mean-for-midcaps-smallcaps-tech-crude-and-crypto-200628076
Tensions: What Will It Mean For Mid-Caps, Small-Caps, Tech, Crude And Crypto
By Tim Knight   |  Aug 04, 2022 09:48AM ET
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Tomorrow morning, Friday, will be the monthly jobs report, but there’s almost nothing in the way of news driving the market this morning. Thus, everything is just gently drifting higher. Here we see the ES has maintained the breakout is achieved yesterday. A failure of this level, about 4147, would be a minor piece of bad news for the bulls, but it hasn’t happened yet.

S&P 500 Futures 5-Minute Chart.
S&P 500 Futures 5-Minute Chart.

A larger bullish base can be seen by way of the Nasdaq 100 Futures. On the one hand, this is, in fact, a well-formed bullish base that would indicate the likes of Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) and Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) have nothing but blue sky ahead. On the other hand, there is a staggering amount of overhead supply, which will suppress any easy price growth. In other words, the breezy part of the ascent is already over.

NQ 4-Hour Chart.
NQ 4-Hour Chart.

The strongest market lately has been small caps. But to my way of thinking, it has reached a point of at least temporary exhaustion.

RTY 4-Hour Chart.
RTY 4-Hour Chart.

There are two asset classes I believe post the most risk for assets in general: crude oil and crypto. For crude oil, a failure just below 90 would accelerate the selling. This shelf of support has been in place for an exceptionally long time.

Crude Oil 4-Hour Chart.
Crude Oil 4-Hour Chart.

Crypto in general, and Bitcoin and Ethereum, in particular, have been sputtering lately. The breakout that Ethereum experienced was quite short-lived.

Ethereum 4-Hour Chart.
Ethereum 4-Hour Chart.

Today could be one of those drab “meandering” days in which it’s hardly even worth coming in, unless we get a failure of any of those horizontals I mentioned.

Tensions: What Will It Mean For Mid-Caps, Small-Caps, Tech, Crude And Crypto
 

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Tensions: What Will It Mean For Mid-Caps, Small-Caps, Tech, Crude And Crypto

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