Breaking News
Get Actionable Insights with InvestingPro+: Start 7 Day FREE Trial Register here
Investing Pro 0
Ad-Free Version. Upgrade your Investing.com experience. Save up to 40% More details

Tech Titans Are Poised To Report

By Christine ShortStock MarketsApr 25, 2022 10:35AM ET
www.investing.com/analysis/tech-titans-are-poised-to-report-200622848
Tech Titans Are Poised To Report
By Christine Short   |  Apr 25, 2022 10:35AM ET
Saved. See Saved Items.
This article has already been saved in your Saved Items
 
  • Traders gear up for results from Apple, Google, Meta, and Microsoft.

  • Cyclical stocks remain in focus as 3M, Caterpillar and Southwest Airlines offer glimpses into the health of the economy.

  • Increasing dividend trends pose an optimistic data point in an uncertain world.

First-quarter earnings season has been on track so far. While there have been some fits and starts from big-name U.S. companies, the overall EPS beat rate is a respectable 79%, according to FactSet. Early on, the financials sector was a mixed bag with a somewhat pessimistic report out of JPMorgan Chase & Co (NYSE:JPM), but then an upbeat tone emerged from Bank of America's (NYSE:BAC) CEO Brian Moynihan. In week two, the fireworks really got started with Netflix's (NASDAQ:NFLX) huge disappointment and stock-price collapse, followed by better-than-expected figures from Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA).

Meanwhile, more blue-chip companies like Charles Schwab (NYSE:SCHW), Johnson & Johnson (NYSE:JNJ), Travelers (NYSE:TRV), IBM (NYSE:IBM), Procter & Gamble (NYSE:PG) and CSX (NASDAQ:CSX) reinforced concerns about the overall economy. Higher labor costs, supply-chain issues, rising materials prices and tighter credit conditions are just some of the macro headwinds facing firms. Moreover, a very strong U.S. dollar might pose new FX risks for multinationals.

Macro Headwinds And Strong Consumers

Still, the consumer is strong as reported by a few firms commenting that there is actually trading-up to more expensive goods. Perhaps TSLA’s earnings blowout proves that point. Moreover, both American Airlines (NASDAQ:AAL) and United Airlines (NASDAQ:UAL) issued robust guidance for future quarters last week. It’s important to realize that the unemployment rate remains remarkably low with growing wages. Last week’s Philly Fed reported that a whopping 80% of firms increased wages over the past three months. As a result, firms are able to pass along higher input costs. During the UAL earnings call last week, the airline said 100% of its higher jet fuel prices are passed along to consumers.

Key Firms On Earnings Calendar This Week

First-quarter earnings results broaden out as we enter the heart of reporting season. Traders will undoubtedly eye how big tech is doing from firms like Google (NASDAQ:GOOG) (NASDAQ:GOOGL) Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:FB), Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) and Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN). Of course, those mega-caps span a few sectors. Aside from the growth side of the S&P 500, key cyclicals provide earnings: 3M (NYSE:MMM), Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT), Boeing (NYSE:BA), Ford (NYSE:F), Southwest Airlines (NYSE:LUV) and the two big energy stocks Exxon Mobil (NYSE:XOM) and Chevron (NYSE:CVX).

Source: Wall Street Horizon

Higher Profits, Bigger Dividends

An event trend we have noticed, albeit still early among Q1 reports, is a brighter outlook from several firms raising their dividends. A few high-profile companies paying out more to shareholders include Costco (NASDAQ:COST), Kinder Morgan (NYSE:KMI), Southern Co. (NYSE:SO), P&G and JNJ. After a year of record profits for S&P 500 companies in 2021, another strong quarter of cash flows should provide an income boost for stockholders.

The trend in dividends is particularly important right now considering the uneasiness about future economic strength over the coming quarters. A briefly inverted yield curve a few weeks ago brought about a wave of recession chatter. Firms might turn their focus to shoring up their balance sheets versus distributing cash to shareholders. For now, there’s enough corporate confidence to take shareholder-friendly corporate actions.

Dividend Trends: An Optimistic Data Point In An Uncertain World

In Q1, dividend increases notched a record high in Wall Street Horizon historical data going back more than four years with almost 1,700 firms raising payouts, a nearly 40% jump year over year. A relatively paltry 387 companies cut their dividend, a 13% decline from Q1 2021. There’s a long way to go in Q2, but the ratio of increases to decreases looks strong so far.

Figure 1: Dividend Changes by Quarter

Dividend Changes By Quarter.
Dividend Changes By Quarter.

Source: Wall Street Horizon

Apple: Earnings Preview And What Traders Expect

Let’s dive into what to anticipate from Apple ahead of its important profit figures hitting the tape on Thursday afternoon. Recall that shares rose sharply on Jan. 28, the session following its after-hours Q1 results (Apple’s fiscal year ends Sept. 30). The world’s most valuable company reported the biggest revenue quarter in its history even with ongoing supply-chain issues. Sales from iPhones is always the dominant factor – last quarter, 58% of net revenues came from the segment. While Tim Cook did not offer guidance back in January, nor have outlook figures been disclosed since the pandemic hit, that could be something to watch this quarter as operations continue to stabilize. Cook said that the firm expects supply constraints to be less of an issue for the March quarter versus the prior three months.

Figure 2: AAPL Stock Price History

Apple Daily Chart.
Apple Daily Chart.

Source: Stockcharts.com

The forecast calls for Q2 EPS of $1.43 which would bring the trailing 12-month sum to $6.14. Many investors view the 27x P/E ratio as reasonable given Apple’s earnings strength, care of massive reliable recurring revenue. Moreover, back out the $64-billion stockpile of cash and short-term investments, and the earnings multiple is even cheaper. Be on the lookout for more potential shareholder accretive announcements, like a dividend raise and an increased share buyback program after the bell on Thursday.

With Apple being a 13% weight in the Invesco QQQ Trust (NASDAQ:QQQ) ETF, volatility in this stock plays a significant role in what happens with overall market movements – particularly for options traders. Right now, the at-the-money straddle on AAPL shares for options expiring April 29 costs $8.23, or 4.9% of the stock price. That can be seen as the implied move, up or down, in shares between now and Friday’s close.

Earnings Wave

This week we see the first of the three-peak weeks of the Q1 reporting season with more than 2,000 companies reporting. The week of May 1st is slated to be the most active week with more than 4,000 companies expected to report. At this point, 60% of companies have confirmed their earnings date (out of our universe of 10,000 global names).

Source: Wall Street Horizon

Conclusion

Many of the market’s big guns report results this week. It might be a nice reprieve from uncertain Fed-related news, geopolitical headlines and the Elon Musk/Twitter saga. Earnings matter, and we’ll have a much better gauge of the corporate landscape and state of the consumer when this week is out. Traders should continue to monitor key corporate events from companies big and small to stay ahead of volatility.

Tech Titans Are Poised To Report
 

Is Apple Undervalued?

Based on 15 different premium valuation models, we calculate whether Apple stock is undervalued or overvalued every day. If you are considering Apple for your portfolio, you need to check this out:

See Fair Value Now
Unlock Apple's unbiased fair value with InvestingPro+

Related Articles

Tech Titans Are Poised To Report

Add a Comment

Comment Guidelines

We encourage you to use comments to engage with other users, share your perspective and ask questions of authors and each other. However, in order to maintain the high level of discourse we’ve all come to value and expect, please keep the following criteria in mind:  

  •            Enrich the conversation, don’t trash it.

  •           Stay focused and on track. Only post material that’s relevant to the topic being discussed. 

  •           Be respectful. Even negative opinions can be framed positively and diplomatically. Avoid profanity, slander or personal attacks directed at an author or another user. Racism, sexism and other forms of discrimination will not be tolerated.

  • Use standard writing style. Include punctuation and upper and lower cases. Comments that are written in all caps and contain excessive use of symbols will be removed.
  • NOTE: Spam and/or promotional messages and comments containing links will be removed. Phone numbers, email addresses, links to personal or business websites, Skype/Telegram/WhatsApp etc. addresses (including links to groups) will also be removed; self-promotional material or business-related solicitations or PR (ie, contact me for signals/advice etc.), and/or any other comment that contains personal contact specifcs or advertising will be removed as well. In addition, any of the above-mentioned violations may result in suspension of your account.
  • Doxxing. We do not allow any sharing of private or personal contact or other information about any individual or organization. This will result in immediate suspension of the commentor and his or her account.
  • Don’t monopolize the conversation. We appreciate passion and conviction, but we also strongly believe in giving everyone a chance to air their point of view. Therefore, in addition to civil interaction, we expect commenters to offer their opinions succinctly and thoughtfully, but not so repeatedly that others are annoyed or offended. If we receive complaints about individuals who take over a thread or forum, we reserve the right to ban them from the site, without recourse.
  • Only English comments will be allowed.

Perpetrators of spam or abuse will be deleted from the site and prohibited from future registration at Investing.com’s discretion.

Write your thoughts here
 
Are you sure you want to delete this chart?
 
Post
Post also to:
 
Replace the attached chart with a new chart ?
1000
Your ability to comment is currently suspended due to negative user reports. Your status will be reviewed by our moderators.
Please wait a minute before you try to comment again.
Thanks for your comment. Please note that all comments are pending until approved by our moderators. It may therefore take some time before it appears on our website.
Comments (1)
Pete palella
Pete palella Apr 25, 2022 8:34PM ET
Saved. See Saved Items.
This comment has already been saved in your Saved Items
Damn girl you’re hot!!!
Jinn Chabel
Jinn Chabel Apr 25, 2022 8:34PM ET
Saved. See Saved Items.
This comment has already been saved in your Saved Items
she's cute.
 
Are you sure you want to delete this chart?
 
Post
 
Replace the attached chart with a new chart ?
1000
Your ability to comment is currently suspended due to negative user reports. Your status will be reviewed by our moderators.
Please wait a minute before you try to comment again.
Add Chart to Comment
Confirm Block

Are you sure you want to block %USER_NAME%?

By doing so, you and %USER_NAME% will not be able to see any of each other's Investing.com's posts.

%USER_NAME% was successfully added to your Block List

Since you’ve just unblocked this person, you must wait 48 hours before renewing the block.

Report this comment

I feel that this comment is:

Comment flagged

Thank You!

Your report has been sent to our moderators for review
Continue with Google
or
Sign up with Email