Get 40% Off
⚠ Earnings Alert! Which stocks are poised to surge?
See the stocks on our ProPicks radar. These strategies gained 19.7% year-to-date.
Unlock full list

Sellers Step In As Moving Averages Hold

Published 09/07/2020, 01:15 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

After days of small gains last week, it only took two days to undo the buying for the majority of August before longs stepped in to recover things by Friday's close. The savior for indices were key moving averages—the 50-day MAs in particular—as traders complacent after easy gains received a bit of a jolt.

This isn't a crash, nor necessarily the start of one, but we need to see what happens when indices become oversold and whether they can attract sufficient buyers to take indices out of this condition. If they can't, then the crash sirens will have more credence. 

The NASDAQ saw 'sell' triggers in the MACD and -DI/+DI, but stochastics require a few more days of weakness before they can be considered bearish, let alone, oversold. However, the 50-day MA offered a picture perfect support area for Friday's low.

COMPQ Daily Chart

The S&P didn't make it down to its 50-day MA but by the time Friday's close completed it had managed to make it back to its 20-day MA.There was a MACD trigger 'sell,' but other technicals are still bullish. 

SPX Daily Chart

The Russell 2000 (IWM) found support at its 50-day MA but the breakout is under pressure and if you are been strict, may already be reversed. There are 'sell' triggers for the MACD, On-Balance-Volume, -DI/+DI and relative performance.

IWM Daily Chart

The next few days of this holiday week should hopefully see some price stabilization. If we start to see drip losses back to the lows of Friday, then there will be a good chance momentum will reach the oversold conditions necessary for a crash—at that point, it will be up to buyers to step in and brings things back to their prior highs. All of this is hearsay for now, but time will tell. 

Latest comments

By “longs stepping in” you mean the algos, right?
Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.