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Markets Swoon: Saudi Arabia, Oil, USD/JPY, S&P 500 Futures

Published 03/09/2020, 01:47 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

Saudi Arabia's Tadawul Index (TASI) gapped down on the open and closed at 6846.36 on Sunday. It's back around the October 2004 lows. It has gapped well below the neckline of a sloping bearish head and shoulders formation that began in late 2017, as shown on the following weekly chart.

It's currently caught in a weak level of prior price support and is vulnerable to further downside, notwithstanding the oversold RSI level.

Tadawul All Share Weekly Chart

No doubt, Saudi's open reflects that of oil's large gap down on Sunday's open, as well. It also broke below a bearish head and shoulders neckline and fell to levels seen in 2000, as shown on the following weekly chart. The low, as of 6:40 pm ET, is 30.01.

It's currently caught at a major level of prior price support and is vulnerable to further downside, notwithstanding the oversold RSI level...particularly if Russia continues its refusal to cut oil output, as is being pushed by OPEC, and if demand continues to drop due to the global spread of the coronavirus.

Crude Oil WTI Futures Weekly Chart

The S&P E-mini Futures Index (ES) and USD/JPY forex pair have followed suit and gapped down, as well, as shown on their respective weekly charts below.

My latest support and resistance levels for the ES can be found in my last post here, as well as other market gauges I'm monitoring for potential directional strength/weakness.

S&P 500 Futures Weekly Chart

Price on the USD/JPY has fallen back to long-term price support in a large bearish falling wedge formation...suggesting further weakness, notwithstanding the oversold RSI level.

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USD/JPY Weekly Chart

BOTTOM LINE:

These four instruments are strongly suggesting that further weakness is in store for global markets and their economies, inasmuch as they are at critical levels, which, if breached with force, could begin a global bear market in short order, with a possible global recession following sometime this year.

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